Trends in Planning and International Taxation

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From 1998 until now, two macro trends have influenced international wealth planning and international taxation

1. Tax homogenization or cartelization (which implies a global rise in taxes and the undoing of any traces of tax competition); and

2. The encroachment on individuals’ privacy (necessary to reach the objective above).

Both trends gained momentum after the 2001 WTC attack right up until Donald Trump’s leadership push and they seem to be acquiring even more relevance as we speak.

To illustrate this, it is important to remember that, between the attack and Trump’s rise to power, the following changes happened (among others), all of them leading towards the trends mentioned above:

1.  The “Patriot Act” was passed;

2.  Low or null taxing jurisdictions were forced to abolish bearer shares, and in many cases to require companies established there to register directors’ names before authorities (unlike several states of the U.S.);

3.  FATCA was passed and enacted; and

4. The Common Reporting Standard was passed and enacted.

Just like Trump’s Presidency stopped the advance of invasion to privacy (for example, IGA signing for FACTA implementation with third-country parties was halted). It implied, in fact, not just a halt but also a step back regarding wide agreements between high tax 

jurisdictions leading to a revival of tax competition once championed by Ronald Reagan. Biden’s victory, and above all, the pandemic have caused a fast return to the trends discussed above.

In between Trump losing the 2020 elections and his stepping down from office, Congress ignored his veto over the National Defense Act and forced its passing. This Act included the “Corporate Transparency Act,” which, in a nutshell, established the obligation to communicate to FinCEN the final beneficiaries of any company incorporated in the U.S.

It is uncertain how FinCEN will process such a huge amount of information – but what is not uncertain is that this provision will lead to an incredible erosion of an individuals’ privacy, with or without justification.

As for the second topic, taxes, Yellen’s words are still very fresh. “The U.S. should not have an issue with increasing its corporate taxes as it will not lose investments because this action forces the world’s countries to cooperate”. It is impossible to provide a better definition of tax cartelization.

In Latin America, both trends are the order of the day.

Starting with taxes; three countries have already approved taxes on extraordinary wealth (or on great fortunes), using the pandemic as an excuse. These countries are Argentina (made worse by the fact that Argentina, together with Uruguay and Colombia, already had a wealth tax before the arrival of Covid-19), Bolivia, and Chile.

Although a part of the world has long left this kind of tax behind, essentially because it is counterproductive for countries growth, difficult to manage, and a violation of the principle of equality, as well as for being one of the most evaded taxes, in some Latin American countries it seems to be gaining momentum due to the losses caused by the ongoing pandemic and the appearance of new populist governments.

Until recently, out of the 35 countries in the region, there was an equity tax, a personal property tax, or a wealth tax only in three of them. These countries were Argentina (besides the highest rates and the lowest minimum taxable amounts), Colombia, and Uruguay.

Towards the end of last year, Bolivia became the fourth country in the region to have this tax type. On December 28 of that year, the Bolivian parliament passed a tax on fortunes about 30 million Bolivianos reaching 152 people in Bolivia and a second wealth tax (in theory, for the only time) in Argentina. According to the information shared by the President of Bolivia over social media, the government authorities on economic matters estimated that with the new provision, around 100 million Bolivianos would be collected (approximately USD 14.3 million).

Argentina and Bolivia are remarkably different from each other, in particular:

  • Firstly, as I mentioned before, there already was a tax on personal property in Argentina, which makes this additional tax unconstitutional, as it affects the same assets twice. And since the deadline for payment of this tax was originally March 30, there are already several court filings requesting precautionary measures against it or a declaration of unconstitutionality);
  • Secondly, Bolivia’s tax reaches wealth ranges above USD 4,300,000, while in Argentina, it must be paid above USD 2,420,000;
  • In Argentina, rates for this tax vary from 2% to 3% for assets in the country and from 3% to 5.25% for assets owned abroad; in Bolivia, rates are 1.4% for persons with wealth ranges between USD 4.3 million and USD 5.7 million; 1.9% for wealth ranges between USD 5.7 million to USD 72 million; and 2.4% for wealth ranges above that; and
  • The new tax in Bolivia will be paid on an annual basis and permanent for all persons living in the country, including foreigners, having property, deposits, and securities in the country and abroad; this is not the case (so far, at least) in Argentina because there is already a personal property tax there, annual and with rates which may climb to 2.25%, with a practically null threshold. 

Besides the provisions passed in Argentina and Bolivia, there is a bill heavily underway in Chile and more or less incipient rumours or projects, sometimes with less backing, in Mexico, Peru, Uruguay, and other countries. 

In Chile’s bill, the two main differences with the cases above are the following:

  • The Chilean threshold is USD 22 million (similar to the US minimum for the inheritance tax, in line with the banking world’s standards for great fortunes); and that
  • There being a high level of juridical security in the country, likely, this “extraordinary,” “one-time-only” tax will actually be so. In Argentina, there have been numerous examples of taxes passed for a certain amount of time, then extended for decades (such as the earnings tax, the personal property tax, the check tax, the increase in the VAT rates, and so on).

Our position on this tax, whatever the specifics in each country, remains the same as always: there really are only four types of taxes: taxes on earnings, consumption, transactions, and equity, and the latter is by far the most dangerous and debilitating for any country. I would propose that a tax on current wealth is nothing but a tax on future poverty.

Going back to the issue of individuals’ privacy, another unfortunate trend in Latin America is the passing of a variety of provisions making taxpayers notify tax authorities of their wealth planning, which violates not only the privacy of persons but also principles as basic as they are important, such as attorney-client and accountant-client privilege. 

In this case, Mexico took the first step through a law passed by Congress on October 30, 2019, which entered into force on January 1, 2020. One of the effects of this law was to include the Tax Code of the Federation, the obligation, not just for taxpayers but also their tax advisors, to reveal fiduciary structures leading to a fiscal benefit.

Not unusually, after Mexico, Argentina followed suit, with AFIP’s General Resolution 4838, currently under study by several Nation’s Judges.

The revival and strengthening of both trends, not just in Latin America but the entire world, compels us to investigate current wealth structures in order to get ahead of greater changes and speed up the creation of innovative fiduciary structures for clients who have not yet done so. The growing fiscal voracity of countries will likely lead to completely legal structures now, but this could not be the case in the not-so-distant future.

All in all, there are storm clouds ahead in the wealth structuring and wealth preservation space.

A column by Martin Litwak, founder and CEO of @UntitledLegal, a boutique law firm specialized in fund investment, corporate finance, international wealth management, exchange of information and fiscal amnesties as well as the first Legal Family Office in the Americas. Litwak is the author of the books “Cómo protegen sus activos los más ricos (y por qué deberíamos imitarlos)” (How wealthiest people protect their assets and why we should do the same) and “Paraísos fiscales e infiernos tributarios” (Tax havens and tax hells).

Allianz GI Reshapes its Global Sustainable Investment Team under the Leadership of Matt Christensen

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Foto cedidaMatt Christensen, director global de Inversión sostenible e impacto de Allianz GI.. Allianz GI amplía y reestructura su equipo global de inversión sostenible bajo el liderazgo de Matt Christensen

Allianz Global Investors has announced the expansion and restructuring of its global Sustainable Investment team under the leadership of Matt Christensen, Global Head of Sustainable and Impact Investing, to enhance its commitment to sustainability. In this sense, they are hiring Thomas Roulland and Julien Bertrand.

The asset manager has decided to create three pillars for this new structure which will help ensure they continue “to push the boundaries of sustainability for its clients”, they highlighted in a press release. First, a newly created Sustainability Methodologies & Analytics team will innovate with state-of-the-art technology and ESG data, including Artificial Intelligence and Natural Language Processing, in order to support research, develop new methodologies across asset classes and develop client-oriented solutions. The team will also oversee Allianz GI’s ESG integration efforts, ESG scoring method and develop the firm’s data set for the climate strategy.

“We have strong ambitions with regard to carbon reduction, and the new team will be instrumental in transforming the pathway set out by the Net Zero Initiatives into operational targets for investors and comprehensive reporting to our clients”, Christensen commented.

Roulland will head the Sustainability Methodologies & Analytics team and will be joined by Bertrand as an ESG analyst for methodologies and analytics. Both join from Axa IM, where Roulland was Head of Responsible Investment Solutions, Models & Tools, and Bertrand worked as an ESG analyst recently.

The asset manager has revealed that the second area is a new Sustainability Research & Stewardship team. It will manage the thematic research and engagement strategy under the leadership of Mark Wade, who was previously Co-Director of Research Credit.

Isabel Reuss will continue to head the Sustainability Research team, which will also develop a thematic approach along the topics of Climate, Planetary Boundaries and Inclusive Capitalism. Antje Stobbe, member of the Sustainability Research team since 2019, has been promoted Head of Stewardship and will lead Allianz GI’s engagement and proxy voting activities globally. They will both co-lead the “Climate Engagement with Outcome”. This approach aims to engage with companies on the climate transition pathway towards a low carbon economy.

Finally, a newly created Sustainable Investment Office will be responsible for shaping AllianzGI’s overall sustainable investment strategy and policies, sustainable product strategy and the coordination of cross-functional sustainability topics across the firm. The team will play a critical role in providing improved knowledge to clients and other stakeholders on AllianzGI’s sustainable investment capabilities. It will be headed by Nina Hodzic, who was Director ESG Integration and Solutions since 2019 and has been promoted to the new role.

Christensen believes that this structure brings a new focus on ESG data and technology, a refreshed research setup and a dedicated sustainable investment office that will help accelerate their drive to embed sustainability across the firm. “The team set-up will provide us with the platform we need to ensure that we are in a position to shape -not follow- the market in the years ahead on critical issues like climate change and social inequalities”, he added.

 

NN IP Expands its Range of Green Bond Strategies with a New Sovereign Debt Fund

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. NN IP amplía su gama de estrategias de bonos verdes con un nuevo fondo de deuda soberana

NN Investment Partners has announced in a press release the launch of the NN (L) Sovereign Green Bond, a new fund adding to its green bond offering.

The asset manager said that this is the first sovereign bond fund aiming to have a positive environmental impact through the projects it finances. It complements its existing range of green bond funds, applying the same investment approach as the NN (L) Green Bond fund, but with a specific focus on treasury and government-related bonds.

The new vehicle comes just five years after NN IP launched its first dedicated green bond fund and only one year after launching a corporate green bond fund. Currently, they offer a full range of green bond funds: aggregate, corporate, sovereign, and an option for a fund with a shorter duration.

In their view, by having access to separate sovereign and corporate green bond funds, investors enjoy “maximum flexibility” to select the building blocks they need to make their fixed income allocation more sustainable with a measurable and positive impact.

“I am proud to be part of the development of an asset class that will play a key role in financing climate change mitigation and supporting the environment. Whilst in the past, investor demand for green bonds mainly came from impact investors, we now see more typical fixed income investors allocating to green bonds as well”, commented Bram Bos, Lead Portfolio Manager Green Bonds at NN IP.

In his opinion, these investors are looking to make their portfolio more sustainable without sacrificing financial performance. “Offering a broad range of green bond strategies makes this even easier, as it allows them maximum flexibility to allocate to green bonds that replicate the characteristics of traditional bonds in their portfolio”, he added.

An exponential growth

Lastly, NN IP highlighted that the launch of the sovereign green bond fund occurs at a time when the sovereign green bond market has seen significant growth in issuance, representing a diverse issuer base that they believe will continue to grow exponentially. Italy recently issued its inaugural green bond in March whilst Spain and the UK have also announced plans to issue their first green bonds in 2021, which will give the sovereign green bond market a further boost.

“These developments are creating a market that is well-diversified in terms of issuers and countries, which allows for a well-diversified portfolio with comparable characteristics to a regular allocation to treasuries”, they pointed out.

The asset manager estimates that green bond issuance could increase this year by 50% from 2020 to 400 billion euros, putting the total market above the 1 trillion mark, and expects the global green bond market to grow to 2 trillion euros by the end of 2023. The announcement from the EU that 30% of the NextGenerationEU bonds (in total 800 billion euros) will be green supports NN IP’s forecast for market growth.

XP Inc. Adds the Jupiter European Growth Fund to its Platform

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. XP incorpora a su plataforma el fondo Jupiter European Growth centrado en compañías large cap europeas

XP Inc. is bringing to its platform the first international fund of Jupiter, an asset manager based in London with 35 years of experience and US$ 80 billion in Assets Under Management (AUM).

The new offered fund is the Jupiter European Growth, focused on leading European-based companies that have Global operations, like Adidas, Dassault, Novo Nordisk, Pernod-Ricard and Deutsche Boerse. The fund consists of a concentrated portfolio of 35-45 holdings, focusing on large cap companies operating in sectors with attractive industry economics, high barriers to entry and sustainable competitive advantages.

The benchmark is the FTSE World Europe, that covers companies with these profiles.  The fund has been overcoming the index systematically for periods like three and five years.

Launched 19 years ago, the product is co-managed by Mark Nichols e Mark Heslop since October 2019. Together, they have more than 30 years of experience with European companies. The strategy is based on the stock picking view, seeking consistent returns in the long term and considering ESG principles.

The fund will have a minimum investment of R$ 500, with a management fee of 1%.

With this launching, XP takes another step towards democratizing the offer of global products to its clients, a process that has already brought to the platform funds from globally recognized managers, such as JP Morgan, Fidelity, AXA and Wellington. With values starting at BRL 100, the investor can have access to products linked to different types of companies, from the most traditional to the most innovative, in markets such as Europe, China and the United States.

William Lopez, Head of Latin America & US Offshore at Jupiter commented:

“We are delighted to have signed this strategic partnership with XP and to play our part in expanding the range of international funds available in the Brazilian market. Jupiter European Growth offers Brazilian investors exposure to European equities via a strong investment team and a proven active strategy. We look forward to working closely with XP in the future to provide greater access to Jupiter’s investment expertise in Brazil.”

 

“Jupiter Asset Management have a huge expertise in European markets, so, for us bringing their funds to our platform is a real milestone. The Brazilian investors will have the opportunity to diversify their portfolio in a fund with world-class companies”, says Fabiano Cintra, funds specialist at XP.

Vontobel Strengthens its Global Fixed Income Team in New York and Zurich

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Foto cedidaDe izquierda a derecha: Marc van Heems, estor de fondos para la estrategia de bonos corpo. Vontobel refuerza su equipo de renta fija global en Zúrich y Nueva York

Vontobel has expanded its fixed income team with four seasoned new hires in Zurich and New York. The asset manager pointed out in a press release that the appointments -which follow four new hires in January across its Zurich and Hong Kong offices- reinforce its commitment to attracting the best investment talent to drive value for investors.

Pamela Gelles has been named Senior Credit Analyst on the Developed Market Corporate Bonds team in New York. She joins Vontobel after eight years at BNP Paribas Asset Management, where she was a credit analyst following both investment grade and high yield companies within the consumer products, retail, hospitality and transportation sectors. She also co-created and implemented an ESG methodology for the company’s credit analysis.

Prior to that, Gelles covered various industry sectors, including healthcare and utilities, at BNY Mellon Asset Management, Foresters Financial, NLI International and The Carlyle Group. She also spent 12 years as a ratings analyst at Standard & Poor’s.

Another outstanding designation is that of Marc van Heems as Portfolio Manager for the Global Corporate Bond strategy in Zurich. He joins Vontobel from Lombard Odier Investment Management, where he was a portfolio manager for European and Emerging Markets Credit, responsible for active implementation of trades in investment grade and BB-rated bonds, including senior and subordinated cash bonds and credit default swaps. As a credit analyst, he covered non-financial sectors in developed markets and Asia, including Autos/Parts Suppliers, Defense/Aerospace, Capital Goods, China Real Estate, Indian Renewables and Energy.

The Zurich offices will also welcome as Head of Fixed Income Trading Jean-Michel Manry, a seasoned Operations and Trading Manager with expertise in derivatives, fixed income and forex. He joins from Rama Capital, a Geneva-based family office where he was an Operational and Trading Advisor. Prior to that, Manry spent 18 years at Pictet Asset Management, where he was Head of Fixed Income Trading and later became Head of Buy-side Trading for Multi-Asset strategies.

Lastly, Nicolas Hauser has been appointed Fixed Income Trader in Zurich. He joins from Fisch Asset Management, where he was responsible for trading and execution of corporate bonds and convertible bonds, as well as FX and futures. His expertise also includes futures trading for CTA managed futures accounts and interest rate risk hedging.

Simon Lue-Fong, Head of Fixed Income at Vontobel, highlighted that these hires reflect “the continued growth of, and investment into,” their global fixed income offering. “The volatility in markets over the last few months has demonstrated the importance of a truly active approach and the value of our high conviction active management style. Marc and Pamela will play key roles in helping to deliver value for our clients, and the knowledge and insight they provide will be instrumental in supporting the rest of the team”, he added.

Currently, the Fixed Income team consists of 41 investment professionals located in Zurich, New York and Hong Kong.

Capital Group Launches a High Conviction Asian Equity Fund

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Capital Group lanza un fondo de renta variable con enfoque de alta convicción que invierte en compañías asiáticas

Capital Group has announced the launch of its Capital Group Asian Horizon Fund (LUX), which seeks to capture Asia’s secular growth opportunities with a global perspective.

In a press release, the asset manager highlighted that Asia is fast becoming “a global economic powerhouse” and its rapidly growing middle class have brought about “a huge rise in the demand” of every kind of products and services, from healthcare and financial services to luxury goods and online entertainment. That’s why Capital Group Asian Horizon Fund (LUX) is designed to meet “growing investor appetite” for Asia-related stocks as global investors become increasingly aware of opportunities that arise from secular growth trends in the region.

The strategy is a high conviction portfolio, investing across the market cap and valuation spectrum to achieve long-term capital growth. The fund invests in companies with at least two-thirds of net assets based in Asia ex-Japan, including onshore China A-shares, but it also has the flexibility to invest in companies domiciled outside of the region, where Capital Group’s analysts believe that exposure to Asia will be a key driver of their future growth prospects.

By combining local and global investments, the asset manager created the fund to fully unlock access to “the most exciting growth opportunities” in Asia ex-Japan.

“Asia is becoming a global economic powerhouse and is home to some of the world’s most innovative and fastest-growing companies. Its multi-dimensional growth story is unique, and we are well placed to ensure that investors can tap into domiciled opportunities just as well as those outside the region that are plugged into the growth drivers within the Asian market. With our proven track record of being early investors in Asia’s emerging leaders, we believe that Capital Group Asian Horizon Fund (LUX) is a great example of helping investors to identify champions.”

AFOREs Diversify to Global GPs in Private Equity

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In Mexico, Harbourvest Partners, Spruceview México and Lock Capital are the three alternative investment issuers that have called the most capital in amount. On the other hand, Harbourvest Partners, Lock Capital and Capital Global are the three issuers with more than $1 billion USD in committed capital out of the 17 GPs that have issued CERPIs as can be seen in the following table:

 

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CERPIs are the vehicles that allow AFOREs to invest in Private Equity globally. So far (March 2021) there are 49 CERPIs in place totaling $9.714 million USD in committed capital, of which 25% have been called.

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MIRA Manager was the first in 2016 before CERPIs were allowed in 2018 to invest 90% of its resources globally and 10% in Mexico. The opportunity to invest globally promoted that, in 2018, 12 issuers issued a CERPI for the first time, standing out in committed capital: Capital Global, Lock Capital (who replaced Lexington as manager, who issued in said year) and KKR. In 2019 three new GPs were incorporated (Harbourvest Partners, Spruceview and Actis Gestor) and four GPs continued to grow their offer of CERPIs. For 2020 only Arago Capital was the new GP that was incorporated as an issuer and three reissued.

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For the potential market that global Private Equity investments have, the fact that there are only 17 issuers seems to us to represent a small number and that they are only taking a breather. In Chile, the AFPs make similar investments through 45 GPs (2.6 times more than Mexico) of which five of them have issued a CERPI in Mexico.

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For the AFOREs with $230.110 million USD in assets under management (as of February 28, 2021), investments in local Private Equity represent 5% and 1% in global Private Equity, which shows their growth potential.

As there are 49 emissions and 17 GPs, the average per GP is close to 3 CERPIs for each one, however 9 have more than one CERPI and 8 GPs only have one CERPI. The number of issuances has grown due to the specialization in the age of the affiliated worker and due to its orientation towards private banking clients. It should be remembered that today SIEFOREs are based on the worker’s age (Target Date Funds). Spruceview and BlackRock for example have 9 CERPIs each, while Lock Capital has 8.

The 17 issuers can be classified as:

  • Global GPs,
  • Local GPs,
  • GPs who are advisers and
  • Those that are a combination of the above.

As CERPI issuance dominates in the Fund of Funds sector it is highly likely that there are more global GPs than we currently see.  However, that information is not public.

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Global investments in Private Equity by AFOREs should continue to grow in both resources and managers.

Column by Arturo Hanono

XP Inc. Partners with M&G to Provide Flagship Flexible Bond Strategy to Brazilian Investors

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. XP y M&G firman un acuerdo para ofrecer su estrategia insignia de bonos flexibles a clientes brasileños

XP Inc., a leading, technology-driven financial services platform, announced its partnership with M&G plc., a leading international savings and investment company headquartered in London, to offer Brazilian-based investors access to a flagship flexible bond strategy via a new XP local fund.

XP has launched the M&G Optimal Income Advisory FIC FIM IE CP, a Brazilian domiciled fund dedicated to investing into a globally diversified fixed income strategy offered by M&G Investments, which combines top-down macroeconomic approach with a rigorous bottom-up credit analysis. Brazilian investors will have access to the BRL-hedged fund.

This partnership comes in an ideal moment as the all-time-low interest rate in Brazil (2% as of September 2020) has made global funds potentially attractive as an investment option for investors seeking to improve the risk/return ratio in their portfolios.

“We are excited to bring this flagship strategy from M&G on board. Focused on identifying the combination of assets that provide the most attractive income stream within the bond universe, the strategy not only presents new sources of potential returns, but is also meant to offer downside protection through the economic cycle”, says Fabiano Cintra, funds specialist at XP. “XP continues in its plan to connect Brazilians with the best investment opportunities in the world and M&G certainly stands out as a very well-known and well-recognized manager”, adds Cintra.

Ignacio Rodriguez Añino, Americas Chief Distribution Officer at M&G plc, comments: “We are very happy to have partnered with XP to make our investment capabilities available in Brazil. With local interest rates in record lows, international global funds give Brazilian investors the possibility to broaden their exposure to potential alternative sources of returns, while adding diversification to their portfolios. This strategy is a perfect fit for these two objectives, providing clients access to what we consider the best debt opportunities across the world with a strong focus on credit quality and risk management.”

Azimut Global Asset Management Team Strengthens in Brazil with the Acquisition of MZK Investimentos

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Azimut continúa reforzando su presencia en la región con la adquisición de MZK Investimentos en Brasil

The Azimut Group, one of the largest independent asset managers in Europe, through its subsidiary AZ Brasile Holding, signed an agreement to acquire 100% of the capital of MKZ Investimentos, an independent Brazilian asset manager specialized in Macro Strategies with more than 125 million dollars under management.

This transaction will add to the existing AZ Quest asset management proposition thus reinforcing the Group’s strong expertise across Brazilian equity and fixed income capital markets. AZ Quest and MZK Investimentos will operate as separate legal entities until all regulatory approvals are completed.

MZK, founded in 2017, has a senior and integrated management team, deriving from a joint activity developed over the last 15 years, which includes experiences in treasuries of major local and international banks, such as HSBC, Bradesco and BNP Paribas. This entire team, composed of qualified professionals and complementary profiles, will be integrated in the AZ Quest’s macro team and will be led by MZK CEO, Marco Antonio Mecchi.

This operation adds value also to MZK’s clients through the exchange of expertise from the current team with the other AZ Quest areas, such as equity, private credit and arbitrage. Moreover, MZK current team will access the competencies of over 150 portfolio managers in 18 investment hubs that make up the Azimut Global Asset Management Team. Professionals will benefit from this tremendous synergy without any changes in the current products structure.

The mutual fund industry in Brazil totals more than 1 trillion dollars with an excess of 70% of assets under management being concentrated on low-risk fixed income strategies. Local interest rates still significantly below the historical norm are conducive for a continuation in the rotation from low to medium-high risk investment strategies such those managed by MZK. In this context, the transaction strengthens the Group’s macro product proposition to local clients and underpin the potential for further organic growth capitalizing on the underlying industry trends.

Giorgio Medda, CEO and Global Head of Asset Management of Azimut Group, comments: “The investment in MZK fits well with our plans of adding breadth to our Global Asset Management Team local capabilities, particularly in a key market for global investment portfolios like Brazil. Our overall strategy to expand the Group’s integrated asset management platform in Brazil will benefit from new product development, which has been instrumental in our organic growth locally since 2015.”

Marco Antonio Mecchi, one of the MZK founder, comments: “The synergy and complementarity created by the merger of MZK and Azimut adds value and local expertise to its clients and also adds strength to the franchise. The new company will manage funds effectively using the leverage of the global structure Azimut provides and the local knowledge and experience MZK provides. We are very excited to be part of this Group and lookforward to the development of new businesses”.

 

An ETF to Capture the New Energy Revolution

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Un ETF para capturar la revolución energética

The crowds of tourists vanished from Venice’s historic canals. Fish were seen swimming in the city’s normally murky waterways. Then, NASA published satellite images of Earth, showing a dramatic reduction in greenhouse gas emissions across all the major cities under lockdown.

For a moment, we saw what a future low-carbon world might look like.

Demand for new energy grew in 2020

During a turbulent 2020, demand for energy generated by coal and oil fell by 8.5% and 6.7% respectively. But demand for renewable energy rose by +1%. 

Renewable energy demonstrated its reliability, even in a recession. The massive stimulus response from central banks created favourable financing conditions for both wind and photovoltaic (PV) solar projects. And some institutional investors even saw new energy as a safer-haven investment, as its returns can have lower correlation to more mainstream asset classes.

This progress was happening as fossil fuel demand plummeted to its lowest level in more than 70 years. At one point, oil futures were trading at negative prices due to a massive glut in supply.

The chart below from the IEA shows the global energy demand by source in 2020:

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Misconceptions persist about renewable energy

Although demand for renewable energy remained positive during the pandemic and more people are carbon-aware than ever, there are still many misconceptions about it.

These misconceptions are gradually being debunked – and new energy sources could see a major increase in investment as a result. Let’s address three common concerns about renewables and new energy now:

Misconception #1: “Renewable energy is just hype”

Renewable energy is being adopted because it makes financial sense. Over half the coal plants operating today cost more to run than building new renewable energy infrastructure instead. Even cancelling new coal power station projects today could save more than half a trillion dollars globally.

The ‘levelised cost of energy’ (LCOE), which is directly linked to the costs to build and operate an energy generator, has fallen significantly for both wind and photovoltaic solar power. Across the globe, LCOE for wind, solar and battery storage has plummeted over the past decade, led by technological advances and increasing cumulative installed capacity, which have progressively reduced costs.

 

The cost of renewable energy and battery storage has plummeted

The chart below from BloombergNEF shows the Global LCOE benchmarks for PV, wind and batteries:

Graf2

Misconception #2: “All fossil fuel-related financing is unsustainable”

The world needs energy to power the economic growth that makes the low-carbon transition possible. While directly financing fossil fuel plants is not sustainable, the financing of energy efficiency for fossil fuels does help us transition towards a more sustainable world. Rather than stopping all investment in fossil fuel-related companies, it would be more effective to improve the efficiency of the existing energy model, even as we manage the transition to the low-carbon model.

We want to – and must – move towards the new energy model. But in the meantime, we have fossil fuels to manage, and improving the energy efficiency existing fossil fuel plants is an important part of that.

Many energy companies have been moving towards ‘combined-cycle’ power plants that use both a gas and a steam turbine to produce energy. General Electric has estimated that up to 50% more electricity using the same fuel can be produced this way.

Natural gas is still a fossil fuel, but it is cleaner. Burning natural gas for energy results in lower emissions for nearly all types of air pollutants. It also complements new energy well, because combined-cycle turbines are cheap to get going and can provide power at short notice or when renewable energy is not available. The two technologies used in combination could drastically cut greenhouse gas emissions.

Misconception #3: “New energy is only viable because of subsidies”

The new energy market has developed to such an extent that subsidies are no longer needed in most parts of the world. For instance, the feed-in tariff system used by European countries to accelerate investment into new energy technology has largely come to an end.

It is being replaced by a more dynamic power purchase agreement market (PPAs), which are agreements to supply energy at a fixed price and quantity. The result is that energy companies get a guaranteed cash flow, and clients receive a guaranteed price and supply of energy.

None of this would be possible unless new energy was cheap, reliable and profitable to produce. Thanks to technical improvements and more competitive marginal costs – led by the ‘learning curve’ of renewable energy that reduces costs as more is produced – this sector needs less and less subsidy.

In our view, this is a structural shift, because the cost of renewables will decline over time. Fossil fuel costs will not decline over time – they may even increase over time, as most of the accessible sources have already been extracted. Now, fossil fuel Exploration & Production (E&P) companies must increasingly target controversial reserves that are harder to extract, such as those in the Arctic, tar sands, or shale gas.

Finally, the EU ‘Green Deal’ will also drive capital towards new energy companies, while the EU is thinking of significantly reducing fossil fuel subsidies as they undermine the efforts to reach carbon neutrality by 2050, as enshrined in the Paris Agreement.

While we at Lyxor talk a lot about the Paris-Aligned and Climate Transition benchmarks for net zero investing, these are not the only relevant strategies. Trends to be financed by green deal are broader than that, including sustainable mobility and smarter city infrastructure.

How to get investment exposure to new energy

One way to gain a targeted investment exposure to new energy is through the Lyxor New Energy (DR) UCITS ETF. It tracks the world’s 40 largest companies operating in three key areas of the new energy industry: renewables, distributed energy, and energy efficiency.

Ørsted – Renewable energy

Danish power company Ørsted (formerly DONG Energy) is a global leader in the offshore wind market. It is in a strong position to capitalise on the soaring demand for new energy needs in Europe due to the emission quotas defined in the Paris Agreement.

What’s fascinating about this company is that it was once fossil-fuel focused. In 2017, the group sold its oil and gas business to British chemicals company Ineos. More recently, it offloaded its liquefied natural gas operations to Glencore. Instead of returning the cash from the sale of these businesses to investors, the company chose to make a big push into offshore wind.

Ørsted was one of the first energy companies in the world to have a greenhouse gas emissions reduction target approved by the Science Based Targets initiative, and it estimates its target is 27 years ahead of schedule compared to the 2°C scenario for the energy sector as projected by the IEA.

Plug Power – Distributed energy

Distributed energy is the concept of global decentralised electricity production close to the point of consumption. Hydrogen is part of this, and green hydrogen in particular can be an extraordinary zero-carbon source of electricity.

As a result, an important area of development in new energy is storage – stationary storage stations, or onboard vehicles, vessels, planes, and so on. American company Plug Power develops hydrogen fuel cells to replace traditional batteries in electric vehicles and supplies these cells to major clients including Amazon and Walmart.

Distributed energy is what can bring resilience, contrary to hyper centralised production and grid systems. It’s also a game-changer for renewables, whose main drawback is that they are intermittent, and unable to – for example – provide 24/7 power to a hospital. With distributed energy systems, renewable energy can become a more stable energy source.

NIBE Industrier AB – Energy efficiency

Swedish company NIBE builds and sells solutions to reduce energy consumption and improve efficiency. It develops, manufactures and markets a range of energy-efficient solutions for climate comfort in all types of property, plus components and solutions for intelligent heating in industry and infrastructure.

This includes heat pumps and solar cells for private houses, the renovation of old buildings, public buildings, and even development of products for efficient energy utilisation in cars, such as elements for battery heaters and interior heaters that use sources such as braking energy.

NIBE’s heat pumps are being used in a new housing project in the Kortenoord district of Wageningen, The Netherlands, where around 1,000 homes are being built without a gas pipeline. The houses have optimum insulation and are equipped with energy-saving products such as heat pumps, solar panels and solar water heaters.

A megatrend in progress

New energy is part of a megatrend – one that will radically shape the society and business models of the future, underpinned by the global effort to achieve net zero by 2050.

This imperative explains the significant amount of investment flowing into the new energy industry. $282 billion of renewable energy capacity was financed in 2019, led by onshore and offshore wind with $138 billion, followed by solar at $131 billion.

And yet, this shift is just beginning. A revolution is underway in the energy market. It wasn’t started by the pandemic – this is a structural movement towards new energy that has developed over several years, backed by falling costs. It was recently accelerated by the events of 2020, that reduced demand for fossil fuels and related industries such as steel and cement.

Ultimately, renewable energies are on a declining cost trajectory, while fossil fuels have high and fixed costs. That cost trajectory implies that renewables will be cheaper than fossil fuels, which is already true in many cases, with or without disruptive global events.

The pandemic accelerated what was already happening in the new energy industry. It has acted as a catalyst for more rapid change. For investors, the Lyxor New Energy ETF, which recently passed $1 billion in assets under management, could be a great way to get involved in this change and become part of the new energy revolution.

 

A column by Paloma Torres, Associate, ETF CRM and Sales for Iberia and Latam in Lyxor Asset Management