The Afores Transfer 1.344 Billion Dollars to the Pension Fund for Welfare

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As required by the President of Mexico, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO), on Monday, July 1, his government began delivering the first pension supplements to retired workers.

The date was significant for the president and his administration because it marked the sixth anniversary of what he considers his historic electoral victory in 2018, and the start of an economic and social regime change known as the “Fourth Transformation.”

One of the initiatives promoted by the president a few months ago was the creation of the Pension Fund for Welfare (FPB), a state-managed fund that will be used to supplement workers’ pensions so that they can retire with 100% of their salary, up to a cap of approximately 932.10 dollars at the current exchange rate.

The first pension supplements were to be delivered on July 1, a promise that has been fulfilled.

These pensions will consist of the pension the worker receives from their individual account (replacement rate) and the supplement that brings their pension to 100% of their salary at the time of retirement, provided it does not exceed the cap of 16,777.77 pesos and pertains to the 1997 law generation.

Afore Transfers

In a statement, the Mexican Association of Retirement Fund Administrators (Amafore) reported compliance with the law requiring the transfer of resources to the Pension Fund for Welfare.

“As part of the process to carry out the transfer, the Afores, in collaboration with the authority, conducted a thorough review to determine which accounts belonged to people over 70 years old in the case of IMSS and 75 years old in the case of ISSSTE, and who had not contributed to social security for one year,” said the institution.

Thus, the total amount of resources sent to the trust established at the Bank of Mexico was approximately 1.34 billion dollars.

Amafore indicated that in the coming days, it will send a certificate of transfer of the resources from this sub-account to the last registered contact point of each worker.

Additionally, in the next month of September, an account statement will be generated with the latest movements under the Afore administration. Subsequently, the account statement delivered will include the performance reports of the Pension Fund for Welfare.

The Labor Market With Pre-Pandemic Numbers Brings Fed Cuts Closer

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The U.S. labor market continues to show signs of recovery, with a steady trend in job creation and a decline in the quit rate, suggesting normalization and cooling. This keeps the door open for rate cuts later this year, according to analysts.

Job vacancies increased to 8.14 million in May, which is above expectations. However, the trend remains a decline in vacancy figures as the U.S. economy moves closer to pre-pandemic levels.

The quit rate was the major warning sign of an imminent increase in labor costs that caused inflation to spike in 2021 and remain elevated since then. However, the marked decline in the quit rate suggests that the labor market is cooling, as companies are less willing to pay more to hire staff or workers themselves are becoming more reluctant to move.

Similarly, The Conference Board states in its analysis that “the modest cooling of the labor market in the second quarter, from heated to robust, should be welcomed by the Fed.”

Additionally, the weakening of consumer demand and, consequently, the growth of real GDP in the first half of 2024 should have brought some calm to the labor market, adds The Conference Board.

However, with no signs of a collapse in the labor market, the Fed can maintain a restrictive monetary policy to drive consumer inflation back towards the 2 percent target.

“We continue to forecast that the unemployment rate will peak this year below the natural rate of 4.4%,” says the study, which adds that inflation is likely to stabilize at 2% by mid-2025, allowing for a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the November and December 2024 meetings.

According to ING Bank, wage growth and inflation should continue to cool, keeping the door open for rate cuts later this year, states an ING Bank report.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, speaking at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal, acknowledged that the economy and labor market have been strong, but that inflation is showing “signs of resuming its disinflationary trend” along with a “rebalancing in the labor market,” adds the report signed by James Knightley, Chief International Economist, U.S.

While Powell declined to provide details on the timing of any potential rate cuts, markets are now pricing in a roughly 75% chance of a cut at the September FOMC meeting.

“If we get another couple of core inflation numbers at or below 0.2% monthly, unemployment exceeds 4%, and more evidence of cooling consumer spending growth, we believe the Federal Reserve will begin to shift monetary policy from restrictive territory to ‘slightly less restrictive.’”

UBS Private Wealth Management Announces the Arrival of a Team in Tampa

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UBS Private Wealth Management announced this Tuesday that the Reynolds, Grindel & Hall Wealth Management Group has joined the Tampa, Florida office from Morgan Stanley.

The team, consisting of Jeffrey Reynolds, David Grindel, and Jeremy Hall, who together bring nearly 70 years of industry experience, will be under the leadership of Managing Director and Florida Market Director, Greg Kadet.

“I am delighted to welcome Jeff, David, and Jeremy to UBS,” said Kadet, who oversees UBS’s Wealth Management and Private Wealth Management businesses in the Greater Florida region.

“These talented financial advisors employ a comprehensive planning approach to meet clients’ financial needs and are excellent additions as we continue to expand our capabilities and presence in the region,” the statement said.

Reynolds is a multigenerational financial advisor with over 30 years of experience serving families, organizations, and business owners, focusing on understanding each client’s wealth as well as their short- and long-term goals, according to the firm’s statement.

“He and his team create tailored plans to help clients achieve their wealth goals,” the statement adds.

Grindel is a certified financial planner with 20 years of industry experience. He strives to build long-term, trusting relationships and help guide clients to simplify their financial lives while ensuring their financial plans remain aligned with their goals and objectives over time, says the firm.

Hall is also a certified financial planner who focuses on helping clients navigate assets, estate planning strategies, retirement planning, and insurance needs, UBS adds.

“His approach is based on designing financial plans that reflect an integrated view of clients’ multigenerational and legacy goals,” the statement concludes.

The Assets of Robo-Advisors and Neo-Brokers Could Reach $2.8 Trillion in 2024

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The assets under management in the digital investment market, including robo-advisors and neo-brokers, have snowballed in recent years, growing from $3.8 billion in 2017 to $2.26 trillion in 2023. According to data analyzed by AltIndex.com, it is estimated that the assets in this business will continue to grow, but possibly at a slower pace.

According to AltIndex.com, the assets of robo-advisors and neo-brokers will reach $2.8 trillion in 2024, 30% less than previously forecasted. Growth projections for the robo-advisors sector decreased by 46%; however, the neo-brokers market is expected to increase by double the previous forecast. “Thanks to robo-advisors, neo-brokers, and trading apps, people can invest in stocks, bonds, and other assets without actively managing their portfolios, with algorithms adjusting their risk preferences, making data-driven decisions, and maximizing returns. This approach offers, in principle, a broader range of investment options and lower fees, attracting millions of people to the market,” explains the platform.

Between 2017 and 2023, the number of people using these services multiplied by 35, increasing from approximately 15 million to over 500 million. Thanks to this enormous user base, the entire market has experienced five consecutive years of triple-digit growth. And although market forecasts remain optimistic, the latest Statista survey showed a significantly lower annual growth rate than expected last year.

According to Statista’s 2024 Market Insights, the total transaction value in the digital investment industry will grow by 23% and reach $2.79 trillion this year, nearly 30% less than the $3.9 trillion expected in the 2023 market forecast. Most of that decline will come from the robo-advisors segment. Last year, Statista projected that the robo-advisors segment would reach a transaction value of $3.39 trillion in 2024; now, that figure is 46% lower, standing at $1.8 trillion.

On a positive note, the neo-brokers market is expected to grow much more than anticipated last year. In May 2023, Statista data showed that this sector would reach a value of approximately $500 million in 2024. However, growth projections have become much more optimistic since then. The latest data shows that the total value of assets managed by neo-brokers will reach $980 billion in 2024, nearly double the previous year’s expectations. Statista expects this figure to continue growing, reaching $1.07 trillion by 2027, or 75% more than the 2023 forecast.

Nearly 600 million people will use digital investment services in 2024. Despite a 30% decline in the projected growth rate, the digital investment market continues to demonstrate its resilience. The market is expected to welcome an impressive number of users this year, proof of the efficiency, speed, and low service fees it offers.

Felipe Torres Joins Ureña Wealth Management Group in the Snowden Lane Network

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Snowden Lane Partners announced on Wednesday that Felipe Torres has joined the Ureña Wealth Management Group as Managing Director, based in the Coral Gables office.

“We are very pleased to welcome Felipe, who brings nearly 20 years of financial services experience to our team,” said Armando A. Ureña, Senior Partner and Managing Director of Ureña Wealth Management Group at Snowden Lane Partners.

Before joining Snowden Lane, Torres worked for three years as a Senior Investment Advisor at Creand Wealth Management.

Prior to his position at Creand, Torres worked as an Investment Advisor at Banco Santander for five years. Throughout his career, Torres has also gained experience at financial institutions such as UBS, Citi, and Corredores Asociados, where he specialized in creating and rebalancing investment portfolios to meet the specific investment goals of each client.

“I am thrilled to join Snowden Lane. The firm has shown tremendous growth in recent years, and I look forward to playing my part in continuing that momentum. Above all, I know that the technology, flexibility, and additional resources that a high-end boutique like Snowden Lane can offer will allow me to continue providing tailored solutions to achieve my clients’ financial goals,” commented Torres.

“The Ureña group is looking to expand our team’s capabilities, and Torres’ experience in serving high-net-worth Latin American individuals makes him a natural fit,” added Ureña.

Torres holds an MBA from New York University and a bachelor’s degree in finance from Universidad Externado de Colombia.

BNP Paribas AM Appoints Pieter Oyens as Global Marketing Director and Guillaume Wehry as Co-Head of Global Product Strategy

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BNP Paribas AM has strengthened its Marketing and Global Strategy teams with the appointment of Pieter Oyens as Global Marketing Director (CMO) and Guillaume Wehry as Co-Head of Global Product Strategy.

According to the asset manager, since July, Pieter Oyens has been reporting hierarchically to Steven Billiet, Head of the Global Client Group. In his new role, he will lead the marketing organization to ensure greater coordination with the priorities of the product, investment, and sales teams on an international, regional, and national scale, in order to best meet client needs.

“Thanks to his extensive experience, Pieter has developed a deep understanding of BNP Paribas Asset Management’s product range and strategic opportunities. I am convinced that this knowledge will enable him to develop and execute the comprehensive marketing strategy we need to advance our business development. His experience in Asia will be particularly useful in reinforcing our objectives in this key region for the asset manager,” highlighted Steven Billiet, Head of the Global Client Group.

With over 20 years of experience in investment banking and the asset management industry, Pieter has held various regional and international executive positions in sales, product development, and derivatives. He previously served as Co-Head of Global Product Strategy at BNP Paribas AM and, before moving to Paris, was Head of the Investment Specialists team in Asia-Pacific, based in Hong Kong, where he was a member of the regional Executive Committee. In this regard, he has extensive experience in Asia, having spent 14 years in Hong Kong working for BNP Paribas Group and ABN AMRO Bank, among other entities. He holds a law degree from Leiden University in the Netherlands and is a CFA (Chartered Financial Analyst) charterholder.

On the other hand, Guillaume Wehry will lead the product strategy team alongside François Roux. As Co-Head of Global Product Strategy, Guillaume will report hierarchically to Pierre Moulin, Global Head of Product and Strategic Marketing. “I am confident that Guillaume will help BNP Paribas Asset Management in developing our product priorities, allowing us to execute our current and future strategic plans. He is well-equipped to manage, optimize, and develop our strategic and innovative product offerings in line with our strategic pillars in private assets, ETFs, and thematic investments, within the framework of the new interest rate environment. Additionally, he will assist us in achieving our ambitious sustainability goals, which are a key element of BNP Paribas Asset Management’s corporate philosophy,” added Pierre Moulin, Global Head of Product and Strategic Marketing.

Guillaume brings over 25 years of experience in the asset management industry, of which more than 10 years were spent in Asia. He has held various senior positions within BNP Paribas Group, SGAM, and Amundi in Europe and Asia. In 2018, he joined BNP Paribas Asset Management as Head of Marketing for Asia-Pacific in Hong Kong, where he drove commercial efforts in the region, particularly in the distribution segment. Guillaume holds a degree in Management from Université Paris IX Dauphine.

Neal Brooks (M&G): “We See Luxembourg as an International Gateway, and Not Just to Europe”

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Over the past two years, M&G has focused its objectives on asset management and a greater focus on Europe as growth drivers. Among these goals were strengthening the firm’s areas of investment expertise, consolidating the M&G Investments brand internationally, and improving distribution networks in continental Europe to reach more institutional investors.

Neal Brooks, Global Head of Product & Distribution at M&G, notes that they have largely achieved these goals, as the growth of the manager is solid, especially in Europe, where they have made new hires and strengthened relationships with their clients, particularly banks, pension plans, and insurers.

“Europe is where we have experienced the most and fastest business growth. We are very focused on active management, and our goal is to be recognized as a leading active manager across pan-European markets. We want to do this by focusing on areas where we believe active management makes a difference, such as fixed income and private markets,” says the Head of Product and Distribution at M&G, who acknowledges that in Europe, one of their main objectives for years has been to internationalize the business and go beyond their established presence in the UK.

Aware that they are in a highly competitive market with other managers excelling in certain areas, they have strengthened their distribution and client relations teams, especially with global banks and insurance companies. This is evidenced by the good results achieved in Europe in the institutional segment, where they have seen a greater influx of institutional flows and pension plans from European markets in recent years, traditionally known for their wholesale business.

“I think it’s part of what we wanted to achieve, which was to invest in a way that worked for a broad set of clients across Europe.” He adds, “Our company’s approach is to set up M&G PLC in three distinct businesses: international asset management, M&G Investments, and in the UK, our Wealth division and our insurance division, Life. The experience in the latter in the UK gives us great capacity to understand the end institutional client and, in turn, allows us to scale the asset management business. We are not an insurance company with an asset management arm, but rather our approach is of two parallel businesses.”

This advantage is deployed by the company from Luxembourg, a destination chosen by the firm after Brexit to internationalize its business. “We see Luxembourg as an international gateway, and not just to Europe. Right now, we have €114 billion under management, making us the fifteenth largest manager in Luxembourg, with a team of 70 people. In recent years, we have strengthened our investment staff in Europe, but we maintain the criterion that all our offices are well balanced between distribution, investment, and other functions. Without a doubt, Europe is where we have experienced the most and fastest business growth,” Brooks acknowledges.

In these years, he recognizes that the industry has evolved. “We are in a context where banks and intermediaries are moving towards portfolio construction models. Therefore, what we are looking for is to identify what we can provide to those portfolios.” According to him, when Joseph Pinto joined the manager as the new CEO, they evaluated what they were doing and concluded that many clients knew them for their Optimal Income strategy but were unaware of their capabilities in private markets, especially on the institutional investor side. Focusing on portfolio construction and offering a wide range of specialized strategies is, in his opinion, the right path for continued growth.

A growth opportunity that he also believes will come with ELTIFs, as he considers that “they will be the real change that will open much more access to retail investors,” although he acknowledges that some challenges remain to be resolved, such as liquidity and fund size. “With ELTIFs 2.0, these vehicles can be distributed in any European country at the retail level, not just among professionals, which I honestly think will change the rules of the game and the market. However, none of this will make a difference if investors do not understand the product well; people need to understand it correctly to buy it,” he adds.

When talking about private assets and the potential of the ELTIF structure, Brooks takes a moment to highlight that they are firm believers in private credit and its role in portfolios, but only if the investor understands the asset. “We have encountered a very varied knowledge and understanding of the asset. The conversation usually centers on liquidity or the level of leverage, but it is necessary for the investor to understand the level of risk. The first investors in our ELTIF were family offices, who are sophisticated investors. We are working with banks and insurance companies, but our starting point is to ask ourselves how we can help train private banking networks so that they can then help and train clients in this asset class,” he highlights.

Credit, Thematic Investment, and Private Assets

In this vision of portfolio construction, he believes that successful investment strategies like Optimal Income will have a place, but Brooks goes a step further: “It is in the areas where we have the most experience and where we do best that we can offer the most to the investor, such as being an active credit manager. What I mean is that we have made an effort to highlight the areas where we have outstanding capabilities, and this has driven much of our flow and growth over the past two years. I think it has been very valuable because we are now more relevant to our clients because we have different strategies and assets that we can offer.”

This evolution of the company has made them a reference point when it comes to credit management, which has become “at the core” of what they do. According to Brooks, beyond credit, they have also found a way to differentiate themselves in an area like thematic equity investment. “I think it is an investment segment where an active approach can really make a difference,” he says. In this regard, he highlights the work of his colleague Fabiana Fedeli, who joined M&G about three years ago as CIO of Equities, Multi-Assets, and Sustainability. “I think we are doing well, finding where the gaps were and making sure we are set up correctly to manage strategies for all clients, whether institutional, retail, or wholesale clients. Again, we have had good results and are delivering good returns, aligning with clients’ interests. I would say we are even more focused on equities than on other areas, because we firmly believe there are some areas where active management can make a difference.”

The third area where Brooks believes M&G makes a difference is in the universe of private assets and markets, where they currently have €84 billion under management. “We are focusing our private asset offering in six areas: private credit, structured credit, real estate, infrastructure, responsibility, which specializes in impact strategies in emerging markets, and the private equity and impact team, leading the Catalyst strategy. Catalyst is an internal mandate of €6 billion focused on investing in sustainable companies in private markets. We don’t want this to be seen as a boutique model but rather to show that there is a very clear investment culture,” explains Brooks.

In this regard, he acknowledges that they are focused on topics related to healthcare, climate change, and fighting inequality. “We are looking at this purely from a private markets angle, specifically venture capital. We have a responsibility, the Swiss boutique firm we bought two years ago. Obviously, their expertise is focused on emerging and frontier markets. Much of what they do is incredibly interesting and is helping us a lot in providing new perspectives on how to approach similar ideas in developed markets. Emmanuel De Blanc has just joined us as CIO of private markets and now oversees and leads these six areas that are so crucial to us,” he adds.

Looking Towards the Americas

Regarding the manager’s business in the Americas, Brooks explains that they are focusing on two areas: Latin America and the US offshore market. “In Latin America, we are in markets like Chile, Peru, Uruguay, and Colombia, and we are also looking at Mexico and Brazil from an institutional side. These are regions where our strategies work well. In the offshore market, we are making good progress with large global banks like Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Citi,” he says.

One of the reflections that Brooks highlights about the American market is that in addition to the strong presence of Latin American money, there is a significant flow of Asian money. According to him, “Chinese money enters through San Francisco, Latin American money through Miami and Texas.” To respond to this opportunity, he acknowledges that they have had to collaborate with more advisors than they initially thought.

He also notes, in terms of investment preferences, the strong bias towards the dollar and the US and how comfortable investors are with emerging market credit. “In many Latin American countries, investors are very used to buying individual corporate bonds in their local market. They include significant allocations to their sovereign debt within their assets and are well aware of the market dynamics and risks. Their portfolios tend to have larger allocations to emerging markets and look for specialized partners for their purely European asset allocations, with smaller allocations,” he adds.

In his experience, the difference on both sides of the Atlantic is not only noticeable in portfolio allocations but also in the way of approaching the business: “Europe and the UK remain large fund markets, while large American firms and brokers have had great success with Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs), offering greater customization and a broader selection.” Brooks is sure that their presence on both continents is a two-way journey. “What happens in America ends up reaching the UK and Europe. Some of the things that happen there we will learn and they will help us with European clients,” he concludes.

AZTLAN Equity Management Lists an ETF on the Lima Stock Exchange

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AZTLAN Equity Management, a boutique investment fund management firm specializing in strategy development and global stock selection, has announced a strategic alliance with the Peruvian firm Belo Partners. This partnership enabled the registration of the ETF Aztlan Global Stock Selection DM SMID on the Lima Stock Exchange, Peru.

With an initial price of 21.50 dollars per share, it can now be purchased by local investors through any Brokerage Firm (SAB).

“The AZTD ETF from AZTLAN is a unique rule-based strategy that selects the 27 highest-ranked companies based on fundamental factors. It uses a proprietary quantitative model with six factors, including cash flow generation, valuations, earnings growth, quality of capital structure, earnings revisions, and stock price momentum,” the firm explained in a statement.

The fund’s stock selections represent companies in developed markets in North America, Western Europe, and Asia, with stock market capitalizations ranging from 500 million to 10 billion dollars.

In 2022, the Aztlan Global Stock Selection DM SMID (AZTD) ETF was first listed in the U.S. market through the New York Stock Exchange and subsequently in the SIC through the Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV). Its portfolio comprises small and mid-cap companies with high market liquidity and superior business fundamentals, including free cash flow, profitability, and attractive valuations. Currently, the AUMs (Assets Under Management) of this ETF exceed 30 million dollars.

“We are very proud to enter the Peruvian stock market with our funds, thanks to the efforts of our commercial partner Belo Partners. Listing our AZTD ETF demonstrates our commitment to creating value alliances that benefit the broad investing public,” highlighted Alejandro H. Garza Salazar, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of AZTLAN Equity Management, LLC.

AZTLAN Equity Management, LLC is a boutique portfolio and investment fund management firm specializing in strategy development and global stock selection. Over seven years, AZTLAN has established its presence in the United States, Mexico, Argentina, and Hong Kong.

Belo Partners is a Peruvian firm with experience in banking and financial institutions, providing advisory services in wholesale sales, capital raising, mergers and acquisitions, and corporate advisory with the goal of utilizing all available resources and reinforcing alliances with partners and clients.

These Are the Most Expensive Cities in the World for “Living Well,” According to Julius Baer

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Living well is not cheap. Living well in major cities comes with costs that not everyone can afford, creating a distinction between large metropolises and other cities.

The Global Wealth and Lifestyle Report 2024, prepared by investment bank Julius Baer, details the lifestyles and consumption trends of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI) in 15 countries across Europe, APAC, the Middle East, Latin America, and North America.

According to the data provided, the impact of the global pandemic has stabilized into a “new normal.” However, inflation, rising living costs, and geopolitical tensions continue to affect prices and priorities globally.

In 2024, price increases slowed to an average of 4%, measured in dollars, compared to 6% in 2023. This year, the prices of goods grew more rapidly than those of services: 5% versus 4%, also measured in dollars. Although cities continue to become more expensive, inflation rates have normalized over the past 12 months.

The city’s ranking is based on the Julius Baer Lifestyle Index, which analyzes the cost of a basket of goods and services representative of “living well” in 25 cities worldwide.

Regions and Their Cities

This year saw significant shifts in the rankings of major cities and, consequently, the regions for “living well,” based on the index’s performance.

Singapore once again ranked as the most expensive city in the world, while Hong Kong moved to second place from the third position it held in the previous report. However, this was not enough for the Asia Pacific region (APAC) to retain the top spot, and it fell to second place for the first time in the regional ranking. This was due to the decline observed in cities like Tokyo and the significant advance of the European region.

Thus, the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region, defined by Julius Baer as EMEA, displaced APAC from the top spot. This is a significant advance considering that in last year’s report, it was the cheapest region for “living well,” now becoming the most expensive.

The performance of London, which moved from fourth to third place, and the rise in all European cities, without exception, explain the region’s increase in the index. This year, Zurich climbed eight places, while Milan and Paris rose six and five places, respectively.

The appreciation of the region’s most representative currencies (euro and Swiss franc, except for the British pound) also explains this positioning.

In the Americas, both New York and São Paulo remain among the top ten most expensive cities for “living well.”

In city measurements, New York dropped from fifth to seventh place, while São Paulo remained in ninth place. However, Miami fell from 10th to 15th place, and the big surprise was Ciudad de México, which made a significant leap to 16th place from 21st the previous year.

Currency Fluctuations Are Determinants

Overall, currency fluctuations play an important role in determining changes in the index, says Julius Baer in its report, impacting both upward and downward movements.

“Although costs barely changed in local currency, conversion to U.S. dollars made the difference. The index prices are converted to dollars to allow for international comparison. Therefore, the strength of currencies like the Swiss franc and the relative weakness of currencies like the Japanese yen are clearly reflected in the results of these cities,” the company stated in its report.

Christian Gattiker, Head of Research at Julius Baer, commented: “This year’s report demonstrates that currencies are very important. For example, in the 1990s, Tokyo was the epitome of an ultra-expensive city. However, the gradual decline of the yen has shown that this can change. Although it may seem trivial, we tend to forget that the cost of living can look completely different for a foreigner thinking in U.S. dollars or Swiss francs instead of the local currency. Currency and context make the difference.”

Retail Financial Advisors and Their Model Portfolios Drive ETF Assets

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The adoption of ETFs by end investors and financial advisors in the retail client channel is one of the main drivers of the growing market share of this vehicle, according to the latest Cerulli Edge-The Americas Asset and Wealth Management Edition report.

Retail financial advisor channels collectively held $4.3 trillion by the end of 2022, which is 66% of the total ETF assets. In this context, the wirehouse channels ($1.2 trillion) and independent RIAs ($1.1 trillion) are the two largest segments of retail financial advisor intermediaries in terms of ETF assets, collectively representing more than $2.2 trillion in total ETF assets, adds Cerulli.

Financial advisors report an increasing use of ETFs in the future, regardless of the channel.

Independent RIAs are expected to continue leading the trend, with a forecasted allocation of 39% to ETFs, while hybrid RIAs estimate an allocation of 32.7%.

Independent intermediaries foresee allocations close to 22%, while wirehouses expect to remain near 20%.

Another catalyst for ETF flows is asset allocation model portfolios, in which ETFs have become a significant component.

According to Cerulli, asset managers and external strategist model providers have an asset-weighted average allocation of approximately 54% to ETFs.

12% of financial advisors’ assets are held within practices that primarily use model portfolios as their portfolio construction process. However, Cerulli estimates that 24% of assets are within practices considered targets for model portfolios.

“The sector will continue to see the adoption of models as wealth management home offices push advisors towards them and they realize the resulting benefits,” says Matt Apkarian, associate director.

Given the industry’s move towards model portfolios, ETF providers should seek placement opportunities within both proprietary and third-party model portfolios.

“We expect the ETF to have more weight in model portfolio construction as newer products start to reach their three- and five-year track records, which are typically needed for consideration,” concludes the report.