Asia Dominates When it Comes to Passport Power in 2020

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. It’s the Age of Asia When it Comes to Passport Power

As we enter the new decade, Asian countries have firmly established their lead on the Henley Passport Index, the original ranking of all the world’s passports according to the number of destinations their holders can access without a prior visa. For the third consecutive year, Japan has secured the top spot on the index — which is based on exclusive data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA) — with a visa-free/visa-on-arrival score of 191. Singapore holds onto its 2nd-place position with a score of 190, while South Korea drops down a rank to 3rd place alongside Germany, giving their passport holders visa-free/visa-on-arrival access to 189 destinations worldwide.

The US and the UK continue their downward trajectory on the index’s rankings. While both countries remain in the top 10, their shared 8th-place position is a significant decline from the number one spot they jointly held in 2015. Elsewhere in the top 10, Finland and Italy share 4th place, with a score of 188, while Denmark, Luxembourg, and Spain together hold 5th place, with a score of 187. The index’s historic success story remains the steady ascent of the UAE, which has climbed a remarkable 47 places over the past 10 years and now sits in 18th place, with a visa-free/visa-on-arrival score of 171. On the other end of the travel freedom spectrum, Afghanistan remains at the bottom of the index, with its nationals only able to visit a mere 26 destinations visa-free.

Dr. Christian H. Kaelin, Chairman of Henley & Partners and the inventor of the passport index concept, says the latest ranking provides a fascinating insight into a rapidly changing world. “Asian countries’ dominance of the top spots is a clear argument for the benefits of open-door policies and the introduction of mutually beneficial trade agreements. Over the past few years, we have seen the world adapt to mobility as a permanent condition of global life. The latest rankings show that the countries that embrace this reality are thriving, with their citizens enjoying ever-increasing passport power and the array of benefits that come with it.”

As ongoing research shows, these benefits are extensive. Using exclusive historical data from the Henley Passport Index, political science researchers Uğur Altundal and Ömer Zarpli, of Syracuse University and the University of Pittsburgh respectively, have found that there is a strongly positive correlation between travel freedom and other kinds of liberties – from the economic to the political, and even individual or human freedoms. Altundal and Zarpli observe that “there’s a distinct correlation between visa freedom and investment freedom, for instance. Similar to trade freedom, countries that rank highly in investment freedom generally have stronger passports. European states such as Austria, Malta, and Switzerland clearly show that countries with a business-friendly environment tend to score highly when it comes to passport power. Likewise, by using the Human Freedom Index, we found a strong correlation between personal freedom and travel freedom.”

Looking ahead: an increasingly pragmatic approach to migration

While the latest results from the Henley Passport Index show that globally, people are more mobile than ever before, they also indicate a growing divide when it comes to travel freedom, with Japanese passport holders able to access 165 more destinations around the world than Afghan nationals, for example. Analysis of historical data from the index reveals that this extraordinary global mobility gap is the starkest it has been since the index’s inception in 2006.

The impact of these and other key developments is analysed in depth in the 2020 edition of the Henley Passport Index and Global Mobility Report — a unique publication that offers cutting-edge analysis and commentary from leading scholars and professional experts on the latest trends shaping international and regional mobility patterns today.

Commenting in the report, Dr. Parag Khanna, bestselling author and the Founder and Managing Partner of FutureMap in Singapore, notes: “Migration, as with almost everything else, is a function of supply and demand — and, increasingly, it is accepted that more migration creates more demand, stimulating much needed economic growth. As the world economy heads into a synchronized slowdown, we must view migration as part of the solution, not the problem.”

Khanna points out that with the USChina trade war showing no signs of decelerating, Western investment has shifted out of China towards Southeast Asia, bringing a new wave of foreign talent into ASEAN countries that have encouraged greater migration through streamlined visa policies. Thailand’s strong upward movement in the Henley Passport Index’s rankings over the past year is a clear illustration of this emerging trend; benefitting from mutually reciprocal visa waivers, the country has climbed three spots in the past year and now sits in 65th place, with a visa-free/visa-on-arrival score of 78.

Middle Eastern countries have also made strong gains as part of overall efforts to boost trade and tourism. The UAE and Saudi Arabia each climbed four places, while Oman climbed three. Saudi Arabia is now in 66th place, with citizens able to access 77 destinations around the world without a prior visa, while Oman sits in 64th place, with a visa-free/visa-on-arrival score of 79. Despite these positive regional developments, Dr. Lorraine Charles, Research Associate at the University of Cambridge’s Centre for Business Research, warns that migration and mobility trends in the Middle East are largely driven by conflict, which looks set to continue in 2020. Citing deepening conflicts in Libya, Syria, and Yemen, and with renewed anti-government protests in Egypt, Iraq, and Lebanon, Charles notes that “forced displacement will most likely continue to dominate migration and mobility patterns within the Middle East.”

Brexit, talent migration, and the gap between policy and rhetoric

Following the Conservative government’s landslide victory in the UK late last year, the future of mobility and travel freedom between Britain and the EU remains uncertain. Madeleine Sumption, Director of the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford, says, “The Conservative government has promised an ‘Australian-style’ points-based system that would be more liberal than current policies towards non-EU citizens, though still much more restrictive than free movement. As with all big migration policy changes, what this will mean for actual levels of mobility, however, remains extremely difficult to predict.” Noting that the looming threat of Brexit has potentially made Britain a less attractive destination for EU citizens, Sumption points out that net EU migration to the UK fell by 59% between 2015 and 2018.

Prof. Simone Bertoli, Professor of Economics at Université Clermont Auvergne (CERDI) in France, says that while countries around the world insist that they are taking steps to attract “the best and the brightest”, a rather different picture is currently emerging: “When it comes to talent migration, a worrying gap between policy and rhetoric has been opening up over the past year. The sluggish improvement of labor market conditions after the 2008 crisis, and the concomitant rise of nativist political parties, is reinforcing the perception of immigration as a threat rather than as an opportunity.”

Citizenship-by-Investment countries retain strong positions

Going into the new year, countries with citizenship-by-investment programs continue to consolidate their positions on the index. Malta sits in 9th place, with access to 183 destinations around the world, while Montenegro holds on to 46th place, with a visa-free/visa-on-arrival score of 124. In the Caribbean, St. Kitts and Nevis and Antigua and Barbuda secure 27th and 30th spot, respectively.

Discussing the increasing popularity of investment migration programs for both wealthy investors and the countries that offer them, Dr. Juerg Steffen, CEO of Henley & Partners, says: “Demand for these programs is accelerating, just as the supply has grown globally. The past year has shown that, increasingly, nations and wealthy individuals see investment migration as more than a competitive advantage. Today, it is viewed as an absolute requirement in a volatile world where competition for capital is fierce, and it’s very clear that we will see more of this in 2020.”

 

Santander Reorganizes the Commercial, Investments and Products areas of its International Private Banking Business

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BPI offices in Miami. santandermiami

Banco Santander International (BSI) is carrying out a series of changes in the organizational structure of BPI, its international private banking business, which is led by Jorge Rossell.

Under the helm of Alfonso Castillo -who is adding the area of Products and Investments to his current responsibilities over Commercial and Global Private Wealth-, there are new appointments to these three areas, Funds Society was able to learn from sources familiar with the matter.

The former Products and Investments area, which was led by Javier Martín Pliego, is being divided into two units: the Products area which will be led by Isidro Fernández, who will also continue serving as Head of Alternative Investments and Funds; and the Investments area, led by Manuel Pérez Duro, until now responsible for AIS at BSISA (Switzerland and Bahamas). Martin Pliego will remain in Santander Group but is leaving the unit.

Within the internal structure of the Investments area, Carlos Ruiz Antequera is to become Chief Investment Officer, incorporating the investment stragegy team. Verónica López-Ibor will lead the Discretionary Portfolio Management team and Miriam Thaler will take on the role as new head of Investments in BSISA (Switzerland and Bahamas).

The Commercial area, under the new leadership of Eugenio Álvarez, will also experience some notable changes: Juan Araujo will be the new Regional Director for Venezuela. He will be based in Geneva. In addition, Yolanda Gargallo and Borja Echanove are to become BSI Branch Managers in New York and Houston, respectively.

With these changes, which will become effective on January 1, the entity will seek to continue growing in the European and Latin American markets. Since the beginning of 2019, Rossell – head of BPI and CEO of BSI- has been looking to boost the group’s business. He reports to both Victor Matarranz, Head of Santander Wealth Management, and to the recently appointed, Tim Wennes, CEO of Santander in the US. Wennes took on the position at the beginning of this month, after Scott Powell left the firm to become COO of Wells Fargo.

Stocks Are On Track for Solid 2019 Returns

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Photo: Pxfuel CC0. Stocks Are On Track for Solid 2019 Returns

The U.S. stock market started November with a sharp two-day rally sparked by a strong October jobs report that calmed recession fears. This set the stage for stocks to move higher for the month and to continue the 2019 series of record closing highs.
 
During the month, there were temporary sell offs from negative trade war related news but these were followed by positive headlines that moved stocks higher. On balance, improving trade negotiations, Brexit clarity, a resilient U.S. consumer and an accommodative Fed kept stocks on track for solid 2019 returns.
 
The M&A event catalyst for the three day pre-Thanksgiving spike in stock prices was ‘merger Monday’ when a flurry of large deals were announced including: Charles Schwab’s $26 billion transaction for TD Ameritrade, LVMH with a $16.2 billion deal for Tiffany, and drug maker Novartis in a $9.7 billion takeover of The Medicines Co. The global M&A volume wave that started in 2014, as measured in U.S dollars, continues to roll along with $2.73 trillion in 26,321 announced pending and completed transactions through November 30, 2019 versus $3.07 trillion in 30,225 deals in 2018 according to Bloomberg data.
 
Relatively unknown hotel operator Unzio Holdings (3258.T) was targeted with a rare domestic hostile bid from Tokyo travel agent H.I.S. Co (9603.T) in July.    This catalyst has surfaced intense interest from prominent global private equity firms, banks, and hedge funds, all attracted  to Unzio’s Japanese and other real estate properties selling at a discount, while also testing Prime Minister Abe’s efforts to boost shareholder returns for foreign buyers with revamped corporate governance and disclosure. The unprecedented cross-border hostile and friendly bidding war for Unizo heated up on November 24 when it said it had received six more buyout offers in addition to the deal proposed by Blackstone Group. More M&A activity to come…

Column by Gabelli Funds, written by Michael Gabelli

__________________________________

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GAMCO Merger Arbitrage UCITS Fund, launched in October 2011, is an open-end fund incorporated in Luxembourg and compliant with UCITS regulation. The team, dedicated strategy, and record dates back to 1985. The objective of the GAMCO Merger Arbitrage Fund is to achieve long-term capital growth by investing primarily in announced equity merger and acquisition transactions while maintaining a diversified portfolio. The Fund utilizes a highly specialized investment approach designed principally to profit from the successful completion of proposed mergers, takeovers, tender offers, leveraged buyouts and other types of corporate reorganizations. Analyzes and continuously monitors each pending transaction for potential risk, including: regulatory, terms, financing, and shareholder approval.

Merger investments are a highly liquid, non-market correlated, proven and consistent alternative to traditional fixed income and equity securities. Merger returns are dependent on deal spreads. Deal spreads are a function of time, deal risk premium, and interest rates. Returns are thus correlated to interest rate changes over the medium term and not the broader equity market. The prospect of rising rates would imply higher returns on mergers as spreads widen to compensate arbitrageurs. As bond markets decline (interest rates rise), merger returns should improve as capital allocation decisions adjust to the changes in the costs of capital.

Broad Market volatility can lead to widening of spreads in merger positions, coupled with our well-researched merger portfolios, offer the potential for enhanced IRRs through dynamic position sizing. Daily price volatility fluctuations coupled with less proprietary capital (the Volcker rule) in the U.S. have contributed to improving merger spreads and thus, overall returns. Thus our fund is well positioned as a cash substitute or fixed income alternative.

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The GAMCO All Cap Value UCITS Fund launched in May, 2015 utilizes Gabelli’s its proprietary PMV with a Catalyst™ investment methodology, which has been in place since 1977. The Fund seeks absolute returns through event driven value investing. Our methodology centers around fundamental, research-driven, value based investing with a focus on asset values, cash flows and identifiable catalysts to maximize returns independent of market direction. The fund draws on the experience of its global portfolio team and 35+ value research analysts.

GAMCO is an active, bottom-up, value investor, and seeks to achieve real capital appreciation (relative to inflation) over the long term regardless of market cycles. Our value-oriented stock selection process is based on the fundamental investment principles first articulated in 1934 by Graham and Dodd, the founders of modern security analysis, and further augmented by Mario Gabelli in 1977 with his introduction of the concepts of Private Market Value (PMV) with a Catalyst™ into equity analysis. PMV with a Catalyst™ is our unique research methodology that focuses on individual stock selection by identifying firms selling below intrinsic value with a reasonable probability of realizing their PMV’s which we define as the price a strategic or financial acquirer would be willing to pay for the entire enterprise.  The fundamental valuation factors utilized to evaluate securities prior to inclusion/exclusion into the portfolio, our research driven approach views fundamental analysis as a three pronged approach:  free cash flow (earnings before, interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, minus the capital expenditures necessary to grow/maintain the business); earnings per share trends; and private market value (PMV), which encompasses on and off balance sheet assets and liabilities. Our team arrives at a PMV valuation by a rigorous assessment of fundamentals from publicly available information and judgement gained from meeting management, covering all size companies globally and our comprehensive, accumulated knowledge of a variety of sectors. We then identify businesses for the portfolio possessing the proper margin of safety and research variables from our deep research universe.

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Disclaimer:
The information and any opinions have been obtained from or are based on sources believed to be reliable but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No responsibility can be accepted for any consequential loss arising from the use of this information. The information is expressed at its date and is issued only to and directed only at those individuals who are permitted to receive such information in accordance with the applicable statutes. In some countries the distribution of this publication may be restricted. It is your responsibility to find out what those restrictions are and observe them.

Some of the statements in this presentation may contain or be based on forward looking statements, forecasts, estimates, projections, targets, or prognosis (“forward looking statements”), which reflect the manager’s current view of future events, economic developments and financial performance. Such forward looking statements are typically indicated by the use of words which express an estimate, expectation, belief, target or forecast. Such forward looking statements are based on an assessment of historical economic data, on the experience and current plans of the investment manager and/or certain advisors of the manager, and on the indicated sources. These forward looking statements contain no representation or warranty of whatever kind that such future events will occur or that they will occur as described herein, or that such results will be achieved by the fund or the investments of the fund, as the occurrence of these events and the results of the fund are subject to various risks and uncertainties. The actual portfolio, and thus results, of the fund may differ substantially from those assumed in the forward looking statements. The manager and its affiliates will not undertake to update or review the forward looking statements contained in this presentation, whether as result of new information or any future event or otherwise.

 

iM Global Partner Hires Peter Stockall, Strengthening its International Distribution Platform

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Peter Stockall, courtesy photo. Peter Stockall se une a iM Global Partner, fortaleciendo su plataforma de distribución internacional

iM Global Partner, a leading investment and development platform focused on acquiring strategic investments in best-in-class traditional and alternative investment firms in the U.S., Europe and Asia, appointed Peter Stockall to lead sales in the US Offshore and Latin America region.

Peter, based in Miami, will enhance iM Global Partner’s international expansion, spearheading the business development efforts in this very important region within the Americas. He will offer US Offshore and Latin America investors access to a wide range of strategies managed by the outstanding partners of iM Global Partner, ranging  from US equities to liquid alternative strategies. Peter will report to Jose Castellano, Deputy CEO and Head of International Business Development.

Castellano said: “I am delighted to welcome Peter to our international sales team to support our rapidly developing Latam and US Offshore platforms, which have already been in place for more than a year. His experience covering the Americas will be a valuable asset in helping to develop the operational distribution capability of our current and future U.S., European and Asian Partners.”

Peter has 16 years of experience working for leading asset managers. Before joining iM Global Partner, Peter was responsible for sales of the Carmignac Mutual Fund range in the US. He spent four years, between 2012 and 2016, as Offshore regional Sales Consultant for Pioneer Investments, where he was responsible for sales of offshore mutual funds and alternative investments to financial advisors across all channels in the Southeast, Caribbean, and Panama territories. Peter started his career at Merrill Lynch providing Financial Advisors with sales support and investment guidance in both New York City and Asia regions. Peter has also been part of the Oppenheimer Funds and Capital Group sales teams. 

Neuberger Berman Launches New Japanese Equity Team with Focus on ESG Engagement

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Neuberger Berman crea un nuevo equipo de renta variable en Japón

Neuberger Berman announced its first Japan-based equities team, to be led by Keita Kubota, who joins as a Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Manager. The team will manage a “Japan Equity Engagement Strategy” seeking attractive returns through active engagement and constructive dialog with Japanese small/mid-cap companies in which the team invests. The strategy will be offered to both institutional and high-net-worth clients.

Kubota joins from Aberdeen Standard Investments, where he started his career over 13 years ago and most recently served as Deputy Head of Japan Equities. He was the investment director on Aberdeen Standard Investments’ Japan large cap strategy and small cap strategy, both of which were managed with an engagement strategy and offered to large institutional clients across Europe, Asia and Latin America.

Two analysts, one of whom will specialize in ESG investing, will support Kubota. Naoto Saito, joined Neuberger Berman in September as a Senior Research Analyst and has a generalist focus. Saito previously served in research roles and covered a broad range of companies across the Japanese equity market at Balyasny Asset Management, CLSA Securities and T. Rowe Price. With diverse experience as well as deep knowledge in ESG engagement, the team will seek to generate additional value by offering insights and knowledge sharing on ESG investing with portfolio companies.

“We look forward to the further expansion of ESG investing in Japan as companies have increased their awareness of corporate governance and other material factors. We think encouraging Japanese companies to improve their ESG factors through our active engagement can generate superior returns. Mr. Kubota and his team are bottom-up stock pickers with a focus on in-depth proprietary research,” said Ryo Ohira, Head of Neuberger Berman East Asia. “They are active, long-term investors who engage deeply and frequently with company management. Most importantly, Mr. Kubota has helped deliver long-term performance for his clients – which is our firm’s mission.”

Neuberger Berman has been in Japan for 15 years and currently manages over $53 billion in client assets locally having grown from $13 billion in 2015. For largely an institutional client base, the firm manages fixed income, alternatives and equity portfolios. Neuberger Berman is recognized in Japan as a leader in the ESG investing space, reflected in the firm winning the first ever Tokyo Financial Award for ESG Investing.

“We’re happy to welcome Mr. Kubota and team and know they are a fit our firm’s culture and core strengths. The group expands our global platform, bringing another long-term market perspective with a focus on active/ESG engagement in Japan, the third largest equity market in the world. We look forward to their capabilities helping client globally,” said Joseph Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer, Neuberger Berman.

 

J.P. Morgan Asset Management Launches its First Machine Learning Active Equity Thematic Fund

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. J.P. Morgan lanza un fondo sobre terapias genéticas que aprovecha el aprendizaje automático

J.P. Morgan Asset Management (JPMAM) is pleased to announce the launch of JPMorgan Funds – Thematics – Genetic Therapies in Europe, JPMAM’s first actively managed fund which combines both machine learning and active equity insights. The new fund leverages research carried out by UBS Global Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Office (UBS CIO) within its Longer Term Investments framework, and is being distributed by UBS initially.

Genetic therapies represent a once-in-a-generation breakthrough in the world of medicine. These treatments offer the hope of a cure for patients with serious inherited diseases, by modifying genetic information to address the underlying causes of disease. Today they are at an inflection point, moving from the clinic to commercial reality. This should generate high growth rates for companies operating in the space, and could prove highly disruptive for incumbent companies in the pharmaceutical industry if the technology proves to have wider applications.  JPMAM’s Genetic Therapies fund provides the opportunity to investors to gain diversified exposure to this new and exciting theme, and can help to hedge the risk of disruption to existing healthcare portfolios.

The fund will be co-managed by Yazann Romahi, Berkan Sesen and Aijaz Hussein. The portfolio management team sit within JPMAM’s Quantitative Beta Strategies (QBS) team, a team that specializes in quantitative portfolio management and are experts in developing innovative machine learning based technology solutions. Several members of the team hold PhD’s in Artificial Intelligence.

The fund has been designed to combine the strength and reach of JPMAM’s proprietary thematic engine, ThemeBot, with the portfolio management and research capabilities of JPMAM’s global equity platform. ThemeBot can efficiently identify stocks exposed to a range of investment themes including genetic therapies.

Using natural language processing, ThemeBot will screen more than 10,000 stocks globally, rapidly analysing hundreds of millions of data sources, such as news articles, company profiles, research notes and regulatory filings to identify stocks with the highest exposure to the theme and generate a high relevance portfolio, accounting for liquidity, market capitalisation and profitability. The portfolio will invest across the market capitalisation spectrum and provide diversified exposure to both innovative pioneers and established healthcare players. ThemeBot dynamically ensures only the most relevant stocks based on textual and revenue metrics are flagged for inclusion in the portfolio.

Once ThemeBot has selected the stocks it thinks are most applicable to the genetic therapies theme, the QBS team will work with experienced industry career analysts from JPMAM’s global equity platform to vet and validate ThemeBot’s output, to ensure stocks most relevant to the theme secure a spot in the portfolio. The portfolio management team will have access to five dedicated healthcare analysts with an average experience of 19 years. Additionally, the portfolio managers will be able to call upon the expertise of JPMAM’s broader equity analyst community, made up of 51 sector specialists.

Yazann Romahi, Chief Investment Officer of Quantitative Beta Strategies at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said: “In seeking to create data driven portfolios which brings together human and artificial intelligence, we’re able to offer investors thematic solutions which enable them to tap into some of the central investment themes shaping our world today.”

Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said: “Genetic therapies could develop into a profoundly disruptive technology for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry. Positioning portfolios to capture the economic benefits of disruption, while hedging or mitigating its effects on other assets, supports our goal to help our clients protect and grow their wealth over generations.”

George Gatch, CEO, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said: “We’re delighted to partner with UBS in developing this new fund. We’re deploying our best Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Big Data capabilities combined with our global research expertise for this investment theme. Innovating jointly with our clients is an important priority for us.”

Christian Wiesendanger, Head of Investment Platforms and Solutions at UBS Global Wealth Management, said: “Developing new solutions with our partners is critical to implementing innovative ideas in clients’ portfolios. Machine learning is an exciting new tool for those looking to be at the cutting edge of investment management and will likely play a greater role in the years ahead.”

The fund’s C share class will have a Total Expense Ratio of 56 basis points.

 

Allfunds Strengthens its Presence in the Nordics as the Acquisition of Nordic Fund Market is Finalized

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CC-BY-SA-2.0, FlickrFoto: mariano mantel. estocolmo

Allfunds, the largest investment fund distribution network in Europe and a leading wealthtech platform, has successfully finalized the acquisition of the Nordic Fund Market (NFM), from Nasdaq. The acquisition was announced in March 2019 and has been pending regulatory approvals and customary procedures.

With this operation, Allfunds total assets under distribution (AUD) increase to more than €530 billion and further strengthens its presence in the Nordic region. The Nordic Fund Market client portfolio will boost Allfunds’ presence in the Nordics at the same time as benefiting existing NFM distributors and fund managers with added value solutions, increased efficiency and advanced technology. Current NFM distributors and fund managers will become part of Allfunds’ distribution network in the region which already compromise more than 20 entities in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Iceland and the Baltic countries.

Allfunds now has an established office in Stockholm which will provide services to the distributors and fund managers throughout the Nordic region. All employees working with NFM at Nasdaq in Stockholm were recruited, one being the former CEO of Nasdaq Broker Services Mattias Hammarqvist who is the Head of Allfunds Sweden.

“I am very excited that we, with new office will be able to leverage on the technology, services and benefits Allfunds global platform provides. It enables us to improve our offerings to current distributors and fund managers as well as to attract additional,“ said Mattias Hammarqvist, Head of Allfunds Sweden.

With the new office, distributors and fund managers are able to leverage the technology and know-how of experts in the region while accessing a cost-efficient way to distribute funds and reducing operational risk.  This agreement and access to the global platform will benefit local financial institutions who can take advantage of the global scale and specialisation within Allfunds as well as to benefit from state-of-the-art technology and increased service offering to meet challenges in the industry.

Juan Alcaraz, CEO of Allfunds, said: “We are very excited to close this acquisition that allows us to increase our presence in the Nordics by bringing our leading fund and wealthtech platform to the region while strengthening our global position. The Nordic markets deserve a trusted and global B2B partner to boost and support local financial institutions. The integration of NFM’s business and infrastructure into our company and our solutions further enhances our innovative offering, disruptive and value-added services that will now be made available to Nordic entities and help them achieve their objectives.”

Tikehau Capital Appoints Olga Kosters as Head of Private Debt Secondaries

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Tikahu Capital - Olga Kosters
Foto cedidaOlga Kosters, directora de Private Debt Secondaries. Tikehau Capital ficha a Olga Kosters como nueva directora de Private Debt Secondaries

Tikehau Capital, an alternative asset management and investment group, appointed Olga Kosters as Head of Private Debt Secondaries.

Kosters’ role will be to launch the firm’s private debt secondaries business. She will be based in New York and report locally to Tim Grell, Head of Tikehau Capital North America, and to Cécile Mayer-Lévi, Head of Private Debt activity.

Olga Kosters (47) has twenty years of investment and structuring experience in private and public capital markets. Prior to joining Tikehau Capital Kosters advised large institutional investors on the US private credit strategies while at StepStone Global, and led the execution of corporate private debt strategy at Zurich Insurance Group. Prior to this Kosters has held several positions at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) in London.

“Over the last fifteen years Tikehau Capital has grown to become one of the most well-capitalised asset management firms globally and has developed a deep network of institutional investors and strategic partners. The firm keeps its focus on underwriting, and continues to invest a large portion of its own capital alongside its investors,” said Olga. “In a context of fast growth, the team has successfully maintained its entrepreneurial spirit and a strong set of core values. I am delighted to join the team to build the new private debt strategy.”

Cécile Mayer-Lévi, Head of Private Debt activity, commented: “We are delighted to welcome Olga to our team and expand our offer to the secondaries market in private debt. We see that this market is emerging and we believe it could develop significantly in the coming months.”

Kosters received an MBA in finance from Hofstra University, and is a CFA charterholder.

Scharf Investments Launches First UCITS Fund With iM Global Partner

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Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Scharf Investments lanza el primer fondo UCITS junto a iM Global Partner

 iM Global Partner, a leading investment and development platform focused on acquiring strategic investments, and Scharf Investments, an investment firm providing high quality value investment strategies, have announced the launch of iM Scharf US Quality Value fund, the first collaborative UCITS fund between the two firms. The equity fund will seek to deliver compelling risk-adjusted absolute returns through a value-focused, fundamental, bottom-up approach.

The fund, which launched on September 12, 2019, will give investors outside of the US access to Scharf Investments’ expertise for the first time, facilitated by the unique business model of iM Global Partner who acquired a 40% interest in the California-based US equity value asset manager a few months ago.

iM Scharf US Quality Value Fund will be managed by Scharf’s experienced investment team, with a similar investment strategy to its core equity flagship product which has a proven track record spanning approximately 30 years.  The investment team looks for securities trading at significant discounts to estimated fair value as a margin of safety and high earnings predictability. The fund is not publicly offered to all investors in all jurisdictions.

Brian Krawez, President of Scharf Investments, said: “We are delighted with the launch of our first UCITS fund with iM Global Partner. It is a great opportunity for Scharf Investments to reach new markets and new investors. We look forward to working with iM Global Partner as we continue to develop and refine our worldwide presence.”
 
Jose Castellano, Deputy CEO and Head of International Distribution at iM Global Partner, added: “Scharf Investments is a proven leader in value-oriented equity asset management and has an exceptional track-record. Their core equity flagship strategy outperformed the Russell 1000 Value and the S&P500 by 3.5%, with lower volatility*. Their entry into the UCITS fund market will allow broader access to Scharf Investments products for institutional investors and we are thrilled to support their expansion internationally.”

Scharf Investments is a California-based investment firm founded in 1983. Managed by Brian Krawez, President and Investment Committee Chairman, the company has grown from 5 people and under $700m of assets under management in 2007 to 22 people and $3.3bn of assets under management today.
 
Scharf Investments currently manages four distinct strategies:

  • A long-only US equity strategy, the firm’s core equity strategy on which the three other strategies are based
  • A long-only multi-asset strategy
  • A long/short hedged US equity strategy
  • A long-only global equity strategy

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iM Global Partner currently has strategic minority investments in five partners, including two outstanding complementary US large-cap equity managers with proven track records and a focus on downside protection.

 

Global Bond Investing in an Era of Negative Interest Rates

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foto tipos interes
Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Invertir en bonos globales en una época de tipos de interés negativos

What once would have been considered a strange anomaly may now be becoming the norm as yields on a growing proportion of the global bond markets turned negative throughout 2019. The escalating US-China trade conflict, fears of a global economic slowdown and the aggressive accommodative monetary policy response by central banks to those developments have accelerated this trend in the middle of 2019, according to Colchester Global Investors.

This environment has resulted in the market yield on approximately US$11 trillion of government debt falling below zero percent as at the end of August, 2019. This accounted for approximately 37% of the universe of outstanding government debt at that time. Some 40% of this amount was issued by the Government of Japan, and a further 14% and 12% by the French and German Governments respectively.

As a result of the extensive quantitative easing programs undertaken by central banks, collectively it is estimated that they now hold approximately 80% of all negative yielding debt. Whilst negative central bank policy rates and negative bond yields on sovereign debt had been observed for some time, this phenomenon has not been restricted to government bonds alone. In recent months yields on an increasing number of corporate bonds have also turned negative, new corporate debt has been issued at those levels and even negative rate mortgages have been offered in Denmark. While not as prevalent, such declines have resulted in the yield on approximately 7% (US$1 trillion) of the universe of global corporate investment grade debt also falling below zero percent.

Mercados de bonos negativosShould investors hold negative-yielding bonds?

Given that negative yields imply an investor holding such a security to maturity will incur a loss (at least in nominal terms) does this imply that the ‘safe-haven’ characteristics of sovereign fixed income have been compromised? The evidence of the recent past would suggest not.

At Colchester they have observed that negative yields can become more negative in response to economic and political events and shifts in perceived risk levels. In other words, over the short term the returns to investors from ‘falling’ negative-yielding bonds may be positive as bond prices continue to appreciate. Indeed, many investors were surprised at the strength of the demand for safe-haven assets and the resulting size of the yield decline of already negatively yielding bonds during the most recent bout of risk aversion in the middle of 2019. For example, 10-year German Bund yields fell from -0.2% to -0.7% from mid-July to mid-August, returning +4.5% in USD hedged terms. Similarly, over the same period, 10-year Swedish bond yields fell from 0.1% to -0.4%, returning +3.0% in USD hedged terms.

This is not to argue that negative yielding bonds will always deliver positive returns, but simply highlights that the diversifying return characteristics of sovereign bonds still holds true in a negative interest rate world. Returns on a negative yielding bond may be positive or negative over the short term, just as they may be on a positive nominal yielding bond.

How is Colchester managing portfolios in the current environment?

Colchester continues to see the sovereign fixed income asset class as providing desirable diversification characteristics and specifically a negative correlation to risk assets. They believe that the events of mid 2019 suggest that despite the increasing prevalence of negative yields, this characteristic remains intact in the face of rising uncertainty and increased risk aversion. “The slowdown in global money and credit growth through 2017 and 2018 is likely to contain inflation in the near term and limit any large increase in bond yields. This benign environment is likely to be broadly supportive of bond prices and minimise the ‘cost’ of diversification insurance that may prove useful if the global economy, trade disputes or risk assets take a turn for the worse”.

Nonetheless at Colchester they are trying to limit their exposure to negative nominal yielding markets. “Instead we are skewing our portfolios towards markets that are offering positive real yields, that preferably also offer a positive nominal yield. Such markets are currently limited within the G10 or ‘traditional’ bond markets. It is tempting in such an environment to reach for yield by moving down the credit curve into subordinated or high yield debt, increasing exposure to emerging markets, or supplementing returns with an array of structured products. However, as all have a higher correlation with equity and other growth assets, this reduces the diversification benefit of holding bonds. Accordingly, we seek to build bond portfolios that not only offer higher relative real yields and attractive risk characteristics, but also maintain the diversifying integrity of a traditional bond market allocation. Therefore, while we are willing to add limited exposure to some non-traditional markets such as Singapore or Mexico, to benefit from their potentially higher real yields on offer and to offset some of the ‘insurance premium cost’, such exposure is limited to protect the diversification characteristics that most investors are looking for from their traditional sovereign bond allocations”.

Today their global bond portfolios are materially overweight versus benchmark those markets where they observe the most attractive prospective real yields. “Markets such as Norway, Singapore and Mexico, where both real and nominal yields are positive, feature in our portfolios. In contrast, the strategy is very underweight the euro area where both real and nominal yields are negative and our portfolios hold no exposure to German, French or Dutch bonds where yields are lowest. The strategy does however hold some exposure to negative nominal-yielding bonds, mostly in Japan. The Japanese market offers materially more attractive relative real yields than the core of Europe once we factor in the low level of projected inflation. Furthermore, the market exhibits very low levels of volatility. As we are looking to construct portfolios that in aggregate offer a balance between value (or expected return), liquidity and negative correlation to risk assets, it should be no surprise that despite their negative nominal yields, Japanese bonds have a role to play”.