Asia-Pacific Leads World in Wealth Growth

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Asia-Pacific Leads World in Wealth Growth

With Japan and China leading the way, the Asia-Pacific region registered world-leading levels of High Net Worth Individual (HNWI) population and wealth growth in 2013, with no signs of slowing down, according to the Asia-Pacific Wealth Report 2014 (APWR), published by Capgemini and RBC Wealth Management. The region’s population of HNWIs grew 17 percent to 4.3 million, while their wealth grew 18 percent to reach US$14.2 trillion, compared to growth rates of 13 percent and 12 percent respectively in the rest of the world.

“While equity market performance across Asia-Pacific was mixed in 2013, strong economic growth and real estate prices in key markets drove healthy overall wealth growth,” said M. George Lewis, Group Head, RBC Wealth Management & RBC Insurance. “Asia-Pacific is expected to continue to lead global growth and pass North America as the region with the highest HNWI population by the end of 2014 and the greatest HNWI wealth by 2015.”

Japanand China, which hold over two thirds of Asia-Pacific’s HNWI population, drove 85 percent of the HNWI population growth in 2013, increasing their number of HNWIs by 22 percent and 18 percent respectively to reach 2.3 million and 758,000. They also saw HNWI wealth increase at the region’s highest rates of 24 percent to US$ 5.5 trillion (for Japan), and 20 percent to US$ 3.8 trillion (for China). The report notes that Asia-Pacific’s ultra-HNWIs grew their wealth at about twice the rate of their peers in the rest of the world, both in 2013 (20 percent vs. 10 percent) and in the five-year period from 2008-2013 (average annual growth rate of 17 percent vs. eight percent).

High trust levels and focus on wealth growth drive international investments

According to the report’s Global HNW Insights Survey, HNWIs in Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) have the highest trust and confidence levels globally in all aspects of the wealth management industry: 85 percent expressed high trust in wealth managers, 87 percent in wealth management firms, 78 percent in financial markets, and 80 percent in regulatory institutions. Looking ahead, 88 percent of Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs are confident in their ability to generate wealth in the near future.

High trust and confidence levels may have contributed to a greater focus on wealth growth (41 percent) rather than preservation (31 percent) among Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs. In seeking growth, they significantly increased foreign investment allocations to 43 percent in early 2014, up from 30 percent a year prior, with Europe attracting the largest share at 15 percent, followed closely by North America at 14 percent.  Looking at the make-up of their portfolios overall, real estate remains the preferred asset class of Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs (23 percent of portfolios), which differs from a preference for equity investments (27 percent) in the rest of the world.

Region’s HNWIs have distinct demands and expectations of firms

Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs have distinct preferences in how they are served by firms, as they are more inclined to seek professional advice (45 percent, the highest globally) and pay for customized services (37 percent) than HNWIs in the rest of the world (36 percent and 30 percent). While HNWIs globally share a preference to work with a single wealth management firm, those in Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) differ in their preference to work with multiple experts (39 percent) versus a single point of contact (26 percent). They also have the highest demand globally for digital interactions, with 82 percent (versus 61 percent for those in the rest of the world) expecting most or all of their wealth management relationship to be run digitally in five years.

Wealth manager performance scores flat, creating opportunities for firms

Despite rising wealth and trust levels and a desire for advice, Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs increased their performance scores of wealth managers by only half a percentage point to 68 percent in early 2014, although this compares to a drop by five percentage points to 66 percent in the rest of the world.

“Asia-Pacific offers a ripe environment for firms to establish deeper client relationships and improve performance scores, given the high confidence levels, complex needs, focus on wealth growth, and openness to advice of HNWIs in the region,” said Jean Lassignardie, Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, Capgemini Global Financial Services. “Wealth managers and firms will need to evolve their offerings to meet the changing preferences of Asia-Pacific HNWIs in how they interact with their firms and advisors, including through the development of digital channels.”

Asia-Pacific HNWIs most driven globally to create positive social impact

The report reveals that 97 percent of Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs feel it is important to invest their time, money or expertise to make a positive social impact, with 81 percent describing it as very or extremely important (compared to 59 percent of their peers in the rest of the world).

Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs are driven primarily by a feeling of responsibility to give back and are uniquely focused on food security, which ranked as the top priority cause (vs. 12th for those in the rest of the world), with 40 percent currently giving back in this area. Following food security, health (39 percent), education (37 percent), the welfare of children (33 percent), and the welfare of older people (31 percent) rounded out their top five causes. Climate change and the environment is also a high priority, with 30 percent of Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan) HNWIs contributing time or wealth in this area versus 20 percent of HNWIs in other regions.

View the report at www.asiapacificwealthreport.com.

BNY Mellon Launches Comprehensive Discretionary Investment and Wealth Management Services in Hong Kong

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BNY Mellon Launches Comprehensive Discretionary Investment and Wealth Management Services in Hong Kong
Hong Kong. Foto: TreyRatclif, Flickr, Creative Commons.. BNY Mellon WM lleva su negocio de gestión de patrimonios a Hong Kong y refuerza su presencia en Asia – Pacífico

BNY Mellon Wealth Management  has received regulatory approval in Hong Kong to launch comprehensive discretionary investment and wealth management services to high net worth individual investors.

BNY Mellon Wealth Management will bring a wide range of solutions-based services including strategic asset allocation, access to world-class investment management services provided by the corporation’s robust multi-boutique structure, and active, personalized client discretionary portfolio management.

The launch signifies a marked expansion of BNY Mellon’s Asia-Pacific wealth management presence serving Asian families as well as U.S. citizens. Unlike typical money management services that are more transactional in approach, BNY Mellon differentiates itself by taking a longer and broader view of serving clients’ overall wealth and investment planning needs. 

“Our expansion provides greater access to comprehensive wealth and investment planning services to the high-net worth market,” said Larry Hughes, chief executive officer of BNY Mellon Wealth Management. “With the broad and deep capabilities of one of the world’s leading investments companies, BNY Mellon offers holistic, solutions-based wealth management. Our focus on discretionary investment management, rather than transactional services, is integral to our comprehensive approach and differentiates us in the market.”

“We continue to make significant investments in both our core businesses of investment management and investment services in Asia-Pacific,” said Alan Harden, CEO of BNY Mellon Investment Management in Asia-Pacific. “Expanding on-the-ground wealth management services is a prime example of this long term commitment to the region. The Bank of New York Mellon is leveraging the trend of unprecedented wealth growth rates in the Asia-Pacific region by drawing from our broad global expertise to deliver wealth and investment planning solutions locally.”

BNY Mellon has more than U.S. $187 billion in private client assets, as of September 30, 2014. BNY Mellon was created by the 2007 merger of the 138-year-old Mellon Financial and the Bank of New York, which was founded in 1784 and is the oldest trust bank in the U.S. It has served clients in Asia for nearly a century.

Hong Kong and Shanghai: A Window of Opportunities

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Hong Kong and Shanghai: A Window of Opportunities
Foto: Bolsa de Shanghái, por Heurik en de.wikipedia. Hong Kong y Shanghai: Oportunidades a la vista

The mutual market access program that is due to launch in October between the Hong Kong and Shanghai stock exchanges is another step towards capital market liberalization. It will allow much easier access for foreign investors to the onshore Chinese Shanghai A-shares market as well as reciprocal investment by mainland Chinese investors in the Hong Kong market.

With the program due to kick off this month, foreign investors are busy doing their homework on Shanghai A-shares and trying to figure out what stocks mainland investors will choose to buy in the Hong Kong stock market.

Many overseas investors will be looking to buy dual-listed shares that are cheaper in the A-share market than in Hong Kong. However, we feel this arbitrage focus misses the more interesting development for foreign investors, which is to buy unique exposures, such as thermal coal railway owner Daqin Railway, traditional Chinese medicine producers, such as Tasly Pharmaceutical, and large capitalisation stocks that are unfashionable with local mainland investors and, therefore, very cheap, such as SAIC Motor, a joint venture partner with VW and GM.

Back in the Hong Kong market, while it is possible that mainlanders will buy well-known companies that were previously unavailable to them — like Tencent, which runs the ubiquitous QQ and Weixin internet and smartphone communication platforms (and is the largest holding of the Henderson China Opportunities Fund) — we think a more likely outcome is a dramatic increase in the volatility of small-cap stocks in Hong Kong. The Shanghai market is dominated by retail investors and they prefer to be active traders of smaller capitalization companies. If they transfer this characteristic to Hong Kong, then already volatile small-caps may well experience even more dramatic swings in performance and valuation as the stocks fall in and out of fashion with mainland investors.

The Henderson China Opportunities Fund’s portfolio has benefited from holding stocks that we believe will be positively impacted by the program.  For example, Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing’s share price rose dramatically on the news and we have since sold the shares, taking advantage of the price movement. CITIC Securities, still held in the portfolio, is another beneficiary. The company is a leading broker in China and last year acquired CLSA, a leading Hong Kong brokerage firm. It is thus well-positioned for flows in both directions.

Opinion column by Charlie Awdry, Portfolio Manager of the China Opportunities strategy, at Henderson Global Investors

Loomis Sayles Appoints Director for Institutional Services in Asia

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Loomis Sayles Appoints Director for Institutional Services in Asia

Loomis Sayles Investments Asia has announced that Michael Chang has joined the company as Director, Institutional Services, Asia. Michael will report to Paul Ong, managing director of Loomis Sayles Investments Asia Pte. Ltd. and head of the Loomis Sayles Singapore office. Michael will also report to John Gallagher, executive vice president and director of institutional services for the company’s US, Canadian, UK, and Singapore offices.

Michael joins from Natixis Global Asset Management, the parent company of Loomis Sayles. In this new role, he will provide critical support and guidance on Loomis Sayles investment strategies and products to the Natixis business development offices throughout Asia. In particular, Michael will play a key role in further developing and building strategic relationships for Loomis Sayles in the North Asian region.

“We are very pleased to welcome Michael to our team,” said Paul Ong. “We have had a great working relationship since the Loomis Sayles Singapore office opened its doors in 2012 and while at Natixis, Michael did a fantastic job raising assets on behalf of Loomis Sayles in Taiwan. With his wealth of experience and deep knowledge of the North Asian markets, I’m confident Michael will be a key contributor to the continued success of Loomis Sayles Singapore as we seek to further bolster our investment capabilities and drive the growth of our Asian client base to the next level.”

Michael worked for Natixis for 11 years and was most recently the managing director of Natixis Taiwan. Michael earned his Bachelor of Business Administration from Tam Kang University in Taiwan and a Master of Commerce (Accountancy) from the University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.

BBVA Compass Appoints Florida Business Leader to Its National Advisory Board

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BBVA Compass Appoints Florida Business Leader to Its National Advisory Board

Civic leader and business executive Marielena Villamil has been named the 22nd member of BBVA Compass‘ National Advisory Board, which is made up of executives from across the bank’s Sunbelt footprint.

Villamil is the co-founder and president of The Washington Economics Group Inc., an economics consulting firm based in Coral Gables, Fla. Villamil, who serves on several community boards, earned her master’s degree from Vermont’s Middlebury College and her bachelor’s degree from St. Mary’s Dominican College in New Orleans. She will continue to serve on the bank’s South Florida board, which she joined last year.

“Marielena has done an amazing job promoting the bank in South Florida during the past year, and she’s even attended a BBVA shareholder’s meeting in Spain to learn more about the bank,” said BBVA Compass South Florida Market President Roberto R. Munoz. “We’re so proud to have someone from Miami sit on our national board.”

National board members help generate business for the bank and provide BBVA Compass leaders with insight about financial needs in specific markets and industries.

The Typical UHNW Philanthropist Donates US$25 Million During Lifetime

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The Typical UHNW Philanthropist Donates US$25 Million During Lifetime
Foto: Dennis Jarvis. El filántropo medio UHNW dona 25 millones de dólares a lo largo de su vida

Wealth-X and Arton Capital released this week a report that reveals that the typical ultra-wealthy philanthropist donates US$25 million over the course of his or her lifetime, is 64 years old, has an average net worth of US$240 million, and an average liquidity of US$46 million.

These are some of the findings of the inaugural Wealth-X and Arton Capital Philanthropy Report 2014 that examines the full spectrum of ultra high net worth (UHNW) philanthropic activities, identifies trends in UHNW giving, provides the profile and traits of ultra wealthy philanthropists, and highlights their motivations in contributing to charities across a range of areas and sectors.

The Wealth-X and Arton Capital Major Giving Index, which tracks trends in UHNW charitable giving, shows that the level of traditional philanthropic donations remains strong. The index has risen in the past few years, reaching a level of 220 in 2013 – making it the strongest year for UHNW giving since the 1997-8 global financial crisis, and only 12 points below the all-time high of 232 in 2006.

However, the report reveals that UHNW philanthropists are expanding their philanthropic approaches and activities, shifting from major giving towards self-sustaining projects and entrepreneurialism.

Here are some other key findings:

  • Major giving to educational causes accounts for 40 per cent of all UHNW donations, three times more than the amount given to health causes.
  • Individual gifts by UHNW female major donors, on average, is 26 per cent larger than their male counterparts.
  • The global UHNW population, which comprises 0.003 per cent of the world’s population, holds 13 per cent of the world’s total wealth.
  • Nearly 70 per cent of UHNW philanthropists are self-made and actively contribute to programs that aim to increase entrepreneurialism.
  • Impact investments, such as social bonds, will account for 1 per cent of professionally managed assets within the next 10 years.
  • On average, American households donate US$3,000 annually to charity. A UHNW philanthropist with a net worth of between US$30-49 million typically donates at least US$60,000 annually.
  • Billionaires give the most to charity. On average, members of this top-tier wealth segment have donated US$108 million in their lifetime.
  • Philanthropic bequests are expected to reach US$86 billion in the next 10 years.

The report is supported by knowledge partners, Charities Aid Foundation, Global Citizen Foundation, International Youth Foundation and Population Services International, who provide commentary and case studies.

 “Globally, we are witnessing an evolution of philanthropy as it expands from ‘traditional’ philanthropy – involving financial contributions and donations – to cutting-edge approaches such as venture philanthropy, microfinance, impact investing and job creation,” said Mykolas Rambus, CEO, Wealth-X. “Ultra wealthy philanthropists are increasingly focusing on philanthropic initiatives that provide long-term solutions by enabling the less fortunate to seize opportunities through entrepreneurialism, and using their own business acumen to measure the effectiveness of their philanthropic endeavors and to maximise their returns.”

“This is another initiative in our corporate strategy to encourage the discussion about the responsibilities of global citizens in addressing the social and economic dimensions of sustainable development,” said Armand Arton, President and CEO, Arton Capital. “Our strategy includes sharing more and more information about the role of the wealthy in these important processes. One of our strategic goals is to engage all involved stakeholders in a constructive dialogue on how to more efficiently interconnect global citizens so that their joint efforts become a force for bridging the widening socio-economic gap.”

High Yield’s September Sell-Off Doesn’t Change the Story

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High Yield’s September Sell-Off Doesn’t Change the Story
CC-BY-SA-2.0, FlickrFoto: Jesus Alenda. Las últimas ventas en high yield no representan un cambio de escenario

The recent sell-off in high-yield bonds has many investors wondering whether this is another big buying opportunity—like prior sell-offs have been—or the start of something more ominous. 

As we see it, the decline in high-yield bonds was mostly due to technical influences: outflows from retail high-yield funds teamed up with record-setting issuance to soften markets. Add in a couple company-specific credit problems…and the high-yield market was down more than 2% in September. Of course, retail flows could continue to exit high yield, pressuring returns. But from our view, most of the selling has been by broker-dealer firms and hedge funds—not long-term investors.

No Case for Allocation Shifts

If longer-term investors start to sell, we could see a more meaningful correction. But issuance is slowing down—a few large issues are still interested but the groundswell of issuance we saw in September is gone. On the demand side, many retail and institutional investors see 6%-plus yields as a tactical opportunity to top up allocations and invest marginally, but they don’t necessarily view them as the time to make a big move back into high yield. Based on this more favorable supply/demand balance and fairly strong underlying fundamentals, our view is that the weakness is unlikely to continue.

That said, while this may be a tactical investment opportunity for some, we don’t see this as an opportunity for investors to get overly excited and shift assets toward high yield. Yes, overall yields and spreads—or the extra yield versus Treasury bonds—are higher than they were at the start of September, but they remain below long-term averages (Display). And while fundamentals are still relatively strong, we’re in the latter innings of the credit-market cycle and are seeing some deterioration. There are no great opportunities available and no massive dislocations to capitalize on. That’s why we think that a conservative, diversified approach to high yield makes the most sense.

Stretching for Yield Can Be Risky

Our biggest concern: the lowest-rated credits. CCC-rated bonds have recently begun to underperform, but these are the most fragile companies with the most leverage. It doesn’t take much for these companies to fail—they often do so even before the broader market starts to see real deterioration. Investing in lower-rated credits requires extensive research—and a big expected-return hurdle to make it worthwhile. Since CCC yield spreads don’t compensate investors for average historical credit losses, defaults would have to be well below average over the next five years to make them profitable.

While near-term defaults don’t appear imminent, forecasting defaults beyond the next 18 months is tricky. Betting on a very different outcome than what we’ve seen historically doesn’t seem prudent. Also, returns on CCC bonds will fall long before actual defaults turn up. So, while the lower default rates expected in 2015 provided a great reason to buy CCCs in 2013, they provide far less comfort to us in terms of return expectations over the next 12 months.

A Balanced, Diversified Approach

On balance, the events of September don’t really change the long-term story for high-yield bonds, in our view. The good news is that the power pendulum has swung back to investors. They now have the upper hand in negotiating the yields and terms of new deals with issuers. In many respects, continued market turmoil may be an investor’s best friend: it extends the credit cycle, making companies more careful and thoughtful with their resources while at the same time increasing expected returns.

We think investors should continue to take a global, multi-sector approach when it comes to high yield—but maintain a cautious outlook in the months ahead.

The views expressed herein do not constitute research, investment advice or trade recommendations and do not necessarily represent the views of all AB portfolio-management teams.

Ivan Rudolph-Shabinsky is a Portfolio Manager of Credit and Gershon Distenfeld is Director of High-Yield Debt, both at AllianceBernstein.

Generali Investments Europe Opens the 
Absolute Return Credit Strategies Fund to New Investments

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Generali Investments Europe Opens the 
Absolute Return Credit Strategies Fund to New Investments
Andrea Favaloro, director de Ventas y Marketing de Generali Investments Europe. Generali Investments Europe abre el fondo Absolute Return Credit Strategies a nuevas inversiones

Generali Investments Europe SpA SGR – the main asset management company of the Generali Group with €355 billion of AuM – has recently opened for new investments the Generali Investments SICAV Absolute Return Credit Strategies fund. The fund is now available to investors looking for solutions and instruments to reach their investment return targets in a low interest rate scenario without running high volatility risks typical of an equity exposure.

By profiting from Generali Investments Europe’s extensive expertise in fixed income and absolute return strategies, the AR Credit Strategies fund uses all yield sources offered by the fixed income and credit markets in order to seek to achieve above-average performance. The fund targets a 4% yearly return.

Andrea Favaloro, Head of Sales & Marketing at Generali Investments Europe, commented: “The re-launch of the AR Credit Strategies fund is another fundamental pillar of our strategy aimed at international third-party clients. AR Credit Strategies will provide them with a unique tool to fight the zero interest rate environment through high-potential fixed income investments while at the same time keeping risk and volatility to a minimum. Our investment choices are supported by a large and experienced in-house team with an outstanding proven track record.”

The AR Credit Strategies fund, whose core investment universe is composed of Investment Grade, High Yield, Emerging Markets and Convertible Bunds notes, is managed by a portfolio management team headed by Filippo Casagrande, Head of Investments at Generali Investments Europe. Casagrande has over 20 years of asset management experience and has been at Generali Investments Europe since 2009. He graduated in Economics from Bocconi University, Milan. Fabrizio Viola, 12 years of experience, will be deputy Portfolio Manager.

The portfolio management is supported by 12 macroeconomic analysts with 16 years of average experience who provide market outlooks and views. Furthermore, there are 12 credit analysts with 11 years of average experience who provide in-depth analysis on the corporate bond market. All activities are controlled by the risk management team, which is actively involved in the process, to ensure all risk guidelines – including a VaR capped at 6% – are met.

Since May 2014, Generali Investments SICAV Absolute Return Credit Strategies has more than doubled its fund volume to more than €520 million.

European Frontier Markets: Focus on Romania Prior to its Presidential Elections

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In September 2014 Global Evolution visited Romania to get better insight on whether there is any upside to the current slow growth environment in the coming quarters. With respect to the weak growth and low inflation Lars Peter Nielsen, Senior Portfolio Manager at the firm, was also interested in getting a stronger sense of the subsequent path of monetary policy. Furthermore he wanted to examine if the current IMF program is dead or if there is reason for optimism with respect to reactivating the program after it went off-track during the summer. Finally, the aim was to get a better sense of possible surprises in the presidential elections (1st round scheduled for 2 November), or if incumbent Prime Minister Victor Ponta is a certain winner.

During the trip Global Evolution met with Central Bank officials, government officials, IMF, World Bank, local banks and local asset managers. These are some comments by Lars Peter Nielsen on the key findings from this trip.

Recession in H1 2014

After a reasonably strong economic performance in 2013 growth has slowed dramatically in 2014 thereby leaving the country in technical recession in the first half of 2014 with two consecutive quarters of negative growth.

It is primarily investments that have taken a big hit in the last couple of quarters.

According to the Ministry of Finance we will see stronger public investments in the second half of 2014 as several projects co- financed with the EU will start coming online. Furthermore, the government has already announced that the “special construction” tax will be lowered again, which should help private investments as well. Finally private consumption is also expected to pick up. All that said it is unlikely that we will see a strong economic rebound and full year 2014 growth is likely to settle in the 1.5-2.0% range. For 2015 most market participants expect growth around 3%, which in our opinion would be a reasonable growth rate. However, we are also a bit skeptical since the government will have to tighten its fiscal stance further if it is to comply with the demands from EU.

Inflation running very low

Like most of Eastern Europe inflation is running very low and as for the rest of the region a lot has to do with declining food inflation, weak growth and deflationary pressure from the Euro zone. It is very difficult to see inflation in the short to medium term moving above the Central Banks target of 2.5% +/- 1%-point.

Expansionary monetary policy

The backdrop of weak growth and low inflation has seen the Central Bank pursuing a relatively expansionary stance which has resulted in a 725bps cut in the policy rate since the peak in 2008 of which 200bps have been cut since July 2014. Currently the policy rate stands at just 3%. The Central Bank will be very vigilant about the exchange rate and adjust the short term rate accordingly to secure a very stable EURRON in the 4.40 – 4.45 range. This means higher interest rates whenever there is pressure on the currency. The bank’s sensitivity towards the exchange rate is due to the high pass- through to inflation and the still relatively high level of FX denominated borrowing by households and companies. That being said we still believe the Central Bank is biased towards pushing rates lower whenever there is room for it.

IMF program off track

The current stand-by program (SBA) went off track in June when the IMF visited the country for the third review under the program. The disagreements are on some structural reforms, privatizations and not least uncertainties on the 2015 budget. The IMF is aware that it is impossible to make adjustments to the budget ahead of presidential elections in November so the fund has agreed to postpone negotiations till after the elections. From a funding perspective the program is not important but it is still a good anchor to have and it would be a negative signal if the program was cancelled. We think the program will come on track again even though the negotiations will be tough.

Politics – Victor Ponta most likely the next president

Current Premier Minister Victor Ponta remains favorite to win the presidential elections in November but it is not a given. Apparently the opposition candidate, Klaus Werner Iohannis, from the National Liberal Party is gaining ground and is now seen as a serious contender. Klaus Werner Iohannis has been the mayor of Sibiu since 2000 and is credited for turning Sibiu into one of the most popular tourist destinations in Romania. We don’t see the election as a real risk since either we will have more or less the status quo of Victor Ponta, albeit with changes to the government since Ponta can obviously no longer be prime minister, or we will have an even better outcome if Klaus Iohannis wins.

Valuations

Even though nominal yields have been on a long term downward path we still think that valuation is reasonably attractive since real rates have moved higher due to the very low inflation. That being said we are very much aware of a possible uptick in inflation later in the year and will react promptly to higher food inflation numbers.

The exchange rate also seems reasonably fairly priced if you look at long term REER trends with the current level very close to the 5 year moving average. Furthermore we believe the Central Bank will hold the currency very stable against the EUR in the 4.40 – 4.45 range for the remainder of 2014.

To conclude we are neutral on Romania FX vs. EUR but see further possible gains in the bond market during Q4, 2014. We will be very mindful for a possible uptick in food inflation that can put upward pressure on headline inflation and end the downward trend in nominal yields.

Lars Peter Nielsen, is Senior Portfolio Manager at Global Evolution.

Global Evolution, an asset management firm specialized in emerging and frontier markets debt, is represented by Capital Stragtegies in the Americas Region.

You may access the full report through the attached pdf file.

Credit Suisse Makes Changes in the Leadership of the Investment Banking Division

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Credit Suisse Makes Changes in the Leadership of the Investment Banking Division
Tim O’Hara. Foto de Credit Suisse. Credit Suisse anuncia cambios en su Comité Ejecutivo y en su banca de inversión

Credit Suisse announced appointments to the Executive Board, changes to the leadership of its Investment Banking Division, and the appointment of a new CEO of Asia Pacific. These changes will take immediate effect.

Jim Amine and Tim O’Hara have been appointed to the Executive Board and will join Gaël de Boissard to head the Investment Banking Division.

Helman Sitohang will assume the role CEO of Asia Pacific.

Eric Varvel has decided to step down from the Executive Board and assume the role of Chairman Asia Pacific and Middle East Regions.

Gaël de Boissard, Jim Amine and Tim O’Hara will partner in leading the Investment Banking Division. Jim Amine will continue to have responsibility for the Investment Banking Department, while Tim O’Hara will continue to head the Equities business. Gaël de Boissard’s role remains unchanged. He continues to head the Fixed Income business and remains the CEO of Europe, Middle East and Africa and a member of the Executive Board. Jim Amine and Tim O’Hara will join the Executive Board and report directly to the CEO.

Helman Sitohang will assume the role of CEO of Asia Pacific, reporting directly to the CEO. He will also continue to retain his role as Head of the Investment Bank for Asia Pacific. APAC is the region with the highest economic growth and Credit Suisse is continuing to allocate additional resources to accelerate and maximize the growth opportunities in this region.

Eric Varvel will assume the role of Chairman Asia Pacific and Middle East with a primary focus on our most important clients and assisting senior management on strategy. Eric will step down from the Executive Board, but will continue to report to the CEO in his new role.

Urs Rohner, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Credit Suisse, said: “In our Investment Banking Division, Eric Varvel and Gaël de Boissard have been instrumental in adapting our business to the new market and regulatory environment. Jim Amine and Tim O’Hara have also been integral to the success of the division, with our Investment Banking Department and Equities businesses demonstrating strong results and great momentum. I believe that the combination of Jim, Tim and Gaël will provide the right partnership to drive the business forward.”

Brady Dougan, CEO of Credit Suisse, said: “Eric Varvel has done a great job as CEO of Asia Pacific and I believe will provide important continuity of management and with client relationships in the Chairman role. Helman Sitohang has been instrumental in the success we have achieved to date. Moving into the CEO role is a natural progression and I believe he, along with the strong management team we have in the region, will be able to produce excellent results, demonstrate growth and build on the impressive momentum we have in Asia Pacific.”

Composition of the Executive Board as of October 17, 2014
− Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer
− James L. Amine, Head of Investment Banking – Investment Banking Department
− Gaël de Boissard, Head of Investment Banking – Fixed Income; Regional CEO of EMEA
− Romeo Cerutti, General Counsel
− David R. Mathers, Chief Financial Officer and Head of IT and Operations
− Hans-Ulrich Meister, Head of Private Banking & Wealth Management and Regional CEO of Switzerland
− Joachim Oechslin, Chief Risk Officer
− Timothy P. O’Hara, Head of Investment Banking – Equities
− Robert S. Shafir, Head of Private Banking & Wealth Management and Regional CEO of Americas
− Pamela A. Thomas-Graham, Chief Marketing and Talent Officer and Head of Private Banking & Wealth Management New Markets