Colchester Global Investors’ Funds Now Available to BNY Mellon Pershing

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Colchester has announced in a press release that its three flagship Irish UCITS funds (Colchester Global Bond Fund, Colchester Global Real Return Bond Fund and Colchester Local Markets Bond Fund) are now being offered to BNY Mellon Pershing’s clients.

The funds will be available to their introducing broker-dealers and registered investment advisors using BNY Mellon Pershing’s NetX360® platform upon the execution of an agreement with Colchester Global Investors’ Fund.

“We’re very pleased with bringing our core strategies to the Latin American and US offshore markets where we have had immense support to make this listing possible. The simplicity of our investment process and the exclusive focus on global sovereign bonds and currencies have resonated with investors in a heavily fixed income biased region”, said Global Head of Marketing and Client Services, Paul Allen.

In his view, their global sovereign bond strategies have experienced strong interest from advisers who are seeking both value and a defensive fixed income alternative for their client portfolios. “With our long track record of displaying negative correlation to risk assets including credit, we are sought out as the anchor in portfolios,” Allen explained.

He revealed that investors have also welcomed their expertise in local currency emerging markets to complement their “aggressive fixed income exposure” through the Colchester Local Markets Bond Fund USD Unhedged Accumulation Class – I Share class (ISIN IE00BQZJ1775), which has received a 5-Star Morningstar RatingTM as of 31/8/20211.

“Nuestro punto de diferencia es que solo invertimos en bonos soberanos físicos en nuestros fondos principales, lo que garantiza la liquidez en todos los mercados y una simplicidad que los clientes pueden comprender. En Colchester, nos enorgullecemos de nuestra alineación con nuestros clientes como inversores a largo plazo en lugar de realizar apuestas a corto plazo “, concluyó Allen.

Los fondos estarán disponibles de inmediato a través de varios acuerdos existentes con corredores de bolsa orientados a la gestión de patrimonios, asesores de inversión registrados (RIA) e instituciones.

Four Questions about Identifying Strong Companies

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Pixabay CC0 Public DomainCompañías fuertes y con capacidad para crecer con el paso del tiempo. . Fibra

Nobody wants to invest in questionable, weak, unethical or incompetent companies. And investing in the right company for financial success is the holy grail we’re all searching for. This clearly isn’t easy, and nobody is perfect. If they were, they would be the only investment option in town. Thornburg IM has asked four of its equity portfolio managers (Brian McMahon, Miguel Oleaga, Lei Wang and Josh Rubin) what their criteria are for identifying strong companies from the relevant universe for their respective strategies, what impact the COVID- 19 pandemic has had and how ESG considerations are relevant to determining whether a company is strong.

Can you describe your research process?

Miguel Oleaga: Our process involves narrowing the universe of stocks by looking for what we believe are strong companies, which drive idea generation. We perform deep fundamental research on those names, ultimately generating a short list of investable ideas and then investigating those ideas thoroughly. The Global Opportunities portfolios utilize an intrinsic value framework that seeks to understand if a business is likely to create value over the long-term, with less of an emphasis on near-term valuation metrics. Often market commentators and investors attempt to assess valuations and opportunities simply on near-term statistical metrics, such as a P/E or a P/B multiple. In our view, these can be useful datapoints but do not paint the complete picture of whether a business is fairly valued. To be able to thoroughly analyze and determine intrinsic value, we need to know what we own and therefore limit our holdings to about 30–40 stocks.

Josh Rubin: A key consideration for our emerging markets investment strategies is really honing in on the strong businesses, not just high profit margins, but a really strong management team, strong corporate governance, strong operational policies, strong market positions and the other types of components that lead companies to win market share or outgrow their industry competitors.

Lei (“Rocky”) Wang: We think in the next phase of the recovery the outperformance of higher beta value names may give way to companies which can demonstrate earnings growth and may therefore favor bottom-up stock selection and a more balanced core approach to portfolio construction, both of which we have practiced successfully for more than two decades.

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What adaptations to the process have you made as result of the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting changes in the environment?

Miguel Oleaga: We haven’t made any changes to our process. We believe a well-thought-out and executed philosophy and process should withstand the tests of time. I do think COVID has changed the investment landscape. For example, the recent increase in retail participation in equity markets means more investors competing in the market, which, ultimately, should make the markets more efficient with periods of excessive price moves. However, increased market efficiency also means simple strategies that utilize valuation multiples or other metrics that can be easily accessed via online trading platforms or financial websites will create little to no excess returns on average. In fact, greater retail participation will mean that achieving excess returns consistently makes having a well-thought-out investment philosophy and rigorous process even more critical to add value over time.

Rocky Wang: We haven’t changed our process, but where we focus has shifted. For example, the inflation narrative and sentiment are getting hot these days, which trigger sometimes erratic rate movements. But we focus on fundamentals rather than headlines, so we are always trying to see the reality vs. perception.

Commodity prices are definitely in the news these days as they have been shooting up. Is that due to the shortage of the commodity production itself, or just a paucity of qualified drivers who can deliver the commodity from point A to B? Is it transitory or structural in nature? We care about the depth of the details like that and how to construct a portfolio which will sail through this noisy patch.

Brian McMahon: Our process of finding investments that offer both resilience and growth over time has remained consistent. If you look at our top holdings, you’ll see that we have both. We’re not loaded up with companies that have plus and minus 20 percent revenues, based on the cycle, but we do have companies that have tended to grow their revenue, cash flow and dividends over time. And that’s what the Income Builder portfolios are all about.

It’s a yield-starved world out there. So, we think that dividend payers are especially important and especially timely right now when some of the safest bonds and longer duration bonds look a little iffy.

How do ESG considerations help determine whether a company is “strong” or not?

Miguel Oleaga: ESG considerations provide investors with a toolkit for assessing whether a business is creating value for all its stakeholders, from employees to its community to shareholders. ESG also provides insight into analyzing a business’s go-forward prospects—a lens on whether that company is competing in expanding or contracting markets due to evolving environmental or regulatory considerations, for example.

Governance is another important set of issues where poor practice can lead to substantial corporate risk such as expensive legal actions and negative publicity. In our opinion, these insights about where risks lie are crucial in determining what the business is worth and providing effective stewardship of the investment.

Josh Rubin: Particularly in emerging markets where transparency might be lower or the regulatory oversight regime might not be as strong or as advanced as we see in developed markets, we do think that consideration of ESG characteristics are very important for every investment.

We are not using a negative overlay investment strategy—not avoiding, for example, carbon-producing or alcohol beverage companies, but we look at each of the relevant industry risk factors of ESG to be sure we are mitigating risk in our portfolios, particularly in an emerging markets context, which can mean higher volatility, abrupt shifts from value to growth and vice versa, a heavy retail component and less sophisticated investors.

Rocky Wang: We use ESG analysis to find what we believe are financially sustainable businesses. At the end of the day, active managers identify mispricings in the market to create a diversified portfolio that will outperform. ESG analysis is a powerful tool to help accomplish that goal.

Understanding the stage in a company’s lifecycle is important for both traditional fundamental and material ESG analysis. Emerging franchises often race to grow employee headcount, assets and processes to support early life hyper growth. As a company begins to mature it can leverage these resources to more fully capture profits from the competitive advantages it has established. But it can also take a deeper examination of its impact on society and work to align its business with benefits for the communities in which it operates.

 

Important Information

The performance data quoted represents past performance; it does not guarantee future results.

Unless otherwise noted, the source of all data, charts, tables and graphs is Thornburg Investment Management, Inc.

The views expressed are subject to change and do not necessarily reflect the views of Thornburg Investment Management, Inc. This information should not be relied upon as a recommendation or investment advice and is not intended to predict the performance of any investment or market.

This is not a solicitation or offer for any product or service. Nor is it a complete analysis of every material fact concerning any market, industry, or investment. Data has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but Thornburg makes no representations as to the completeness or accuracy of such information and has no obligation to provide updates or changes. Thornburg does not accept any responsibility and cannot be held liable for any person’s use of or reliance on the information and opinions contained herein.

Investments carry risks, including possible loss of principal. Portfolios investing in bonds have the same interest rate, inflation, and credit risks that are associated with the underlying bonds. The value of bonds will fluctuate relative to changes in interest rates, decreasing when interest rates rise. This effect is more pronounced for longer-term bonds. Unlike bonds, bond funds have ongoing fees and expenses. Investments in lower rated and unrated bonds may be more sensitive to default, downgrades, and market volatility; these investments may also be less liquid than higher rated bonds. Investments in derivatives are subject to the risks associated with the securities or other assets underlying the pool of securities, including illiquidity and difficulty in valuation. Investments in equity securities are subject to additional risks, such as greater market fluctuations. Additional risks may be associated with investments outside the United States, especially in emerging markets, including currency fluctuations, illiquidity, volatility, and political and economic risks. Investments in the Fund are not FDIC insured, nor are they bank deposits or guaranteed by a bank or any other entity.

Portfolios invested in a limited number of holdings may expose an investor to greater volatility.

Environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria are a set of standards for a company’s operations that socially conscious investors use to screen potential investments. Environmental criteria consider how a company performs as a steward of nature. Social criteria examine how it manages relationships with employees, suppliers, customers, and the communities where it operates. Governance deals with a company’s leadership, executive pay, audits, internal controls, and shareholder rights.

Investing in an ESG-focused strategy does not assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses.

Important Information for UCITS Investors

This does not constitute or contain an offer, solicitation, recommendation or investment advice with respect to the purchase of the Funds described herein or any security. The Fund’s shares may not be sold to citizens or residents of the United States or in any other state, country or jurisdiction where it would be unlawful to offer, solicit an offer for, or sell the shares. For information regarding the jurisdictions in which the Fund is registered or passported, please contact Thornburg at contactglobal@thornburg.com or +1.855.732.9301. Fund shares may be sold on a private placement basis depending on the jurisdiction. This should not be used or distributed in any jurisdiction, other than in those in which the Fund is authorized, where authorization for distribution is required. Thornburg is authorized by the Fund to facilitate the distribution of shares of the Fund in certain jurisdictions through dealers, referral agents, sub-distributors and other financial intermediaries. Any entity forwarding this, which is produced by Thornburg in the United States, to other parties takes full responsibility for ensuring compliance with applicable securities laws in connection with its distribution.

The Fund is a sub-fund of Thornburg Global Investment plc (“TGI”), an open-ended investment company with variable capital constituted as an umbrella fund with segregated liability between sub-funds, authorized and regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland (“CBI”) as an Undertaking for Collective Investments in Transferable Securities (“UCITS”). Authorization of TGI by the CBI is not an endorsement or guarantee by the CBI nor is the CBI responsible for the contents of any marketing material or the Fund’s prospectus, supplement or applicable Key Investor Information Document (“KIID”). Authorization by the CBI shall not constitute a warranty as to the performance of TGI and the CBI shall not be liable for the performance of TGI.

Before investing, investors should review the Fund’s full prospectus and supplement, together with the applicable KIID and the most recent annual and semi-annual reports. Copies of these documents may be obtained free of charge from State Street Fund Services (Ireland) Limited, by visiting www.thornburgglobal.com or by contacting the local paying or representative agent or local distributor in the jurisdictions in which the Fund is authorized for distribution.

Investments carry risks, including possible loss of principal. Portfolios investing in bonds have the same interest rate, inflation, and credit risks that are associated with the underlying bonds. The value of bonds will fluctuate relative to changes in interest rates, decreasing when interest rates rise. Unlike bonds, bond funds have ongoing fees and expenses. Investments in mortgagebacked securities (MBS) may bear additional risk. Investments in the Fund are not insured, nor are they bank deposits or guaranteed by a bank or any other entity.

No securities commission or regulatory authority has in any way passed upon the merits of an investment in the Fund or the accuracy or adequacy of this information or the material contained herein or otherwise. Neither this or the Offering Documents have been approved in any jurisdiction where the Fund has not been registered for public offer and sale. This information is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as the Offering Documents, a public offering or an offering memorandum as defined under applicable securities legislation. Application for shares may only be made by way of the Fund’s most recent Offering Documents.

 

Finance Remains One of the Most Attractive Career Choices among Youngsters

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Las finanzas se mantienen como una de las opciones profesionales preferidas entre los jóvenes

CFA Institute, the global association of investment professionals, has recently released the results from a survey it conducted on the career outlook of more than 15,000 current university students and recent graduates aged 18-25 from 15 markets. Globally, 58% of respondents still feel confident about their future career prospects in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Traditionally stable fields, such as finance, remain attractive for graduates navigating these uncertain times”, the report points out. In fact, respondents across all 15 markets ranked this sector as one of the top five most valuable majors for finding a career. Overall, graduates felt that medicine/science was most stable and attractive, followed by healthcare and then education.

“Students and recent graduates are more flexible and confident about their prospects than ever. The pandemic forced many grads to reassess their expected career paths, and they have displayed remarkable resilience despite the circumstances. It is now incumbent on companies to adapt to the new realities, such as hybrid workplaces, in order to attract and retain the young talent we need to help lead us out of the pandemic”, said Margaret Franklin, CFA, President and CEO at CFA Institute.

She finds “encouraging” to see that many graduates still view finance as a stable and attractive career path; however, they currently don’t see the industry as making a positive social impact. “This issue is only going to increase in importance, and industry leaders need to make sure we are on the front foot in educating students about the positive impact an investment career can have for people and our planet,” Franklin concluded.

The survey shows that a majority of graduates believe their future career will be as good or better than their parents’ generation, despite the pandemic. Findings showed that those studying accounting and finance were particularly confident, with 80% believing their prospects are as good or better than their parents’ generation, compared to three quarters (75%) of respondents overall.

Skills and insecurities

Another primary concern for students is developing work-related skills during degree programs and after graduating. Those surveyed shared personal insecurities about this, with a quarter of respondents saying they feel underqualified for the job they want, and 22% saying they do not feel ready for the working world.

When approaching the current complex job market, students and graduates see value in further education. Nearly nine in 10 respondents feel that upskilling and post-graduate qualifications are important in the current job market, and 57% believe postgraduate qualifications/professional certification will give them an edge when looking for a job.

Working in an industry that makes a positive societal and environmental contribution ranks very important to recent graduates, with nearly nine in 10 respondents saying it’s an important part of their career choice. For CFA Institute, of concern is that only 8% of respondents consider a career in investment management as one in which they could make a positive environmental and societal impact. This finding shows that, to retain talent, the sector must do more to educate students around the positive impact they could have in an investment industry career. 

“Graduates may be unaware of the remarkable global trend towards environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing and the career opportunities a specialism in sustainability and ESG could offer them in the investment industry. We need to show them that investment careers can be rewarding well beyond the traditional attraction of higher salaries,” commented Peter Watkins, who leads the University Affiliation Program at CFA Institute in Europe, Middle East and Africa.

Aegon AM Expands Its Responsible Investment Team with Three New Specialists

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Aegon AM nombramientos
Foto cedida. Aegon AM amplía su equipo de Inversión Responsable con tres nuevos especialistas

Aegon Asset Management has announced that Andy Woods, Curtis Zappala and Jamie McAloon will be joining its Responsible Investment team, bringing the number of specialists in this division to 17.

Based in the UK, Andy Woods arrives as a responsible investment manager, supporting the Equities and Multi-Asset investment platforms. His primary responsibility will be the voting activities and related engagements with companies within Aegon AM’s portfolios. Previously, he headed up the Institutional Voting Information Service of the Association of British Insurers.

The firm has also appointed Curtis Zappala as a responsible investment associate. Based in the United States, his focus will be on ESG integration and engagement, supporting the fixed income investment platform. Prior to his new role, Zappala was a member of the sustainability team at United Parcel Service (UPS). He has also held various sustainable-related positions at SunShare and Growth International Volunteer Excursions. 

Finally, Jamie McAloon joins as a responsible investment associate, supporting the Equities and Multi-Asset investment platforms. Also based in UK, McAloon will be primarily responsible for supporting the sustainable range of products with analysis of existing and potential holdings, according to Aegon AM’s sustainability research framework. He joins the business from Abrdn, where he was a Private Equity Finance Analyst.

“We have built a comprehensive responsible investment approach, with a 30-year history of investing in this area. The three new appointments allow us to continue our work, broadening our expertise, knowledge and skills base. I’d like to welcome Curtis, Andy and Jamie to the team and look forward to the fresh perspective and enthusiasm they will bring”, commented, Brunno Maradei, head of responsible investment at Aegon AM.

AllianceBernstein Underlines EMEA Ambition with Hires of Honor Solomon and Mike Thompson

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AB nombramientos
Foto cedidaDe izquierda a derecha: Honor Solomon, nueva responsable del Canal Minorista de EMEA de AB, y Mike Thompson, recién nombrado responsable Global de Desarrollo de Negocio y Estrategia de Renta Fija.. AllianceBernstein refuerza su equipo para EMEA fichando a Honor Solomon y Mike Thompson

AllianceBernstein (AB) has strengthened its EMEA product and client leadership with the appointment of two high-profile industry figures in London. In a press release, the firm revealed that Honor Solomon will join the firm as Head of Retail EMEA and Mike Thompson will lead AB’s global Fixed Income business development strategy.

In her role, Solomon will oversee strategy, management and distribution for AB’s fast-growing EMEA retail business, and will be charged with building on the considerable growth of the retail offering across the region in the last two years. In this sense, the firm has seen the AUM in its EMEA retail business increase by 47% since the start of 2019 – including strong momentum and inflows into its UK-based OEIC range since its launch in March of last year. She will join the firm in Q1 2022, and will report to Onur Erzan, Head of Global Client Group.

Solomon joins from Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM), where she spent seven years as Head of Retail Distribution, helping to build the firm’s retail offering into one of the UK’s largest. Prior to this, she led BlackRock’s London Discretionary Team, with responsibility for the firm’s relationships with banks and intermediaries. She began her career with Merrill Lynch, where she spent four years in its investment banking division across Paris, New York and London

Meanwhile, Thompson will assume the role of Global Head of Fixed Income Business Development & Strategy, and will be responsible for driving growth and brand-building efforts for AB’s high-performing fixed income range worldwide. He joins from ICG, a leading UK-based alternative asset manager, where he was global head of the Financial Institutions Group and European Head of Marketing and Client Relations.

Prior to ICG, Thompson had a 15-year career at PIMCO, where he was head of Asia ex-Japan and previously head of third-party distribution in Europe. His prior experience also includes large fixed-income managers Western Asset Management and Franklin Templeton. Thompson will join AB in December.

“Bringing Honor and Mike aboard is a clear signal of the ambitions we have for both our EMEA business and our global fixed income franchise, and our intent to capitalize on the growth we have seen in both over the last few years”, said Onur Erzan.

In his view, to be able to attract talent “of their calibre” is confirmation of AB’s status as a brand of choice for both clients and leading industry talent. “We are delighted to welcome them both to the firm, and we are confident that they will help to lift our retail and fixed income franchises to new levels”, he concluded.

La industria financiera global vuelve a encontrarse en el Investment Summit 2021 de Funds Society

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. Foto cedida

La séptima edición del Investments Summit & Golf de Funds Society volverá a reunir a gestores de activos de todo el mundo que compartirán ideas de inversión y estrategias este jueves 14 de octubre.

Además, en el evento, que tendrá cita en el Ritz Carlton Golf Resort de Naples, se disputará un torneo de golf el viernes 15 en el Tiburon Golf Club.

Dentro de los temas que propondrán las gestoras se encuentran los mercados emergentes. En este sentido, John M. Malloy Jr de RWC quien presentará la oferta de la compañía “Emerging and Frontier Markets”.

Janus Henderson también profundizará sobre los emergentes con Daniel J. Graña, CFA, portfolio manager de Mercados Emergentes que estará acompañado por Matthew Culley, assistant portfolio manager.

M&G Investments discutirá los beneficios, las valoraciones de mercado y las oportunidades de los High Yields a tasa flotante con James Tomlins, manager de M&G (Lux) Global Floating Rate High Yield Fund, quien hablará sobre las oportunidades que el alto rendimiento puede ofrecer en un escenario de presiones reflacionarias.

Por otro lado, Thornburg intervendrá con una conferencia sobre inversión en bonos en un entorno de bajo rendimiento a cargo del administrador de la cartera de clientes, Robert Costello, CFA. El técnico hablará tanto del Thornburg Limited Term como del Thornburg Strategic Income en su presentación “Bond Investing in a Low Yield Environment”.

Vontobel, en cambio, centrará su disertación en la importancia de los activos de calidad a la hora de buscar inversiones. Bajo el lema “Quality or Nothing”, Ben Falcone, CFA, Head of Client Portfolio Manager Team Quality Growth Boutique, hará su presentación demostrando la importancia de esta característica al momento de colocar inversiones.

Alec Murray, Senior Vice President Head de Equity Client Portfolio Managers en Amundi, hará su presentación sobre management. El experto dirige un equipo de portfolio managers de clientes que son responsables de representar la filosofía de inversión, el proceso y el desempeño de las estrategias de renta variable de la empresa, y proporcionar actualizaciones sobre las tendencias del mercado financiero y las perspectivas económicas de la empresa a los clientes y sus asesores.

Finalmente también se hablará del futuro. En ese sentido George Saffaye, Managing Director de Global Investment Strategist en BNY Mellon presentará “Mobility Innovation for the future”. En su rol, Saffaye guía el mensaje y el posicionamiento de las estrategias de inversión. Es una interfaz crítica entre el personal de cara al cliente y los equipos de inversión, según la información de la firma.

Por último, Manulife Investment Management también hablará acerca de los desafíos para las nuevas generaciones. Clinton Graham, Vice President and Portfolio Advisor of Wellington Management, hablará sobre su estudio “Next Generation Themes”. La presentación se dividirá en cuatro partes bien definidas: el caso de los temas a largo plazo, la oportunidad FinTech, la inversión temática en atención médica y, finalmente, la evolución de datos 5G.

Si desea obtener más información del evento puede acceder a través del siguiente enlace.  

 

Jupiter Appoints Huw Davies Assistant Fund Manager on its Strategic Absolute Return Bond Team

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Jupiter nombramiento
Foto cedidaHuw Davies, gestor de fondos adjunto para su equipo de bonos estratégicos de retorno absoluto de Jupiter AM.. Jupiter nombra a Huw Davies gestor de fondos adjunto para su equipo de bonos estratégicos de retorno absoluto

Jupiter AM has strengthened its Strategic Absolute Return Bond (SARB) team with the appointment of Huw Davies as Assistant Fund Manager of Fixed IncomeHe joined the firm in the summer of 2020 following the company’s acquisition of Merian Global Investors, where he started his previous role as Investment Director of Fixed Income in the same team.

In a press release, the asset manager has explained that Huw will now report directly into Mark Nash, Head of Fixed Income Alternatives, and will work alongside Assistant Fund Manager James Novotny, strengthening the resource dedicated to Jupiter’s alternative fixed income offering.

Following the Merian acquisition, the team’s flagship portfolio, the Jupiter Strategic Absolute Return Bond (ICVC) fund, has been incorporated into the firm’s offering. This vehicle looks to deliver positive total returns uncorrelated to bond and equity market conditions, with stable levels of volatility. Powered by its flexible approach to navigating volatile fixed income markets, the fund has delivered 18.23% over three years and 20.4% over five. The fund is Jupiter’s first footprint in the alternative fixed income space and has added a new dimension to the its existing Alternatives business.

In addition to Huw’s appointment, the company has also announced that it is strengthening the client-facing support offered to its flagship fixed income strategy with the promotion of Matthew Morgan to Investment Director, Fixed Income and Multi-Asset. Having joined Jupiter in 2019 as Product Specialist on its Multi-Asset strategy, in his new position he will co-ordinate the activities of the team of Investment Directors across the company’s £15.3 billion Fixed Income and £1.1 billion Multi-Asset ranges, leading a growing team of strategy specialists.

“Since the onset of the Covid pandemic, the policymaking landscape has dramatically changed. Fiscal spending is unlikely to disappear anytime soon as inequality and global warming issues are addressed. Central banks will remain supportive but will take more of a backseat, while ensuring that banking systems are in good health to support the recovery”, said Mark Nash.

In his view, this reflationary environment will see higher growth and higher inflation, with yields rising. “A more ‘absolute return’ approach will be needed to achieve positive returns from fixed income, and I am pleased to be welcoming Huw to the team at this important time in for the strategy”, he concluded.

Manulife Will Talk About the Trending Topics for the New Generations at the Funds Society Investment Summit 2021

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Clinton Graham
Foto cedidaClinton Graham, vice president y portfolio advisor de Wellington Management. Foto cedida

The concerns for the future and the issues that the new generations of the industry will have to deal with will be the focus of the presentation of Manulife Investment Management at the seventh edition of the Investment Summit & Golf of the Funds Society.

During the event, which will be held on October 14th and 15th at the Ritz Carlton Golf Resort in Naples, Manulife will present “Next Generation Themes” by Clinton Graham, Vice President and Portfolio Advisor of Wellington Management.

The presentation will be divided into four well-defined parts: The Case for Long-term Themes, The FinTech Opportunity, Thematic Healthcare Investing and finally the 5G 5G Data Evolution.

As a portfolio advisor with Wellington Management, Clinton works closely with portfolio managers as well as the firm’s macroanalysts and asset allocation strategists to articulate the firm’s investment strategies to clients and prospects.

Within the Portfolio Advisor Group, he covers a variety of strategies and asset classes, including equities, alternatives, and fixed income. He represents the firm’s global investment capabilities and advises clients, prospects, and consultants on global investing issues.

For more information and/or to register for the Investments Summit 2021, follow this link.

BNY Mellon To Discuss Mobility Innovation for the Future at Funds Society’s Invstment Summit 2021

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Foto cedidaGeorge Saffaye, Managing Director, Global Investment Strategist de BNY Mellon. Foto cedida

George Saffaye, Managing Director of Global Investment Strategist at BNY Mellon will present “Mobility Innovation for the future” in the seventh edition of Funds Society Investment Summit & Golf.

Saffaye is a global investment strategist for the Thematic Equity, US Large Cap Growth Equity, US Small Mid Cap Growth Equity and Global Natural Resources strategies. In this role, George guides the messaging and positioning of investment strategies. He is a critical interface between client-facing staff and investment teams, according to the firm information.

Before joining the firm, George worked as a portfolio specialist on the Small Cap team at Dreyfus, serving as a liaison between small cap portfolio managers and Dreyfus sales and marketing professionals as well as external consultants and clients. Prior to that, he worked at Credit Suisse Asset Management and Warburg Pincus, where his team was responsible for institutional client service and marketing in the Midwest region of the US. George has been in the investment industry since 1990.

The expert will speak during the event that will take place on October 14th and 15th at the Ritz Carlton Golf Resort in Naples.

For more information and/or to register for the Investments Summit 2021, follow this link.

Divergences Open Up EM Opportunities

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MaryThereseBarton Jupiter AM
Pixabay CC0 Public DomainMary-Therese Barton, Pictet Asset Management. Mary-Therese Barton, Pictet Asset Management

Exceptionally powerful and competing economic forces are radically reshaping the landscape for emerging market (EM) investors. But for those with analytical capabilities, the resulting divergence in country and asset performance makes this fertile ground on which to generate returns.

The global macroeconomic environment is exceptionally uncertain. On the one hand, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps delivering ugly surprises; the exceptionally infectious Delta variant is the latest but unlikely to be the last. On the other, global central bank liquidity remains generous, as do fiscal stimulus measures. Inflationary pressures are growing – some are temporary, others could well take hold. Governments are under pressure to respond. Elsewhere, particularly China, there appear to be secular political shifts.

All of which further muddies an already complicated picture – there is huge variation among emerging market economies. Spanning the full spectrum of economic activity, from raw commodities to finished high end manufactured goods, emerging nations are expanding at varying speeds. At the same time, there’s significant differentiation in the assets on offer even within those countries. 

So, in some cases, when a country’s dollar-denominated bonds are richly-priced, it is its local currency bonds that offer the prospect of better attractive risk-adjusted returns.

At the same time, the growing popularity of green bonds among sovereign issuers adds a further dimension to an investor’s decision making. 

Varying impacts of Covid, varying amounts of stimulus, big divergences in country fundamentals, the introduction of green bonds on top of locally and hard currency-denominated securities all make navigating this EM bonds a challenge that demands expertise and experience. 

Covid

The single most important issue facing all countries, but particularly emerging economies given their relatively limited public sector and financial resources, is how hard they were hit by Covid-19 and how effective their responses have been. 

Countries’ relative performance, or their ‘pandemic trajectory’ is a key determinant of how their economies and markets are likely to shape up – and not just over the short term. There is also the longer-term threat from what economists call hysteresis, or the economic and social scars Covid leaves behind.

Pictet AM

These effects will in part be determined by countries’ ability to contain the epidemic. That’s to say case, morbidity and mortality counts. These, in turn, will have been affected by the degree to which public health services have come under strain. These countries’ prospects will then be further influenced by the pace at which they are managing to vaccinate their populations (see Fig. 1). Countries that escaped the worst of the pandemic during 2020 and 2021 but have very low vaccination rates could still succumb to new strains of the virus, such as the Delta variant that swept through India during the spring and has since spread widely.

Commodities

With the recovery has come a boom in commodities, not least oil. Though generally prices have pulled back from their highs amid signs of a Chinese slowdown, the overall trend has been positive this year. Some of this strength has been a result of rising demand as life gets back to normal, partly stemming from bottlenecks in the supply chain caused by lingering after-effects of pandemic lockdowns. And emerging economies reacted differently to the revival in markets for raw goods.

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Many commodity exporters were buoyed by improvements in their terms of trade. Markets welcomed the turnaround. Take South Africa – the country moved from running a current account deficit to a surplus as exports improved, which, in turn, boosted the rand. Elsewhere, however, an improving trade position was offset by other risks, such as political upheaval in the case of Peru and Colombia or geopolitical stresses (here South Africa is also at risk given febrile conditions in the streets). 

On the flip side, large commodity importers such as China, have been hit by higher raw material prices. This has had the effect of pushing up inflationary pressures, particularly in Central and Eastern Europe, or of weakening their current account positions, and thus raising external funding costs.

Social shifts

How emerging countries compare in terms of their performance on environmental, social and governance (ESG) matters is also bound to affect their investment appeal. Social and governance factors are particularly important in parts of Latin America, where leftist politics and populism are witnessing a resurgence. This raises the risk that these countries will suffer an erosion of their long-term creditworthiness as politicians attempt to spend their way out of problems, causing fiscal pressures to mount. At the same time, worsening youth unemployment, poverty and educational outcomes are a threat to countries’ human capital formation, with Latin America again particularly at risk. 

Monetary policy

Inflation is a big question for investors everywhere – but especially so in EM. Huge flows of global liquidity and substantial measures of fiscal policy have kick-started economies in the wake of the pandemic. Further waves of mass infection could yet prove a damper on both growth and price pressures. But as countries learn to cope with Covid, the existing stimulus could cause economic growth to boil over.

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So far, EM central banks have taken an aggressive approach as inflation breached their targets – by and large they’ve been well ahead of developed economies in tightening policy (see Fig. 3). As a result, we think the markets have more than fully priced in the degree to which rates will be hiked by the time they peak. For instance, we think too much has been priced in for Russia, Mexico and Colombia, presenting us with attractive opportunities in those markets. 

But even here there is considerable differentiation between emerging economies. For instance, inflation remains quiescent in emerging Asian economies so central banks there are likely to maintain dovish policies, especially in light of their rising infection numbers.

Making the most of differentiation

Investors in emerging markets have their work cut out. Countries face more complex challenges than ever, many of them brought to the fore by the Covid pandemic. It has compounded the impact of differing degrees of development and differing access to resources, be they natural or man-made and ranging from infrastructure to human capital to strength of institutions. And it has added another dimension to domestic politics. 

Pictet Asset Management has a multi-faceted investment approach, using expertise from across the firm, that weighs up macro, political, environmental and social dimensions. 

Take our approach to investing in Chile. We see limited value in Chilean 10-year dollar-denominated debt, which trades at a spread of just 99 basis points over US Treasuries, and so have an underweight position in this asset versus the benchmark across our portfolios. Where we do own the hard currency bonds, we express a preference for the country’s green bonds that trade in line with the conventional bonds. For bonds priced in Chilean pesos, our recent bias is to receive local rates, as we believe that the bonds’ recent weakness implies expectations for too many policy rate hikes. At the same time, we have a more strategic bias to be overweight the currency, as a recent bout of weakness presents an attractive entry point. 

“Investors in emerging markets have their work cut out”.

As a team, we have learned to pay greater attention to the risks and opportunities presented by environmental matters and transition risk. 

We think green bonds are a good way for governments to finance climate change initiatives and consequently encouraged Hungary to start a green bond programme that we could participate in at the time of issuance. Romania has been less quick to adapt these measures, but here too we have been pushing the government to recognise demand for these instruments. Encouragingly, it has responded by developing a green bond framework which should help build its sustainability-focused credentials. 

We have a global reach, with a regional approach based around London, Singapore and New York, giving us local perspectives across the emerging market universe that we marry with our global macro and strategy strengths. 

Opinion written by Mary-Therese Barton, Head of Emerging Market Debt at Pictet Asset Management

 

Discover more about Pictet Asset Management’s  long expertise in emerging markets.

 

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