Germany Leads European Mutual Fund Inflows

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The European funds industry enjoyed net inflows of only €0.4bn into long-term mutual funds for October 2014, according to Lipper Thomson Reuters.

Single fund market flows for long-term funds showed a mixed but positive picture for October; 22 of the 33 markets covered in Lipper’s report showed net inflows. The single market with the highest net inflows for October was Germany (+€2.4bn), followed by Italy (+ €1.9bn) and Belgium (+€0.8bn). Meanwhile, the international fund hubs Luxembourg and Ireland (-€5.8bn), France (-€1.5bn), and Denmark (-€0.5bn) stood on the other side.

Mixed-asset products—with estimated net inflows of €7.7bn—were the best selling asset class overall for October.

BlackRock, with net sales of €4bn, was the best selling group of long-term funds for October, ahead of Vanguard (+€2.2bn) and Pioneer (+€1.6bn).

Provisional figures for Luxembourg- and Ireland-domiciled funds suggest equity funds, with estimated net inflows of around €17.6bn, will be the best selling products for November.

Man Group Announces Acquisition of Silvermine Capital Management

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Man Group Announces Acquisition of Silvermine Capital Management
. Man Group anuncia la adquisición de Silvermine Capital Management

Man Group plc announced this week that it has entered into a conditional agreement to acquire Silvermine Capital Management LLC, a Connecticut-based leveraged loan manager with $3.8 billion of funds under management across nine active collateralised loan obligation (“CLO”) structures as of 30 November 2014. The acquisition is expected to complete in the first quarter of 2015, subject to certain approvals being obtained.

Silvermine is wholly-owned by the firm’s founders and senior staff members and is based in Stamford, Connecticut. The team of 17 focuses exclusively on managing US levered credit portfolios and, since inception in 2005, has executed 16 separate transactions totalling $6.7 billion.

Upon completion of the Acquisition, Silvermine will be integrated into Man GLG and will operate under the Man GLG Silvermine name which will complement Man GLG’s existing credit business. Silvermine’s team will remain in place under the leadership of two of the firm’s founders, G. Steven Kalin and Richard F. Kurth, who will continue to work alongside the other co-founders Aaron Meyer and Jonathan Marks.

The Acquisition follows Man Group’s recent acquisitions in the US of Pine Grove Asset Management LLC, Numeric Holdings LLC and the Merrill Lynch Alternative Investments LLC fund of hedge fund portfolio.

The regulatory capital requirement associated with the Acquisition is expected to be approximately $45 million. As of 30 November 2014, Silvermine’s run rate management fee revenues and PBT were $17 million and $8 million respectively, based on $3.8 billion in funds under management.

Mark Jones, co-CEO of Man GLG, stated, “The acquisition of Silvermine will transform our existing credit business and position us to benefit from strong demand for US CLOs and other credit strategies. Silvermine is a highly respected, specialised business with an excellent track record of outperformance. As part of Man Group, Silvermine will benefit from our world class infrastructure, distribution and access to capital and we are confident that this acquisition will bring meaningful advantages to our investors by further diversifying our offering.”

Steven Kalin and Richard Kurth, Managing Directors of Silvermine, commented, “We’re excited about the opportunities that joining Man Group will bring to us and to our investors. We have always been focused on identifying opportunities in the credit space that, given their risk/return proposition, deliver attractive performance for our clients. We are pleased to be joining forces with an organisation that not only embraces our firm’s entrepreneurial spirit, but plans to help foster that spirit and collaborate with us to further grow the business”.

DAB Bank Acquisition: a Major Step in the Development of BNP Paribas in Germany

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BNP Paribas has closed the acquisition of 81.4% stake in DAB Bank AG from Unicredit AG, together with the voluntary offer to minority shareholders. Following this step, BNP Paribas now controls 91.7% of DAB Bank’s capital and announces its intention to perform a squeeze-out on the remaining shares. Through this acquisition BNP Paribas strongly boosts its retail presence in Germany.

With DAB Bank and Consorsbank, BNP Paribas ranks fifth digital bank in Germany serving 1.4 million clients and first online broker with 8.7 million executed trades for the first nine months of the year. This acquisition also provides foundation for retail business in Austria, where the Group intends to develop direktanlage.at into a full-blown digital retail bank. Overall, at the end of September 2014, the total deposits of Consorsbank and DAB Bank reached 17Bn EUR and total assets under management 47Bn EUR.

“This operation once more confirms our strategic ambition to build a long term franchise in Germany, in line with our development plan in the Retail, the Corporate and the Institutional segments. DAB now joining our set-up in Germany represents a key contribution to grow our clients’ and deposits’ base serving the German economy. The combined client base puts us in a position to come close to the top 3 online banks in the country.” says Camille Fohl, Head of BNP Paribas Germany and Chairman of the Management Board in Germany.

Kai Friedrich, CEO of Consorsbank and coordinator of the BNP Paribas Retail activities in Germany, confirms: “the clients of DAB Bank and Consorsbank will both benefit from this operation. We intend to offer to all our retail clients a fully-fledged banking offer and services, while maintaining state of the art platforms for active traders. At the same time, we will speed up the development of the B2B activity for the professional segment”.

“We welcome the employees and clients of DAB Bank to the BNP Paribas Group. This acquisition is a crucial strategic move, both for our development in Germany and to further grow our digital bank in Europe. BNP Paribas, with already 1.3 million digital clients through Hello bank!, will become one of the leader in Europe in this field, adapting to changing needs and behavior of our clients” concludes François Villeroy de Galhau, COO of BNP Paribas and Head of Domestic Markets.

Founded in 1994, same year as Consorsbank, DAB Bank has been experiencing rapid growth in its direct banking business, in particular recently since 2012. The Munich-based company is expanding its business with private clients, as well as through its B2B offer to the professional segments such as Independent Financial Advisers. DAB Bank in Germany and direktanlage.at its subsidiary in Austria, serve 575,000 and 68,000 clients, respectively. Their total deposits reached 5bn EUR and securities accounts stood at 31bn EUR end of September 2014.

In Germany, BNP Paribas already covers a broad range of client segments from retail to corporate and institutional with 13 businesses lines and more than 4,000 employees. Germany is a key market for BNP Paribas’ expansion in Europe, committing additional means and workforce with strong growth targets in terms of revenues.

Anne Tinyo to Lead Life Management Services for Wells Fargo Private Bank

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Wells Fargo Private Bank announced Anne Tinyo has been named head of its Life Management Services group. This program integrates life and wealth management solutions to help clients plan for their future. Its services assist with the challenges of life transitions and maintaining their personal and financial independence. In her role, Tinyo will be responsible for national leadership of the program, which

Prior to joining Wells Fargo, Tinyo served as senior vice president of operations for 11 years at Los Angeles-based LivHOME Inc., a provider of at-home caregiving and geriatric care management services.

“Anne Tinyo brings tremendous experience working with older adults and helping them maintain independence, financial stability and quality of life,” said Jeff Savage, head of Specialized Wealth Services at Wells Fargo Private Bank. “Her passion working with clients, along with her practical experience in this field, makes her a perfect match to run this important business for Wells Fargo.”

Wells Fargo Life Management Services is one of nine lines of business that comprise Specialized Wealth Services, a part of Wells Fargo Private Bank’s Investment and Fiduciary Services. Life Management Services serves clients in 32 states and more than 100 markets nationwide.

“Within the next 20 to 30 years, more than 75 million baby boomers will surpass the age of 60, and people aged 90 and above are the fastest growing segment of our population today, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Despite these statistics, there is still a lot of evidence that people fail to consider how they will manage their health and finances, and maintain their lifestyles as they age. I look forward to having a meaningful impact on our clients,” said Tinyo.

A native of Windsor in Ontario, Canada, and a graduate of the University of Western Ontario with a bachelor’s degree in social sciences, Tinyo will be located in Los Angeles.

Capitulation Out of Energy and Materials to the Benefit of the Dollar

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Trump en la Casa Blanca: impacto en las materias primas
Foto: Doug8888, Flickr, Creative Commons.. Trump en la Casa Blanca: impacto en las materias primas

Global investors are keeping faith with equities while raising cash as markets enter the volatile year-end period, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for December. Asset allocators have hiked their cash holdings to an average 5 percent. Moreover, a net 28 percent are now overweight relative to their benchmarks. This is the survey’s highest reading on this measure since June 2012.

Despite this defensive move, respondents show renewed confidence in the global economy. A net 60 percent now expect it to strengthen over the next year – up almost 30 percentage points in two months. Against this constructive background, they are also more confident that corporate earnings will rise.

At the same time, inflation expectations have fallen to their lowest level since August 2012. Commodities are a significant factor in this. A net 36 percent of fund managers view oil as undervalued following its recent price fall. This reading is up over 20 percentage points since October and represents its lowest level since 2009.

In addition, expectations of European economic performance have improved. This reflects the likelihood of the European Central Bank beginning a program of quantitative easing next quarter – as 63 percent of respondents now expect, compared to November’s 41 percent. This translates into higher appetite for eurozone equities, notably banks, revealed in the survey.

“We are seeing capitulation out of energy and materials to the benefit of the dollar, cash, eurozone stocks and global tech and discretionary stocks,” said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Research. “The prospect of ECB QE has brought growing consensus on European equities, but the weakening business cycle and falling commodity prices are working against true earnings recovery,” said Manish Kabra, European equity and quantitative strategist.

Benign inflation ups growth expectations

A growing number of investors now anticipate a favorable scenario of above-trend growth and below-trend inflation over the next 12 months. While this is still a minority view (with the majority anticipating that both growth and inflation remain below-trend), its reading has jumped five percentage points month-on-month.

A net 20 percent now expect higher global consumer prices in the next 12 months. This is down from last month’s net 35 percent.

In this environment, respondents view global fiscal policy as too restrictive. This month’s net 26 percent is the survey’s highest reading on this measure since July 2012.

Commodity collapse

Commodities have fallen sharply out of favor. A net 26 percent of fund managers are now underweight the asset class. This is up from November’s net 18 percent and marks the survey’s lowest reading on this measure in a year. This shift is also evident in strong moves in investors’ positioning. Both the energy and materials sectors saw 19 percentage-point month-on-month increases in net underweights.

Commodities’ fall has intensified bullishness on the U.S. dollar. While funds continue to view long exposure to the U.S. currency as the most crowded trade in financial markets currently, they still regard the dollar as significantly undervalued.

 Europe finds favor

Appetite for eurozone equities has risen to a net 26 percent overweight, up from November’s net 8 percent. Intentions to own the market have also risen, with Europe now the region fund managers are most likely to overweight over the next year. A net 19 percent regard eurozone equities as undervalued. This reading is up from November’s net 12 percent.

Regional fund managers have raised their exposure to European banks in particular. A net 13 percent are now overweighting the sector, compared to last month’s net 3 percent underweight.

In contrast, investors have less conviction towards U.S. and Japanese stocks. With the U.S. market appearing overvalued to a strong majority of the panel, a net 10 percent now intend to underweight it in the coming 12 months.

Crime, Corruption, Tax Evasion Drained a Record US$991.2bn in Illicit Financial Flows from Developing Economies in 2012

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A record US$991.2 billion in illicit capital flowed out of developing and emerging economies in 2012—facilitating crime, corruption, and tax evasion—according to the latest study released Tuesday by Global Financial Integrity (GFI), a Washington, DC-based research and advisory organization. The study is the first GFI analysis to include estimates of illicit financial flows for 2012.

The report—GFI’s 2014 annual global update on illicit financial flows—pegs cumulative illicit outflows from developing economies at US$6.6 trillion between 2003 and 2012, the latest year for which data is available.  Titled “Illicit Financial Flows from Developing Countries: 2003-2012,” [PDF] the report finds that illicit outflows are growing at an inflation-adjusted 9.4 percent per year—roughly double global GDP growth over the same period.

“As this report demonstrates, illicit financial flows are the most damaging economic problem plaguing the world’s developing and emerging economies,” said GFI President Raymond Baker, a longtime authority on financial crime. “These outflows—already greater than the combined sum of all FDI and ODA flowing into these countries—are sapping roughly a trillion dollars per year from the world’s poor and middle-income economies.”

“Most troubling, however, is the fact that these outflows are growing at an alarming rate of 9.4 percent per year—twice as fast as global GDP,” continued Mr. Baker.  “It is simply impossible to achieve sustainable global development unless world leaders agree to address this issue head-on. That’s why it is essential for the United Nations to include a specific target next year to halve all trade-related illicit flows by 2030 as part of post-2015 Sustainable Development Agenda.”

Findings

Authored by GFI Chief Economist Dev Kar and GFI Junior Economist Joseph Spanjers, the study reveals that illicit financial flows hit an historic high of US$991.2 billion in 2012—marking a dramatic increase from 2003, when illicit outflows totaled a mere US$297.4 billion. Over the span of the decade, the report finds that illicit financial flows are growing at an inflation-adjusted average rate of 9.4 percent per year. Still, in many parts of the world, the authors note that illicit flows are growing much faster—particularly in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and in Sub-Saharan Africa, where illicit flows are growing at an average annual inflation-adjusted rate of 24.2 and 13.2 percent, respectively.

Totaling US$6.6 trillion over the entire decade, illicit financial flows averaged a staggering 3.9 percent of the developing world’s GDP. As a share of its economy, Sub-Saharan Africa suffered the largest illicit financial outflows—averaging 5.5 percent of its GDP—followed by developing Europe (4.4 percent), Asia (3.7 percent), MENA (3.7 percent), and the Western Hemisphere (3.3 percent).

“It’s extremely troubling to note just how fast illicit flows are growing,” stated Dr. Kar, the principal author of the study.  “Over the past decade, illicit outflows from developing countries increased by 9.4 percent each year in real terms, significantly outpacing economic growth.  Moreover, these outflows are growing fastest in and taking the largest toll—as a share of GDP—on some of the poorest regions of the world.  These findings underscore the urgency with which policymakers should address illicit financial flows”.

Trade Misinvoicing Dominant Channel

The fraudulent misinvoicing of trade transactions was revealed to be the largest component of illicit financial flows from developing countries, accounting for 77.8 percent of all illicit flows—highlighting that any effort to significantly curtail illicit financial flows must address trade misinvoicing.

The US$991.2 billion that flowed illicitly out of developing countries in 2012 was greater than the combined total of foreign direct investment (FDI) and net official development assistance (ODA), which these economies received that year. Illicit outflows were roughly 1.3 times the US$789.4 billion in total FDI, and they were 11.1 times the US$89.7 billion in ODA that these economies received in 2012.

“Illicit financial flows have major consequences for developing economies,” explained Mr. Spanjers, the report’s co-author.  “Emerging and developing countries hemorrhaged a trillion dollars from their economies in 2012 that could have been invested in local businesses, healthcare, education, or infrastructure.  This is a trillion dollars that could have contributed to inclusive economic growth, legitimate private-sector job creation, and sound public budgets. Without concrete action addressing illicit outflows, the drain on the developing world is only going to grow larger.”

Country Rankings

Dr. Kar and Mr. Spanjers’ research tracks the amount of illegal capital flowing out of 151 different developing and emerging countries over the 10-year period from 2003 through 2012, and it ranks the countries by the volume of illicit outflows. According to the report, the 25 biggest exporters of illicit financial flows over the decade are:

  1. China……… US$125.24bn average (US$1.25tr cumulative)
  2. Russia…………….. US$97.39bn avg. (US$973.86bn cum.)
  3. Mexico…………….. US$51.43bn avg. (US$514.26bn cum.)
  4. India……………….. US$43.96bn avg. (US$439.59bn cum.)
  5. Malaysia…………. US$39.49bn avg. (US$394.87bn cum.)
  6. Saudi Arabia……. US$30.86bn avg. (US$308.62bn cum.)
  7. Brazil……………… US$21.71bn avg. (US$217.10bn cum.)
  8. Indonesia……….. US$18.78bn avg. (US$187.84bn cum.)
  9. Thailand…………. US$17.17bn avg. (US$171.68bn cum.)
  10. Nigeria…………… US$15.75bn avg. (US$157.46bn cum.)
  11. A.E………………… US$13.53bn avg. (US$135.30bn cum.)
  12. South Africa……… US$12.21bn avg. (US$122.14bn cum.)
  13. Iraq…………………. US$11.14bn avg. (US$89.10bn cum.)
  14. Costa Rica………… US$9.40bn avg. (US$94.03bn cum.)
  15. Philippines……….. US$9.35bn avg. (US$93.49bn cum.)
  16. Belarus……………. US$8.45bn avg. (US$84.53bn cum.)
  17. Poland……………… US$5.31bn avg. (US$53.12bn cum.)
  18. Panama…………… US$4.85bn avg. (US$48.48bn cum.)
  19. Serbia……………… US$4.57bn avg. (US$45.66bn cum.)
  20. Chile……………….. US$4.56bn avg. (US$45.64bn cum.)
  21. Brunei…………….. US$4.30bn avg. (US$34.40bn cum.)
  22. Syria………………. US$3.77bn avg. (US$37.68bn cum.)
  23. Egypt……………… US$3.77bn avg. (US$37.68bn cum.)
  24. Paraguay………… US$3.70bn avg. (US$36.97bn cum.)
  25. Venezuela……….. US$3.68bn avg. (US$36.77bn cum.)

For a complete ranking of average annual illicit financial outflows by country, please refer to Appendix Table 2 of the report on page 28. The rankings can also be downloaded here.

GFI also found that the top exporters of illegal capital in 2012 were:

  1. China………………………… US$249.57bn
  2. Russia……………………….. US$122.86bn
  3. India…………………………… US$94.76bn
  4. Mexico……………………….. US$59.66bn
  5. Malaysia ………………….. US$48.93bn
  6. Saudi Arabia……………….. US$46.53bn
  7. Thailand…………………….. US$35.56bn
  8. Brazil…………………………. US$33.93bn
  9. South Africa………………… US$29.13bn
  10. Costa Rica…………………… US$21.55bn
  11. Indonesia……………………. US$20.82bn
  12. A.E…………………………… US$19.40bn
  13. Iraq…………………………… US$14.65bn
  14. Belarus…………………….. US$13.90bn
  15. Philippines…………………. US$9.16bn
  16. Syria…………………………… US$8.64bn
  17. Nigeria……………………….. US$7.92bn
  18. Trinidad & Tobago…………. US$7.41bn
  19. Vietnam……………………… US$6.93bn
  20. Lithuania………………….. US$6.45bn
  21. Libya…………………………. US$5.40bn
  22. Panama……………………. US$5.34bn
  23. Aruba………………………. US$5.29bn
  24. Egypt………………………. US$5.09bn
  25. Chile……………………….. US$5.08bn

An alphabetical listing of illicit financial outflows is available by year for each country in Appendix Table 3 on pg. 30 of the report, or it can be downloaded here.

Policy Recommendations

The report recommends that world leaders focus on curbing the opacity in the global financial system, which facilitates these outflows. Specifically, GFI maintains that:

  • Governments should establish public registries of meaningful beneficial ownership information on all legal entities;
  • Financial regulators should require that all banks in their country know the true beneficial owner(s) of any account opened in their financial institution;
  • Government authorities should adopt and fully implement all of the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) anti-money laundering recommendations;
  • Regulators and law enforcement authorities should ensure that all of the anti-money laundering regulations, which are already on the books, are strongly enforced;
  • Policymakers should require multinational companies to publicly disclose their revenues, profits, losses, sales, taxes paid, subsidiaries, and staff levels on a country-by-country basis;
  • All countries should actively participate in the worldwide movement towards the automatic exchange of tax information as endorsed by the OECD and the G20;
  • Trade transactions involving tax haven jurisdictions should be treated with the highest level of scrutiny by customs, tax, and law enforcement officials;
  • Governments should significantly boost their customs enforcement, by equipping and training officers to better detect intentional misinvoicing of trade transactions; and
  • The United Nations should adopt a clear and concise Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) to halve trade-related illicit financial flows by 2030and similar language should be included in the outcome document of the Financing for Development Conference in July 2015.

RIA and Dually Registered Assets Will Reach 28% Marketshare By 2018

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RIA and Dually Registered Assets Will Reach 28% Marketshare By 2018
Foto: Armada Española. Los activos de los RIAs alcanzarán el 28% de la cuota de mercado en EE.UU. en 2018

New research from global analytics firm Cerulli Associates predicts registered investment advisor (RIA) and dually registered advisor assets will reach 28% marketshare by year-end 2018.

“As of year-end 2013, the RIA and dually registered segment account for 20% of total intermediated retail investor assets, and we expect that number to reach 28% by 2018,” states Kenton Shirk, associate director at Cerulli.

“The asset marketshare of the RIA channel exceeds headcount marketshare, reinforcing the fact that RIA advisors manage more assets than advisors outside of the channel, on average,” Shirk explains. “When you combine this data with our projected growth of the channel, it would seem that the RIA channel would be a high priority for asset managers. However, the channel presents unique challenges for product providers, which can reduce the appeal.”

Cerulli’s latest report, RIA Marketplace 2014: Growth Drivers in an Accelerating Industry Segment, examines the unique dynamics of the RIA channel. This report provides insight about RIAs for providers and asset managers serving these advisors. 

“Ongoing growth of RIA practices with more than $1 billion in assets has occurred, and while these practices are certainly attractive on a standalone basis, they become less so when compared to wirehouse branch offices, which represent equal or larger opportunities,” Shirk continues. “The reality is that strategic partnerships with large broker/dealers ensure branch office access and consideration for inclusion in the portfolios recommended by home-office teams, which can result in millions of dollars of flows based on a single decision.”

Cerulli cautions that while the RIA and dually registered segments represent a flourishing distribution opportunity, product providers must make every effort to ensure they are creating an efficient and sustainable process to address this dispersed market.

Affluent Boomers are “Terrified” of Health Care Costs and Many Feel They Will Never Retire

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More than 62 percent of pre-retirees now say they are “terrified” of what health care costs may do to their retirement plans, according to an annual Nationwide Retirement Institute survey. The survey reveals concern about out-of-control health care costs and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) increasing those costs.

According to the online survey conducted from Oct. 6 – 14, 2014, by Harris Poll of 801 Americans age 50 or older with at least $150,000 in household income (“affluent boomers”), 72 percent say one of their top fears in retirement is their health care costs going out of control. More than half (55 percent) believe the ACA will increase those costs and more than one-quarter of employed affluent boomers (26 percent) now believe they will never retire.

“Even America’s affluent workers don’t know how they will fund their health care costs in retirement and they don’t expect ObamaCare will help them,” said John Carter, president of Nationwide’s retirement plans business, which provides defined contribution and defined benefit plans to more than two million participants, representing nearly $100 billion in assets under management. “The attention the ACA has received in the past year has increased awareness of health care costs in retirement. We think that’s a step in the right direction, and what Americans need now is a plan to adequately prepare for those costs. It is possible. However instead of making a plan, too often the ‘plan’ is to just continue working.”

The attention the ACA has received in the past year has increased the percent of pre-retirees who feel very confident to confident that they know their personal benefits and consequences of the ACA (32 percent vs. 24 percent). Yet, pre-retirees are also more likely than last year to say they expect their biggest expense in retirement to be the cost of health care (51 percent vs. 43 percent).

Many Americans like aspects of the ACA, such as guaranteed coverage and access to multiple insurers. However, most affluent boomers (64 percent) believe the ACA will be a significant drain on the U.S. economy and will do more harm than good to their employer (63 percent). More than two in five affluent boomers (45 percent) say they would delay their retirement if they had to buy their own health insurance. Over one-quarter of parents (27 percent) say they would delay their retirement in order to keep their children on their employer-based health insurance plan.

Understanding Medicare

Over three in five affluent pre-retirees (61 percent) wish they understood Medicare coverage better, and 73 percent of those who discussed their retirement plans with a financial advisor say it is important or very important their financial advisor discusses health care costs during retirement with them when planning for retirement. Nearly two-thirds of affluent pre-retirees enrolled in Medicare did not know that Medicare does not cover long-term care costs.

Solutions available

However, 77 percent say they have not discussed their health care costs during retirement with a professional financial advisor. Of those who have talked with an advisor, three-quarters (75 percent) discussed health care costs in retirement not covered by Medicare.

To help simplify this complicated issue and encourage these discussions, Nationwide’s Personalized Health Care Assessment uses proprietary health risk analysis and up-to-date actuarial cost data such as personal health and lifestyle information, health care costs, and medical coverage to provide a meaningful, personalized cost estimate that will help clients plan for medical expenses. For those under 65, it bases its calculations on the average cost of a Silver Plan in the Affordable Care Act exchanges in their state.

“It’s much easier for advisors to have these difficult conversations when they can use a tool to provide a fact-based cost estimate based on their clients’ health risk and lifestyle,” said Kevin McGarry, director of the Nationwide Retirement Institute. “They now can break down and simplify a complex topic to take clients from terrified to confident.”

Opportunity International Partners with Credit Suisse to Expand Education Around the World

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Opportunity International, the premier global financial services organization for the poor, announced Credit Suisse will help support a new education initiative to improve the quality, availability and affordability of education in impoverished areas of Latin America, Africa and Asia.

“Investing in education is one of the most decisive ways to help people work their way out of poverty,” said Vicki Escarra, Global CEO of Opportunity International. “Research has shown that education raises a student’s future economic status and can even extend life expectancy. We look forward to continuing our important partnership with Credit Suisse to expand educational opportunities for thousands of youth through access to financial services.”

Building on a successful six-year partnership with Credit Suisse, this new three-year program will launch education finance initiatives in Colombia and Tanzania and expand existing programs in the Dominican Republic, Ghana, Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, Uganda, India and the Philippines to help more than 530,000 children and youth through a combination of innovative savings, lending, insurance and financial education products and services. Specifically, the initiative will provide school improvement loans to help build and expand schools, hire and train teachers, provide lunches and help pay for other activities to increase the number of students in school and improve the quality of education they receive. The initiative will also provide school fee loans to help parents pay tuition and buy books and other school supplies to ensure their children stay in school regardless of family income fluctuations.

“More than 67 million children worldwide are not enrolled in schools, often because their family simply cannot afford the costs of school fees, tuition or supplies, or because quality education isn’t available where they live,” said Manuel Rybach, Global Head Corporate Citizenship and Foundations for Credit Suisse. “Credit Suisse and Opportunity International understand that investing in education is an investment in the future. That’s why we’ve partnered— to ensure that children around the world have opportunities to learn and grow.”

An estimated 7.1 million people have already benefited from the partnership between Opportunity International and Credit Suisse’s Microfinance Capacity Building Initiative through support of electronic-banking transactions, training for microfinance staff and financial services for people in impoverished areas. The new “Empowering Generational Change through Education” initiative aims to achieve the following goals:

  • Provide 2,200 school improvement loans to private school proprietors, impacting the access and quality of education for approximately 484,000 students.
  • Provide 52,000 school-fee loans to parents and students to help parents to pay tuition and fees, impacting the education of approximately 161,000 students.
  • Pilot and expand additional educational services to provide young people with a formal education and the skills they need to get a job. Services provided will include child savings accounts and youth financial education in Africa; and the EduSave program—an innovative, free insurance program to cover a child’s school costs in the event of a parent or guardian’s death or permanent disability.
  • Provide education finance bank staff with training and development opportunities to help them service Opportunity’s growing educational programs.

Private Equity Leads Way to Higher Alternative Assets Exposure

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Increased investor exposure to alternative assets is being led by private equity, with two in five Limited Partners (LPs) planning an increased target allocation to the asset class in the next twelve months, according to Coller Capital’s latest Global Private Equity Barometer. However, although one third of investors say they will also increase their allocation to real estate, the same proportion will reduce their allocation to hedge funds. (Separately, almost two thirds of LPs say they expect large private equity investors to review their hedge fund exposure in the wake of CalPERS’ decision to stop investing in the asset class.)

Still-strengthening return expectations explain private equity’s popularity with investors. Almost all (93% of) LPs are now forecasting annual net returns greater than 11% from their private equity portfolios over a 3-5 year horizon (up from 81% of LPs two years ago). A quarter of LPs are forecasting net returns of over 16%.

“In today’s low-yield world it’s hugely impressive to see such a high proportion of private equity investors expecting annual net returns of more than 11%,” said Jeremy Coller, CIO of Coller Capital, “and Limited Partners are telling us there is more to play for. They believe private equity returns could get even stronger with further enhancements to General Partners’ operational skills and more specialised funds.”

Areas of LP interest

Investors give several indications where they see attractive opportunities in this edition of the Barometer.

Emerging economies remain a strategic imperative – with 15-20% of LPs planning to begin or increase PE commitments to China, Hong Kong, Taiwan and South East Asia. Another popular region is Latin America, where one in seven LPs expect to begin or increase commitments. India is the area over which investors betray most uncertainty: the same proportion of LPs (8%) plan to increase and to reduce their commitments in the subcontinent.

LP backing for funds taking minority positions in private companies looks to remain strong. Half of investors are already committed to such funds, and an additional 13% of LPs said they are likely to seek this kind of exposure in the future. Investors will also be interested in GPs with strong buy-and-build credentials – two thirds of LPs believe buy-and-build investments will outperform other buyout investments in the next 3-5 years.

Private equity investment in ‘real assets’ is another increasingly popular area. Two thirds of LPs already have private equity exposure to energy-focused funds; half have private equity exposure to real estate; and between a quarter and a third of LPs have investments in funds focused on mining, shipping, timber and farmland. The Barometer shows that all these areas will attract new investors over the next three years.

Credit investment is another focus for investors – one third of LPs say they plan to scale up their exposure to credit over the next 12 months. Banks’ relatively weaker position in credit markets is illustrated by LPs’ views on future sources of debt funding for buyouts: just over a third of investors expect banks to take a bigger share of buyout debt in the next three years, compared with almost two thirds expecting a higher share for CLOs and high-yield bonds.

The Barometer confirms that the trend toward more direct investing by LPs (i.e., proprietary investments into private companies and co-investments alongside GPs) will continue. Approaching half (45%) of today’s LPs do no direct private equity investing or have less than a tenth of their exposure to ‘directs’, but only one in five LPs expects to be in the same position in five years’ time.

Gender diversity in private equity firms

The majority (88%) of private equity investors (most of whom are male) believe that a higher proportion of women in senior positions at GPs would have little direct impact on private equity returns. However, three in five LPs also believe that PE firms benefit more broadly from gender diversity. Around 70% of these investors say that greater gender diversity at senior levels results in better team quality and team dynamics in private equity firms; and around 40% see benefits to GPs’ governance, investor relations, and risk management.

DC pension funds

Attempts are currently being made to solve the problems associated with defined contribution (DC) pension plans investing in private equity. The Barometer shows that a large majority (88%) of Limited Partners expect these initiatives to succeed, and that DC plans will make private equity commitments over the next five years. However, most (70% of) investors believe DC pension schemes will remain a minor source of capital for the industry.

Additional Barometer findings

The Winter 2014-15 edition of the Barometer also charts investors’ views and opinions on:

  • The economic cycle and the risk of deflation in the eurozone
  • The PE exit environment
  • GPs’ use of debt
  • LP recruitment and pay scales
  • Venture capital and early-stage innovation
  • Chinese GPs’ ambitions
  • LP understanding of the industry post-crash
  • The effect of regulation on PE returns