The Demographic Trend Rejuvenating Fortunes for European Pharmaceuticals

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La tendencia demográfica mejora las perspectivas para la industria farmacéutica europea
Foto cedidaJohn Bennett, portfolio manager of the Henderson European Selected Opportunities Fund. The Demographic Trend Rejuvenating Fortunes for European Pharmaceuticals

Thanks to advances in medical care and nutrition, we are all living longer and healthier lives, challenging previously assumed notions of what constitutes a ‘natural lifespan’.

While this pattern of growing life expectancy is encouraging, a combination of improved healthcare and the long-term effects of the post-war baby boom has contributed to a greater number of people reaching advanced age. Fertility rates are also falling, resulting in a rise in the average age of the world’s population. As this global demographic shift progresses, it is creating some unique challenges – and long-term opportunities – for the pharmaceuticals industry.

We have been arguing since 2010 that the pharmaceuticals sector in Europe is undervalued, given its growth profile and misguided negative sentiment towards a so-called ‘patent cliff’. While it may be true that the ‘low hanging fruit’ era of the drug development market has passed, there is plenty of room for improvement in existing treatments and more targeted therapies that will be part of the next evolution of patient care. As with most things in life, new drug development is cyclical, and the number of treatments in the pipeline has been slowly but steadily trending upwards since 2007. Moreover, the global market for medicines is increasing, with conditions such as arthritis, diabetes and cancer more prevalent in the elderly.

Source: Henderson Global Investors, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, a 30 de abril de 2013

Research from the Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe found that more than two-thirds of people over 50 in Europe have at least one chronic health complaint. In the US, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), nearly half of American adults over 65 have more than one long-term persistent health issue, from cardiovascular disease to diabetes or hypertension.

European pharmaceuticals are at the forefront of treating chronic illnesses such as diabetes, a growing pandemic that affects over 60 million people in the region and over 350 million worldwide. To give some indication of the sums spent on treating this condition, the US spends over $10,000 annually on treating each patient with diabetes. Medicines such as Lantus and NovoRapid, created by Sanofi, the French pharmaceutical company, and Novo Nordisk (Danish) respectively, are leading medical products in the field.

Expenditure on Diabetes Treatments

Healthcare expenditure varies from country to country, but the amount spent globally is rising, as a percentage of gross domestic product, with total expenditure reaching US$6.5 trillion a year in 2010, according to the World Health Organisation. European pharmaceuticals are well positioned to help combat the evolution of diseases in the developing world, which are increasingly matching those in more advanced countries. Countries such as China, for example, are facing their own age-related timebomb, a consequence of Chairman Mao’s one-child policy, created in 1979. One third of the population is expected to be over 60 within 40 years.

Source: WHO Global Health Expenditure Atlas, 2012

Encouragingly, pharmaceutical firms have taken appropriate steps to reduce their reliance on blockbuster drugs. Approximately 44% of revenues for European pharmaceuticals come from a globally diversified range of revenue sources, such as consumer and animal health brands, vaccines, diagnostics, low-cost generics and the emerging markets. This is expected to rise beyond 50% by 2020.

Pharmaceuticals are also somewhat insulated against the wider economic woes that persist in Europe and elsewhere. While it is possible for consumers to cut back on their discretionary spending, such as holidays or eating out, most people place more value on their health. In 2010, older US consumers averaged out-of-pocket healthcare expenditures of $4,843, an increase of 49% since 2000. Even in the context of government spending constraints, it is reasonable to assume that support for healthcare spending will remain intact. In the UK, it is unlikely that any of the political parties would countenance a cut in the NHS budget with an election only two years away. An ageing population means more voters over 65, who will be anxious to protect or augment state provision for age-related healthcare.

Right now, we believe that the pharmaceuticals industry in Europe is perhaps two or three years into a decade-long renaissance, with good long-term prospects for revenue growth from sustainable sources. The quest for better therapeutic approaches is never-ending and big pharmas have a significant role to play in how illness and disability is treated in the future.

John Bennett, portfolio manager of the Henderson European Selected Opportunities Fund

 

ORIX completes acquisition of Robeco

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Orix completa la adquisición de Robeco
Foto cedida. ORIX completes acquisition of Robeco

ORIX, announce earlier than expected, that the acquisition of Robeco has been completed. ORIX has acquired approximately 90.01% of the equity in Robeco from Rabobank. The total sale price as a result of adjustment to reflect Robeco’s most recent financial position was 1,937 million EUR (2.500 million USD).

As a well-managed and relatively autonomous group of businesses with a good performance and track record, Robeco is a strategically important vehicle for ORIX to pursue its growth ambitions in global asset management. One of ORIX’s and Robeco’s priorities will be to further develop the growth opportunities which exist in pension and asset management markets in Asia and the Middle East, where ORIX has an established network. As well as working together to further improve Robeco’s corporate value, ORIX and Rabobank also will consider joint expansion in new business fields as strategic partners.
 
ORIX is committed to support Robeco’s strategy, its services to clients, its investment processes and teams, based on Robeco’s long term commitment to deliver value to clients. Robeco’s management board will remain in their current roles with Roderick Munsters continuing as CEO. Robeco will report to ORIX headquarters in Tokyo.

 

World University Rankings: 2013 Edition

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World University Rankings: 2013 Edition
Wikimedia CommonsFoto: Yale University. Un total de 57 universidades estadounidenses, entre las 100 mejores del mundo

The Center for World University Rankings (cwur.org) released on Monday its 2013 ranking of the world’s top 100 universities.

The top 10 universities are: Harvard, Stanford, Oxford, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Columbia, Berkeley, Princeton, Chicago, and Yale. The distribution of the top 100 institutions among countries is as follows: USA (57), England (6), Japan (6), France (5), Canada (4), Israel (4), Switzerland (4), Australia (2), Germany (2), Denmark (1), Finland (1), Italy (1), Netherlands (1), Norway (1), Russia (1), Scotland (1), Singapore (1), South Korea (1), and Sweden (1).

The Center for World University Rankings (CWUR) publishes the only global university performance tables that measure the quality of education and training of students as well as the prestige of the faculty members and the quality of their research without relying on surveys and university data submissions. CWUR uses seven objective and robust indicators to rank the world’s top 100 universities:

  1. Quality of faculty members, measured by the number of academics who have won major international awards, prizes, and medals
  2. Publications, measured by the number of research papers appearing in reputable international journals
  3. Influence, measured by the number of research papers appearing in highly-influential journals
  4. Citations, measured by the number of highly-cited research papers
  5. Patents, measured by the number of international patent filings
  6. Alumni employment, measured by the number of a university’s alumni who currently hold CEO positions at the world’s top 2000 public companies relative to the university’s size
  7. Quality of education, measured by the number of a university’s alumni who have won major international awards, prizes, and medals relative to the university’s size

 

Arcano Asset Management Appoints José Luis del Río as its New CEO

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Arcano Asset Management nombra a José Luis del Río nuevo consejero delegado
Wikimedia CommonsBy Fernando García Redondo . Arcano Asset Management Appoints José Luis del Río as its New CEO

As reported by the Spanish newspaper, Expansión, the independent advisory company, Arcano, has just recently appointed José Luis del Río as the new CEO of its asset management division, Arcano Asset Management.

Del Rio shall head the creation, development, and management of investment products for institutional clients in collaboration with Ignacio Sarria, Manuel Mendivil, Pedro Hamparzoumian and Yuliya Kaspler, all partners in this division of Arcano, one of the largest Spanish venture capital management companies, with more than 2,500 million Euros of assets under management and advisory.

During 2011 and 2012, Del Rio was CEO for online supermarket Tudespensa.com, and was responsible for its commissioning and launch.

He was a founding partner of N+1 in 2001 and a managing partner since then until 2011. As the partner in charge of the management activities of Group N +1, he has been president and CEO of N+1 Wealth Advisory, N+1 Asset Management and of Apeiron Gestión Alternativa. Additionally, he has been partner in charge of Capital Markets, FIG and of the Strategic Clients Division.

Previously, he had worked for two years at UBS as director of its Entrepreneurs Division.

Between 1990 and 1999 he worked in the Investment Banking department of AB Asesores, where he was Director of Mergers and Acquisitions and of the Capital Markets department. Once AB Asesores was acquired by Morgan Stanley, he was director of ECM. Del Rio has a degree in Business Administration and Law from ICADE (E-3).

Arcano has offices in Madrid, Barcelona and New York, and three specialized areas: Investment Banking, Asset Management and Multifamily Office. It has a team comprised by a staff of over 70 professionals.

Oscar Franco Steps Down as Amafore President

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Óscar Franco deja la presidencia de Amafore
Wikimedia CommonsÓscar Franco. Oscar Franco Steps Down as Amafore President

After five years at the helm of Amafore (the Mexican Association of Afores or pension funds) Oscar Franco, decided to step down from his post. The new CEO will be announced in due course, as the association said through a statement.

Amafore’s board of directors, consisting of all the CEOs of member companies, announced on Thursday that, starting next July 1st, the Amafore Executive Committee shall be temporarily in charge of the association’s presidency, replacing Franco, who resigned from the post to pursue “new personal projects”.

Tonatiuh Rodriguez, vice president and spokesman for the organization pointed out “Franco’s outstanding performance during the five years he spent as head of the Association. His commitment and professionalism were fundamental for the cohesion and unity of the sector and for the development of major initiatives, including the promotion of financial literacy for the benefit of millions of workers”.

Rodriguez added that the new CEO will be appointed shortly. “We are looking at various options and shall base our decision on the candidate who best meets the expectations of the members, especially as regards facing the enormous challenges in the coming years. For now, the Vice-Chairmen shall take over the interim management to ensure continuity of the programs and activities already underway,” he explained.

Bestinver Opens its New Office in London, Headed by Francisco Garcia Paramés

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Bestinver abre una oficina en Londres, que dirigirá Francisco García Paramés
Wikimedia CommonsBy Freepenguin. Bestinver Opens its New Office in London, Headed by Francisco Garcia Paramés

Within its international expansion, Bestinver has decided to open a commercial analysis office in London, which during the next two years shall be managed personally by Francisco Garcia Paramés, who shall focus most of his time in analysis activities, according to a statement issued by the company.

This new office is an addition to the two investment analysis centers which currently operate in Madrid and Shanghai, the company stated.                                                    

“This decision will allow us to be closer to the companies where we mainly invest, and generally improve our access to information on companies that are, or that may be the target of our investments. London is the main financial and investment center in Europe and we feel confident that that fact will help us in our business as investors, now that 80% of the wealth managed by the Bestinver Group is invested in European companies,” reads the statement. 

Beltran Parages, Bestinver’s commercial director, points out that from a business point of view, this decision is a further step in its strategy to diversify the origin of the money under management. The result of this strategy, which began four years ago, is that currently more than a third of all wealth under management is of international origin, ensuring greater stability in their investments thanks to the geographic diversification of its investors.

The Best Manager in Latin America Leaves his Fund

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El mejor gestor de Latinoamérica deja su fondo
Wikimedia CommonsFelipe Rojas. The Best Manager in Latin America Leaves his Fund

Felipe Rojas, the only Latino in Citywire’s global list of top 1000 ranking mutual fund managers, has made the decision to quit managing his fund, a step which he will take within a month, as he personally explained to Funds Society.

Within approximately thirty days the star manager will step down from the administration of the investment fund “Cruz del Sur Fondo de Inversión Deuda Latam and will devote his time to advising and to the practice of outdoor sports, another of his passions.

Rojas, who explained that the decision comes after Southern Cross was acquired by Security, a Chilean group, said that just as in many other acquisitions, the new owners have changed some practices, which in this case also included changes to analysis and fund management. At this point, Rojas concluded that it was best to continue their separate ways.

Nevertheless, he admits he is open to consider “alternatives to be able to contribute to asset management”, so surely we’ll soon see him back in the world of management.

 

BPA Acquires Inversis, Winning its Bid Against Andbank

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BPA se hace con Inversis al imponerse a Andbank en la puja
Wikimedia CommonsBy Jaume Meneses. BPA Acquires Inversis, Winning its Bid Against Andbank

On Friday, Banca Privada d’Andorra (BPA), through Banco Madrid, has managed to beat its main rival Andbank in the bid for the bank Inversis when it submitted a bid higher than the other bank, which is also from Andorra. Banco de Madrid has closed the operation at about 212 million Euros.

This week, both companies staged a battle to seize the Spanish institution, continually increasing their offers in order to win the bid. In the end, BPA has taken the upper hand and beat its major rival with an offer that far exceeds the 150 million Euros which were expected at the start of the auction.

Inversis shareholders, including Bankia, Sabadell, Indra, Cajamar, El Corte Ingles, Telefonica and Banca March have thus benefited from the duel staged by the Andorran banks. The Inversis board of directors signed off the sale to BPA this afternoon in Madrid, thus closing the chapter starring the two institutions.

Meanwhile, Banco Sabadell, with 15.15% of Inversis, informed the CNMV(Spain’s national stock market regulator) on Friday of the signing of a sales contract for the price of 32.3 million Euros. The closing of the transaction is subject to the granting of the necessary regulatory approvals. For Banco Sabadell, the operation represents an approximate net gain of 18.9 million Euros. 

The same contract of sale has also been signed by other shareholders, which altogether make up for a transfer of 92.93% of Banco Inversis’ share capital for a price which represents a valuation of Bank Inversis of 208.9 million Euros.

New York, London and Miami, the Most Successful International Centres in Wealth Management

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Wealth managers are struggling with the challenges posed by the economic environment and continuing regulatory pressures, according to a new PwC report published today.  PwC’s report, Navigating to tomorrow: serving clients and creating value, includes findings from PwC’s 2013 20thanniversary Global Private Banking and Wealth Management Survey. Survey participants suggest that the wealth management industry is moving away from simply providing products towards delivering solutions and advice to clients. Trust, reputation and brand will likely all play a greater role in client propositions and clients’ perception of value, says PwC.

Despite the resurgence of global wealth to nearly pre-2008 levels, the industry is facing significant margin pressure caused by increasingly stringent and costly regulatory requirements, uneven growth across geographic markets, loss of certain type of fees and subdued client activity.  These dynamics are further compounded by shifting demographics and existing challenges around operations, technology, and talent management. Surviving and succeeding in this environment requires changing to a more consultative business model that places a premium on “doing the right thing,” says PwC.

Overall key findings include:

  • Compliance replaced reputation as the top risk management concern, as wealth management firms struggle to keep pace with the scale, speed and costs of current and planned regulatory change.
  • Infrastructure transformation will redefine how wealth managers serve clients.
  • The cost of complying with regulation will continue to rise, with respondents forecasting that risk and regulatory compliance expenses will account for seven percent of annual revenue in two years, up from five percent today.  Significantly, participants from the Americas project even higher costs, a nearly twofold increase to nine percent in the next two years.
  • Attracting and developing quality client relationship manager (CRM) talent has become a critical priority for the wealth management industry.

Key findings for the Americas:

  • Americas respondents consider New York, London and Miami to be the most successful international centres. Globally, Switzerland currently tops the list.
  • Cost to income ratios are significantly lower for the Americas with firms targeting forty eight percent for 2014 as compared to sixty four percent globally.
  • Americas respondents are nearly twice as likely to use new technology to communicate with their wealth clients (43% of Americas firms currently use PDAs and mobile tablets compared to 26% globally). 
  • Americas firms are making significant investments in core processes and technology as reflected in substantially higher operations and technology budget forecasts.

The report, which surveyed 200 institutions from more than 50 countries, found that the wealth management industry is at an inflection point, precipitated by continuing regulatory pressure, a challenging macro-economic environment, margin compression, changing demographics and trust challenges.

Specifically, PwC’s survey found that the industry must confront five areas of transformative change that will define business success:

Markets and Clients

With more new and innovative entrants in the field, an in-depth understanding of an increasingly diverse and disparate client base is essential to retaining a competitive edge. The industry should become more agile in using data analytics and other resources to pinpoint what clients really value and how much that value is worth to them. Findings from the survey include:

  • Newly emerging wealth markets are set to outpace established emerging markets while traditional sources of wealth such as North America and Western Europe will experience lower growth.
  • Women represent a significant but underleveraged growth opportunity. Though they currently comprise one third of the client base, only eight percent of firms surveyed focus on gender in their segmentation approach.  
  • Generation Y has unique characteristics not shared by their predecessors that must be understood and addressed to attract new and preserve existing relationships. Respondents noted that a decision by the next generation is the third most common reason clients leave a private bank, indicating a need to build more relevance for this segment. This aligns with survey findings indicating that wealth managers are not confident that their talent management strategy is conducive to meeting the needs of next generation heirs and millennials.
  • Americas respondents indicated they are almost three times as confident in their ability to meet the needs of the millennial generation.

“In Western Europe growth is slow, while North America shows moderate growth, and in the emerging markets growth remains relatively high but has slowed in some areas. To these markets, we can add a further group of nascent emerging markets which are accumulating new wealth most rapidly, with net new money growth forecast as 16% in 2013. The multi-speed wealth management market is here to stay and wealth managers should embrace this,” said Jeremy Jensen, EMEA leader, global private banking and wealth management, PwC. “Retaining clients remains a focus for wealth managers. Changes in personal circumstances are cited as the greatest reason for clients leaving, but the fact that ‘a decision by the next generation’ is the third most common shows both the importance and the challenge of better managing inter-generational wealth transfer. Wealth managers should improve their understanding of clients’ extended family issues to capitalise on the inter-generational opportunity.”

Risk and Regulation

In this year’s survey, compliance replaced reputation as the top risk concern, as wealth management firms struggle to keep pace with the scale, speed and costs of current and planned regulatory change.

  • Participants cite client and suitability risk as the second greatest area of concern after compliance both today and two years from now.
  • While the current approach to risk management centers around compliance and loss prevention initiatives, risk quantification and stakeholder value integration will assume greater priority in the next two years (this is a twenty eight percent increase for risk quantification and twenty five percent increase for stakeholder value/integration, respectively).
  • The cost of regulation will continue to rise, with respondents forecasting that risk and regulatory compliance will account for seven percent of annual revenue in two years, up from five percent today.
  • Tax information exchange leads the list of specific regulatory concerns, followed by client privacy/data protection and tax amnesties.

“Compliance and risk management is here to stay; private banks should accept this as reality, and that business as usual means doing things the right way, with the right people and right skills. The ability to understand and manage the avalanche of regulatory and risk issues, such as cross border transactions, tax transparency and sales practices will likely require private banks to continue investing heavily into systems and training to ensure that they are able to do business in a profitable, but compliant way,” said Justin Ong, Asia Pacific leader, global private banking and wealth management, PwC. “There will likely be a lot of change management happening in private banks globally as they start to build in processes and policies developed in the past few years to deal with the new operating environment.”

Human Capital

In light of aggressive competition and unprecedented trust erosion, attracting and developing quality client relationship manager (CRM) talent has become a critical priority for the wealth management industry. Setting the tone from the top and aligning rewards and incentives with ethical behavior is integral to rebuilding reputational equity and reclaiming “trusted advisor” status. In our survey:

  • Hiring experienced CRMs and improving overall skill levels is one of the top strategic considerations for senior leaders in the next two years.
  • With remuneration reported as the leading cause of attrition (seventy percent), firms are reconsidering reward and incentive structures in an effort to balance talent goals and stringent new rules around variable compensation.
  • The key attributes for successful CRMs are evolving in tandem with new client demands and business priorities. Most notably, specialized product knowledge jumped in significance from ninth place to second place and cross-selling took on substantially more prominence as well.
  • CRM objectives are changing dramatically with findings indicating that revenue growth will replace both net new money growth and gross return in AUM as the leading performance metric in the next two years.
  • Profitability by CRM and managing the cost of servicing are also expected to become substantially more important, rising from thirty five percent to forty five percent and twenty six percent to forty four percent, respectively.
  • Firms are focused on enhancing long-term incentives tied to goals.

“The required attributes of a successful CRM are different today – the bar is rising as business models evolve – requiring CRMs to have more specialised and detailed product knowledge. Communication and other soft skills have become increasingly important,” continued Jensen.  “Wealth managers should be courageous and proactive if they are to improve external public perception and engender higher levels of client confidence. CRMs will likely play a critical role as the industry seeks to rebuild trust.”

Operations and Technology

The quest for operational efficiency and differentiation through technology continues as firms increase investments to streamline processes, improve efficiency/productivity and mitigate risk. In our survey:

  • Respondents pinpointed a superabundance of manual processes as the leading challenge of operations and technology infrastructure by a substantial margin. However, more than half of participants (54%) are optimistic that they will achieve predominantly common processes and automation within the next two years – a threefold increase from today (17%).
  • Findings indicate that wealth management firms expect to see significant gains from investment in end-to-end processes and technology within the next two years.
  • With client service taking on even greater priority, digital interaction projected to double in the next two years, the bulk of technology investments will be earmarked for CRM tool support and mobile, social and digital connectivity/resources.
  • Notably, despite the growing emphasis on digital interaction, less than a quarter of respondents (24%) feel that their IT capability is sufficiently equipped to deliver an effective digital service strategy to clients.

“The wealthy by every demographic are more technology enabled than ever before. They tend to be part of connected digital communities who share their ideas and opinions. They are willing to do more of the background research and investigation on their own.  Their relationships with their advisors have taken on a hybrid or multi-media characteristic blending the trusted advisor with advanced technology tools analytics and social media.  This impacts the core technology infrastructure of wealth managers. Distinct from traditional transaction processing, which must absolutely be done correctly and profitably, technology budgets are increasingly focused on data, analytics,” said C. Steven Crosby, Americas leader, global private banking and wealth management, PwC.  “Today wealth managers should be able to provide data for clients who want it anytime, anywhere and on any device.”

Products and Services

As value chain dynamics and client priorities change, firms are aiming to combat commoditisation by shifting their focus to value-added financial planning services and reconsidering how they develop products. In our survey:

  • Only one third of firms plan to engage in revenue sharing and retrocessions during the next two years as compared to half today. 
  • With commission revenues dwindling, seventy one percent of senior wealth management executives expect that, two years from now, their business model will encompass broader financial and wealth planning solutions, up from fifty six percent.
  • Fewer products will be manufactured in-house in future as firms continue to transition to a hybrid approach that combines proprietary and third party strategies (seventy six percent will use a hybrid approach in the next two years versus sixty five percent today).
  • The transparent unbundling of products and services is creating opportunities for new entrants within the wealth value chain.

“Our respondents are struggling with transformational change. The products and services the wealthy are seeking today are far different from those of the past.  Clients are demanding best of breed products with fee structures they can readily understand and evaluate on their own.  More importantly they are now looking for something extra from their wealth managers. Today the wealthy seek guidance and direction on investments, family, philanthropy, retirement and long term health care,” continued Crosby.  “This is more sophisticated financial planning and less transaction focused. Increasingly this part of the customer experience is becoming digital with new tools and capabilities.”