Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. 2022 será un año crucial para los ETFs activos en el mercado estadounidense
2022 will be a transitional year for active exchange-traded funds (ETFs), according to Cerulli Associates. Its latest researchU.S. Exchange-Traded Fund Markets 2021: Reaching a Growing Investor Basefinds ETF industry participants are adamant that the active ETF opportunity is currently the most significant. In this context, as managers look to bring active product to market, they should continue monitoring the various approaches to launch and understand the tradeoffs associated with each.
The research asserts that the transparent active opportunity is most attractive relative to semi-transparent, strategic beta, and passive offerings. 70% of polled ETF issuers are either currently developing or planning to develop transparent active ETFs. With 266 billion dollars in assets encompassing multiple asset classes and a consistent growth trajectory, transparent active ETFs are already a well-built category and development has more recently been spurred by the ETF rule.
However, Cerulli notes that out of 104 billion dollars in active equity exposures, only a sliver is in true active equity products given that a significant portion is allocated to thematic and strategic-beta-like offerings.
The research points out that managers can also be successful with semi-transparent offerings. 50% of polled ETF issuers either are currently developing or planning to develop semi-transparent active ETFs. “Because holdings overlap and the number of holdings between the same product in two structures can vary significantly, this can lead to performance dispersion. This also complicates the cost-benefit analysis, requiring additional diligence from advisors and home offices”, Cerulli explains.
“Managers considering launching active ETFs should also keep an eye on the dual-share-class structure used by Vanguard, which comes off patent in 2023,” according to Daniil Shapiro, associate director. Previous Cerulli research finds that 38% of issuers are at least considering offering products via this structure. “Considering managers’ interest in offering products in a wrapper-agnostic manner, there is certainly some simplicity to be gained from having the same exposure available for sale via two structures—therein avoiding some of the previously referenced concerns about different exposures in what may be expected to be the same semi-transparent ETF,” adds Shapiro.
Cerulli believes that as issuers and legacy mutual fund managers seek to identify their market entry approach—whether via launching transparent or semi-transparent product, a conversion, or dual-share-class structure—many are still taking a wait-and-see approach to see which firms win out while others are placing bets.
“Ultimately, while the transparent active opportunity may be the most significant asset-gathering opportunity, managers can also be successful via semi-transparent ETFs with the right distribution approach. Conversions should be considered in unique circumstances, while developments regarding the dual-share-class structure should be monitored”, concludes Shapiro.
Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. Los dividendos mundiales alcanzaron la cifra récord de 1,47 billones de dólares en 2021
The year 2021 saw a strong recovery in global dividends that more than offset cuts made during the worst of the pandemic, according to the latest Janus Henderson Global Dividend Index. Global dividends soared 14.7% on an underlying basis to a new record high of $1.47 trillion.
According to data from the Janus Henderson index, records were broken in a number of countries, including the United States, Brazil, China and Sweden, although the fastest growth was recorded in those parts of the world that had experienced the largest declines in 2020, notably Europe, the United Kingdom and Australia. Overall rate growth was 16.8%, driven by record extraordinary dividends. In addition, 90% of companies raised or held dividends steady, indicating widespread growth.
“Against the backdrop of the spectacular rally seen in the banking sector and the exceptional cyclical upside in mining companies, it would be easy to overlook the encouraging dividend growth seen in sectors that have made steady rises in recent years, such as technology. We expect many of these habitual patterns to consolidate in 2022 and beyond. The big unknown for 2022 is what will happen in the mining sector, but it is reasonable to assume that dividends in this area will be lower than the record levels of 2021, in light of recent trends in the iron ore, other metals and coal markets. For the full year, we forecast global dividends to reach a new record high of $1.52 trillion, up 3.1% on an overall basis or 5.7% on an underlying basis,” the company’s analysis notes.
Upward revision of the forecast
The exceptionally strong fourth-quarter distributions figures, coupled with the improved outlook for 2022, have led Janus Henderson to upgrade its full-year forecast. In 2022, Janus Henderson expects global dividends to reach a new record of $1.52 trillion, an increase of 3.1% on an overall rate or 5.7% on an underlying basis.
As the report accompanying the release of this index indicates, banks and mining companies were responsible for 60% of the $212 billion increase in payouts in 2021.
Another 25% of the increase responded to the resumption of distributions that companies had halted in 2020. Most of it was due to banks, whose dividends soared 40%, or $50.5 billion, and distributions returned to 90% of their pre-pandemic highs in 2021. In this regard, the manager explains that dividends were boosted by the restoration of payouts to more normal levels, given that regulators had curbed distributions in many parts of the world in 2020.
“More than 25% of the $212 billion annual increase came from mining companies, which benefited from the stellar rise in commodity prices. Record dividends from mining companies reflect the strength of their earnings. The mining sector distributed $96.6 billion over the year, nearly double the previous record of 2019, and ten times more than during the trough of 2015-16. In addition, BHP became the company that distributed the most dividends in the world. However, as a highly cyclical sector, its distributions will return to more normal levels when the commodity cycle turns around,” it notes in its findings.
The global economic recovery allowed distributions from consumer discretionary and industrial companies to grow by 12.8% and 10.0%, respectively, in underlying terms, while healthcare and pharmaceutical groups increased their dividends by 8.5%. Meanwhile, technology companies, whose profits continued to grow relatively immune to the pandemic, added $17 billion in payouts, an increase of 8%. Interestingly, 25% of the increase was attributable to just nine companies, eight of which were banks or mining companies.
Rebound in the United Kingdom and Australia
Geographically, the most accelerated growth in dividends was recorded in the regions where, in 2020, the largest cuts took place, such as Europe, the United Kingdom and Australia.
According to the firm, distributions reached new records in several countries such as the United States, Australia, China and Sweden, although 33% of the upturn came from just two countries, Australia and the United Kingdom, where the combination of increased distributions from mining companies and the restoration of distributions from banks made the biggest contribution to shareholder remuneration growth.
“Much of the dividend recovery in 2021 came from a small number of companies and sectors in a few areas of the world. However, behind these excellent figures, there was widespread growth in distributions both geographically and by sector,” says Jane Shoemake, client portfolio manager in Janus Henderson’s Global Equity Income team.
As Shoemake explains, against the backdrop of the spectacular rally seen in the banking sector and the exceptional cyclical upside in mining companies, it would be easy to overlook the encouraging dividend growth seen in sectors that have made steady gains in recent years, such as technology. “The same goes for geographic trends. The United States, for example, is often ahead of other countries, but in 2021 it recorded slower dividend growth than the rest of the world. This was due to the resilience shown in 2020, so the scope for recovery was now more limited,” he adds.
On its outlook, the manager indicates that many of the long-term dividend growth trends observed since the index’s launch in 2009 will be consolidated in 2022 and beyond. “The big unknown for 2022 is what will happen in the mining sector, but it is reasonable to assume that dividends in this area will be lower than the record levels of 2021, in view of the significant correction in the price of iron ore,” he says.
Commenting on the report’s findings, Juan Fierro, director at Janus Henderson for Iberia, says: “Following the strong recovery in global dividends that we saw over the past year, our 2022 forecasts put payouts for listed companies at a new record of $1.52 trillion – an increase of 3.1% overall or 5.7% underlying. While 90% of companies globally raised or held their dividends stable in 2021, in Spain we have seen this percentage drop to 36%. Despite this, dividends in our country registered an underlying growth of 14.6%, in line with global growth but higher in general terms (+22.5%) thanks to extraordinary payments.”
Fierro believes that, in the current context, “with a turbulent start to the year due to geopolitical tensions and potential changes in central banks’ monetary policy, it will be key to rely on active management and maintain a global and diversified approach in portfolios”.
Foto cedidaIvo Frielink, director de Desarrollo Estratégico de Producto y Negocio y miembro del Comité Ejecutivo de Robeco.. Robeco nombra a Ivo Frielink director de Desarrollo Estratégico de Producto y Negocio y miembro del Comité Ejecutivo
Robeco has announced the appointment of Ivo Frielink as Head of Strategic Product & Business Development and member of the Executive Committee (ExCo), effective 1 March.
Karin van Baardwijk, CEO Robeco, said: “We are very pleased to have Ivo joining the ExCo and taking on this strategic position for our clients and Robeco. It also makes me proud that we are able to fill this position from our own ranks, which underlines the strength of our organization. Having worked closely with Ivo in the past, I have full confidence that the experience and insights he has gained over his extensive career will be a great asset that we can all profit from.”
Mr. Frielink, currently Regional Business Manager APAC at Robeco Hong Kong, will in his new role be responsible for further aligning Robeco’s product offering with its key commercial priorities and focus, as well as adding capabilities that complement the company’s current offering and drive Robeco’s strategic agenda.
He started his career at Price Waterhouse Coopers in 2000 and moved to Robeco in 2005, where he held different roles including Corporate Development. At the end of 2017, he moved to NN Investment Partners, where he served as Head of Product Development & Market Intelligence. After just over two years, he returned to Robeco, where he was appointed Regional Business Manager for APAC at Robeco Hong Kong.
Ivo Frielink, Head of Strategic Product & Business Development: “Having spent the majority of my career at Robeco, I am honored to be taking on this important position and working together with the ExCo members and all the different teams within Robeco. I look forward to connecting with and supporting our clients to achieve their financial and sustainability goals by providing superior investment returns and solutions. With Sustainable Investing, Quant, Credits, Thematic and Emerging Market Equities we have a strong suite of capabilities, and I look forward to aligning this even further with what our clients are looking for and where we can add value to them.”
2021’s value rally was spurred by optimism over ‘re-opening’ but came to an abrupt halt with the arrival of the Omicron variant. NN Investment Partners believes that the value rotation in play since the start of 2022 should not only have more longevity, but is likely to be broader in scope. An environment of higher interest rates and inflation should favour new sectors such as financials, energy and materials rather than just the “COVID recovery” names. Dividend strategies should thrive in this climate, but investors should be wary of “bond proxies”.
“Last year’s value rally lifted ‘deep value’ stocks particularly in the more challenged sectors such as travel, airlines and leisure. But many do not pay dividends because of weak cash flows and pressured balance sheets. This year, as markets become more volatile and less directional, the dividend factor could become important once again. Over time in Europe, dividends have provided investors with around 40% of their total returns”, says Robert Davis, Senior Portfolio Manager in the European Equity team of NN IP.
Value versus growth
The asset manager’s latest analysis shows that value investing has been out of favour since the Financial Crisis of 2008 with low interest rates and the effects of quantitative easing driving high valuations for growth companies. However, as inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates weigh on investors’ decision-making, we may be at an inflection point.
After a false-start earlier in 2021, value strategies have now outpaced growth strategies since November last year, with the technology sector – and particularly the more speculative stocks within it – taking a tumble.
Historically, the dominance of one investment style over the other can last for many years before a reversal occurs. The famous value rally that started in the mid-70’s lasted almost two decades before growth took over in a run that ended with the “dotcom” boom and bust. The most recent growth cycle started with the resolution of the Financial Crisis as central banks used unconventional monetary policies to depress interest rates and attempt to kick-start economic recovery.
The result has been extreme dispersion between the valuations of growth and value stocks, surpassing the levels seen at the peak of the late-90’s technology bubble. These valuation extremes have made the style performances susceptible to a reversal, and the change of central bank policy in the face of growing risks from inflation has provided the catalyst for this to take place.
A different flavour
At NN IP they believe this year’s value rotation is likely to have a different flavour. In this sense, they point out that there have been two legs to the value rally. The first occurred after the success of the vaccination programmes as economies started to reopen. That particularly helped companies who had seen demand shut off, or had experienced severe disruption to supply chains. “We think this year’s rotation is different – we’re seeing the consequences of inflation and the winners and losers from this environment are a different set of stocks”, warns Davis.
“Financials, for example, will benefit from higher interest rates. With low, or even negative rates, it places a lower bound on the spread between the interest rates banks can charge and receive for lending and borrowing, and this has seen their profit margins under pressure. As rates rise, so should banks’ profitability. Energy and materials stocks have also been clear beneficiaries of strong demand for their underlying commodities”, he adds.
Together with the better performance from these sectors which traditionally pay higher dividends, NN IP highlights that dividend strategies should have other advantages in the current environment. For income-focused investors, there is a level of inflation protection built-in as dividends should rise with company earnings. And as markets become more volatile and less directional, the one element of total return for equities over which there is good visibility is the dividend payout. In a mature market like Europe, dividends comprise around 40% of total returns over the long run.
Dividend approach
However, the asset manager thinks that it is not enough to target high yielding stocks. “Bond proxies”, defined as companies in sectors characterised by steady but slow earnings growth and therefore stable dividends, may see their yield advantage eroded with inflation and higher interest rates. This may be holding back sectors such as healthcare, where drug pricing is fairly independent of economic trends with the risk that dividend growth lags increases in inflation. In other stocks, the highest dividend yields may be a sign of distress and are best avoided: an indication that the market thinks the company will be unable to sustain current levels of payout.
NN IP’s focus is on quality dividends paid by companies generating growing cash flows and with a track record of returning cash to shareholders, but also reinvesting for growth. Today, this also requires finding companies with strong pricing power that can pass on higher input costs to customers.
Davis reveals that within the consumer space, they’ve been increasing exposure to the luxury sector: “Whereas food producers may be struggling to pass on higher input costs like energy and agricultural commodities, luxury goods companies appear to have few problems increasing the price of a designer handbag or high-end watch by another 10%”.
This focus on quality also allows the fund to integrate environmental, social and governance metrics. ESG can be difficult for Value and Dividend funds which can be skewed towards “old economy” businesses. “We target a lower CO2 intensity than our benchmarks. By owning better ESG-rated and lower polluting companies in our strategies we can even run an overweight in sectors like energy while maintaining a lower CO2 footprint than the broad index”, he concludes.
Pixabay CC0 Public Domain. ¿Será 2022 un año más “débil” en términos de negocio para las gestoras?
After a positive 2021 for European asset management driven by the recovery and strong risk appetite, the analysts of Bank of America think 2022 will be more challenging given conflicting messages on markets, growth, inflation, rates and COVID. In their last report, they reveal that they are taking a defensive approach at this stage in the cycle.
Sector valuation of 14x 2022 PE is optimistic as it is above the long-term average and implies 2021 trends continuing. The research shows that although a yield of 5% is supportive, there is downside risk to ratings given the long-term correlation between markets, flows and valuation. “We prefer to be defensive at this stage in the cycle and favor stocks benefiting from structural growth (passives, private assets), absolute/total return exposure, stable asset bases (wealth) and proven cost control”, it says.
Structural growth drivers
After rising 45% in 2021, Bank of America expects sector earnings to fall 5% in 2022 as operating margins compress by 1-2pp on cost growth normalization post lockdown, lower performance fees from cyclically high levels, and “slower net new money growth”. In this sense, their strategists forecast 3% net flow growth in 2022from 4-5% in 2021. “Given the pro-cyclicality of the sector and expected market pressure, there is also downside risk to valuation. We expect a wide valuation range between those with inflows and those without”, they add.
As for the key themes of the year, the report highlights four, starting by the continued structural growth for private assets as rates remain near historically low levels and investors seek higher returns through an illiquidity premium. The second one is increasing demand for absolute/total return through hedge funds to preserve capital and diversify in light of market risks.
The last trends into 2022 would be a rotation back to passive funds (including ESG) after a strong year for active; and importance of cost management to maintain operating margins given top-line pressures.
The analysts of Bank of America don’t forecast a negative scenario, but expect structural growth drivers to outweigh cyclical in 2022 as macro uncertainty rises and market beta comes under pressure. In this sense, they favor high quality, defensive stocks; and highlight that their buy ratings have average 27% total return potential.
“Our top picks are alternative & private asset managers, Italian asset gatherers and diversified firms with leading passive exposure. Our underperform ratings are ABDN, JUP and ASHM which face outflow pressure. We think their multiples are capped until flows inflect. We have Neutral ratings on SDR, DWS, N91 and Baer”, they conclude.
Foto cedidaSophie Del Campo, responsable de distribución para el Sur de Europa y Latam de Natixis IM. . Natixis IM nombra a Sophie Del Campo responsable de distribución para el Sur de Europa y Latam
To increase proximity with local clients and partners and meet 2024 development ambitions, Natixis Investment Managers (Natixis IM) continues to execute on its strategy to strengthen key business regions. In this context, the asset manager has announced the appointment of Sophie Del Campo as Head of Distribution for Southern Europe & LATAM.
In her new role, she will be responsible for expanding Natixis IM’s footprint in the Southern Europe & LATAM region andwill oversee Iberia, Italy, LATAM and US Offshore. She is based in Madrid and reports to Joseph Pinto, Head of Distribution for Europe, Latin America, Middle East and Asia Pacific, at Natixis IM.
“Sophie’s appointment contributes to reinforce our regional capabilities and reflects our commitment to keep closer to our clients and better meet their specific needs. Since she joined Natixis IM in 2011, Sophie has achieved significant milestones. She successfully led our development in Spain, she drove our expansion in Andes, Southcone, US Offshore, and more recently in Brazil”, commentedPinto.
He also claimed to be confident that Del Campo’s “strong leadership and experience” in business development across countries and client segments will help her to succeed in her new role and to achieve their ambitions in the Southern Europe & LATAM region.
Meanwhile, Del Campo said she is pleased to take on more responsabilities: “I am looking forward to pursue our goals, together with my team. Our purpose in Southern Europe & LATAM is to deliver high quality services to our clients and offer them the investments that suit their long-term requirements. We’ll accomplish that, by following a selective and diversified development strategy, leveraging on the high-value solutions from our affiliated investment managers. We’re committed to further expand into the Retail & Wholesale market through strategic distribution partnerships, and to increase our portfolio of large accounts”.
Del Campo has 20 year experience in the asset management and financial industry. She started her carreer at Deloitte Consulting Group and then worked at ING Direct to develop a mutual funds broker-on-line in Spain. In 2001 she joined Amundi in Spain where she led the wholesale distribution until 2006, and she became Head of Distribution for the Iberian market. From 2008 to 2011, she was Head of Spain and Portugal at Pioneer Investments. Del Campo was most recently Head of Iberia, US Offshore and LATAM at Natixis Investment Managers. She holds an Master in Finance from IEP Paris, and a Master Degree in Economy from the University of Sorbonne Paris.
Pixabay CC0 Public DomainDólares estadounidenses . Taper Tantrum
The U.S. stock market started 2022 with the S&P 500 hitting an intraday record high on January 4 as the Omicron variant’s disease severity was downgraded. The next day, when the minutes of the December 15 FOMC meeting revealed a tightening bias that included the “run off” of the Fed’s $9 trillion balance sheet, the financial markets turned negative abruptly. Stocks declined sharply and the ten-year U.S. Note yield spiked higher. ‘Taper Tantrum’ 2022 was underway.
So far, how does the May 2013 Bernanke quantitative tightening surprise compare? To date 2022, the S&P 500 is down 5.6% vs 4.9% in 2013 and the ten-year U.S. Treasury yield is 27% higher vs 35% in 2013. In 1955, Fed Chairman Martin said the Fed’s job is ‘to take away the punch bowl just as the party gets going.’ How will Jerome Powell compare to Paul Volcker? On Saturday, Oct. 6, 1979, Fed Chairman Volcker held an impromptu evening news conference, dubbed the ‘Saturday Night Massacre.’ Mr. Volcker declared war on inflation and announced the Fed’s monetary policy would now control interest rates by targeting the money supply, with markets setting interest rates. The post-war Keynesian era of big government run economic policy was fading.
Job creation estimates for the January U.S. payrolls report released on February 4 were far below the actual data as the labor market recovery strengthened and the Omicron surge slowed. Bottom line: the U.S. job market is tight and wages are rising. The FOMC’s December 15 minutes also said the job market is ‘very tight.’ The next inflation data release is the CPI estimated to have annualized at 7.3%, the largest rise since 1982 when Mr. Volcker was ‘slaying the inflationary dragon.’
Market volatility remained throughout the month of January, with the S&P 500 declining as much as 11.5% for the month, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq slid as much as 16%. The volatility spilled over into merger arbitrage markets where spreads widened as investors’ risk appetites were tested, and downsides recalibrated. Despite volatility in markets, widened merger arbitrage spreads, and regulatory setbacks, we come out of a challenging month optimistic about the opportunities ahead. M&A activity remains robust in 2022 including the announced acquisition of Activision by Microsoft for $74 billion, and the acquisition of Citrix Systems by Vista Equity for $17 billion.
January was a difficult month across the markets and convertibles were no exception. With growth multiples moving lower, many equity sensitive convertibles moved lower with stocks. Additionally, with interest rates rising, the fixed income equivalents in the market trended lower as well. While this hurt performance for the month, we believe it presents an opportunity as there are now some convertibles trading at more attractive levels than they have in some time, and underlying equity valuations have become more reasonable.
We are of the mind that security selection will be key to performance this year. Typically convertibles do well in a rising interest rate environment, but there are two factors that could cause things to be somewhat different this time. First is the large amount of convertibles with 0 yield and high premium. Most of these are trading below par and are now considered a fixed income equivalent. These will be weak in a rising interest rate environment as investors demand greater yield to maturity. Additionally, given the majority of convert issuers are growth oriented, a continued re-rating of growth stock multiples could weigh on the equity sensitive side of the market. Given that backdrop our focus remains on total return convertibles with some high conviction equity sensitive names.
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To access our proprietary value investment methodology, and dedicated merger arbitrage portfolio we offer the following UCITS Funds in each discipline:
GAMCO MERGER ARBITRAGE
GAMCO Merger Arbitrage UCITS Fund, launched in October 2011, is an open-end fund incorporated in Luxembourg and compliant with UCITS regulation. The team, dedicated strategy, and record dates back to 1985. The objective of the GAMCO Merger Arbitrage Fund is to achieve long-term capital growth by investing primarily in announced equity merger and acquisition transactions while maintaining a diversified portfolio. The Fund utilizes a highly specialized investment approach designed principally to profit from the successful completion of proposed mergers, takeovers, tender offers, leveraged buyouts and other types of corporate reorganizations. Analyzes and continuously monitors each pending transaction for potential risk, including: regulatory, terms, financing, and shareholder approval.
Merger investments are a highly liquid, non-market correlated, proven and consistent alternative to traditional fixed income and equity securities. Merger returns are dependent on deal spreads. Deal spreads are a function of time, deal risk premium, and interest rates. Returns are thus correlated to interest rate changes over the medium term and not the broader equity market. The prospect of rising rates would imply higher returns on mergers as spreads widen to compensate arbitrageurs. As bond markets decline (interest rates rise), merger returns should improve as capital allocation decisions adjust to the changes in the costs of capital.
Broad Market volatility can lead to widening of spreads in merger positions, coupled with our well-researched merger portfolios, offer the potential for enhanced IRRs through dynamic position sizing. Daily price volatility fluctuations coupled with less proprietary capital (the Volcker rule) in the U.S. have contributed to improving merger spreads and thus, overall returns. Thus our fund is well positioned as a cash substitute or fixed income alternative.
Our objectives are to compound and preserve wealth over time, while remaining non-correlated to the broad global markets. We created our first dedicated merger fund 32 years ago. Since then, our merger performance has grown client assets at an annualized rate of approximately 10.7% gross and 7.6% net since 1985. Today, we manage assets on behalf of institutional and high net worth clients globally in a variety of fund structures and mandates.
Class I USD – LU0687944552 Class I EUR – LU0687944396 Class A USD – LU0687943745 Class A EUR – LU0687943661 Class R USD – LU1453360825 Class R EUR – LU1453361476
GAMCO ALL CAP VALUE
The GAMCO All Cap Value UCITS Fund launched in May, 2015 utilizes Gabelli’s its proprietary PMV with a Catalyst™ investment methodology, which has been in place since 1977. The Fund seeks absolute returns through event driven value investing. Our methodology centers around fundamental, research-driven, value based investing with a focus on asset values, cash flows and identifiable catalysts to maximize returns independent of market direction. The fund draws on the experience of its global portfolio team and 35+ value research analysts.
GAMCO is an active, bottom-up, value investor, and seeks to achieve real capital appreciation (relative to inflation) over the long term regardless of market cycles. Our value-oriented stock selection process is based on the fundamental investment principles first articulated in 1934 by Graham and Dodd, the founders of modern security analysis, and further augmented by Mario Gabelli in 1977 with his introduction of the concepts of Private Market Value (PMV) with a Catalyst™ into equity analysis. PMV with a Catalyst™ is our unique research methodology that focuses on individual stock selection by identifying firms selling below intrinsic value with a reasonable probability of realizing their PMV’s which we define as the price a strategic or financial acquirer would be willing to pay for the entire enterprise. The fundamental valuation factors utilized to evaluate securities prior to inclusion/exclusion into the portfolio, our research driven approach views fundamental analysis as a three pronged approach: free cash flow (earnings before, interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, minus the capital expenditures necessary to grow/maintain the business); earnings per share trends; and private market value (PMV), which encompasses on and off balance sheet assets and liabilities. Our team arrives at a PMV valuation by a rigorous assessment of fundamentals from publicly available information and judgement gained from meeting management, covering all size companies globally and our comprehensive, accumulated knowledge of a variety of sectors. We then identify businesses for the portfolio possessing the proper margin of safety and research variables from our deep research universe.
Class I USD – LU1216601648 Class I EUR – LU1216601564 Class A USD – LU1216600913 Class A EUR – LU1216600673 Class R USD – LU1453359900 Class R EUR – LU1453360155
GAMCO CONVERTIBLE SECURITIES
GAMCO Convertible Securities’ objective is to seek to provide current income as well as long term capital appreciation through a total return strategy by investing in a diversified portfolio of global convertible securities.
The Fund leverages the firm’s history of investing in dedicated convertible security portfolios since 1979.
The fund invests in convertible securities, as well as other instruments that have economic characteristics similar to such securities, across global markets (but the fund will not invest in contingent convertible notes). The fund may invest in securities of any market capitalization or credit quality, including up to 100% in below investment grade or unrated securities, and may from time to time invest a significant amount of its assets in securities of smaller companies. Convertible securities may include any suitable convertible instruments such as convertible bonds, convertible notes or convertible preference shares.
By actively managing the fund and investing in convertible securities, the investment manager seeks the opportunity to participate in the capital appreciation of underlying stocks, while at the same time relying on the fixed income aspect of the convertible securities to provide current income and reduced price volatility, which can limit the risk of loss in a down equity market.
Class I USD LU2264533006
Class I EUR LU2264532966
Class A USD LU2264532701
Class A EUR LU2264532610
Class R USD LU2264533345
Class R EUR LU2264533261
Class F USD LU2264533691
Class F EUR LU2264533428
Disclaimer: The information and any opinions have been obtained from or are based on sources believed to be reliable but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No responsibility can be accepted for any consequential loss arising from the use of this information. The information is expressed at its date and is issued only to and directed only at those individuals who are permitted to receive such information in accordance with the applicable statutes. In some countries the distribution of this publication may be restricted. It is your responsibility to find out what those restrictions are and observe them.
Some of the statements in this presentation may contain or be based on forward looking statements, forecasts, estimates, projections, targets, or prognosis (“forward looking statements”), which reflect the manager’s current view of future events, economic developments and financial performance. Such forward looking statements are typically indicated by the use of words which express an estimate, expectation, belief, target or forecast. Such forward looking statements are based on an assessment of historical economic data, on the experience and current plans of the investment manager and/or certain advisors of the manager, and on the indicated sources. These forward looking statements contain no representation or warranty of whatever kind that such future events will occur or that they will occur as described herein, or that such results will be achieved by the fund or the investments of the fund, as the occurrence of these events and the results of the fund are subject to various risks and uncertainties. The actual portfolio, and thus results, of the fund may differ substantially from those assumed in the forward looking statements. The manager and its affiliates will not undertake to update or review the forward looking statements contained in this presentation, whether as result of new information or any future event or otherwise.
Foto cedidaPascal Blanqué, presidente de Amundi Institute y miembro del Comité Ejecutivo de Amundi.. Amundi crea la división Amundi Institute y reúne en ella sus actividades de análisis, estrategia de mercado y asesoramiento en asignación de activos
Amundi has announced the creation of the Amundi Institute, a new division to strengthen the advice, training and day-to-day dialogue to help their clients better understand their environment and the evolution of investment practices in order to define their asset allocation and help construct their portfolios. In this sense, the management company is responding to needs that it had been detecting for some time.
The Amundi Institute’s objective is to strengthen the advice, training and day-to-day dialogue on these subjects for all its clients – distributors, institutions and corporates – regardless of the assets that Amundi manages on their behalf, explained the firm in a press release. This new division brings together its research, market strategy and asset allocation advisory activities.
The Amundi Institute will also be responsible for conveying Amundi’s convictions and its investment and portfolio construction recommendations, thereby furthering its leadership in these areas. This new business line will continue to serve Amundi’s investment management teams and will contribute to strengthening their standards of excellence.
With an initial staff of around 60, the Amundi Institute will soon be strengthened to serve these new objectives. Pascal Blanqué has been appointed as Chairman and will supervise this new business line. He will be supported by Monica Defend, who will be Head of Amundi Institute.
“Inflation, environmental issues, geopolitical tensions… there are many structural regime changes underway. Investors across the board expect a deeper dialogue and sophisticated advice to build more robust portfolios”, said Blanqué.
Vincent Mortier will succeed Pascal as Amundi’s Group Chief Investment Officer. Mortier commented that the creation of the Amundi Institute will enhance the contribution of research to all of Amundi’s asset management activities so that they can “continue to create highperforming investment solutions over the long term, adapted to the specific needs of each client and taking into account all the parameters of an increasingly complex environment.”
Lastly, Matteo Germano, Head of Multi-Asset Investment, will be Deputy Chief Investment Officer.
Foto cedidaPeter Sanderson, CEO del Grupo GAM Investments.. GAM se asocia con Liberty Street Advisors en Estados Unidos para invertir en la última fase de firmas tecnológicas a través del private equity
GAM Investments has entered into a strategic partnership with the Liberty Street Advisors team specialized in investing in late stage companies in the United States. Its aim is to provide its clients access to these firms through private equity investments.
In a press release, the asset manager has revealed that they will invest in “leading late-stage privately-owned technology and innovation” companies with high growth potential. The team at Liberty Street is deeply experienced in private markets investing and has an extensive track record investing in this sector.
In partnership with Liberty Street, GAM plans to launch a capability which will leverage the expertise of Liberty Street’s private markets investment team. This capability will give clients the opportunity to gain exposure to a market which has historically been difficult for them to access.
The firm has highlighted that growth equity is a segment of the private equity asset class which sits between venture capital and traditional private equity and “is expanding at unprecedented levels, with disruptive technology-driven growth across multiple sectors and industries“. This growth has led to a proliferation of unicorns, with more than 900 venture capital backed companies currently valued at over USD 1 billion and many more on a similar trajectory.
In this sense, by investing in these types of late stage high-growth, innovation companies the Liberty Street team seeks to participate in their potential appreciation while they are under private ownership.
“We are delighted to partner with Liberty Street to provide our clients with access to leading privately-owned companies. The team at Liberty Street has deep, multi-decade investing experience, as well as established relationships within the venture eco-system, and is an ideal partner for us”, said Peter Sanderson, Group Chief Executive Officer at GAM Investments.
He also pointed out that an increasing number of their clients are seeking to diversify their portfolios by including longer-term private asset investment strategies. “In our view, privately-owned companies in their later-stage nonpublic funding rounds could offer investors strong long-term performance potential, while their historical downside resilience and lower volatility compared to public equities also make this asset class attractive for portfolio diversification”, he added.
Meanwhile, Kevin Moss, Managing Director at Liberty Street, commented that they are seeing companies stay private for longer, driven primarily by regulatory changes, ease of business model development in the private sphere and a larger pool of available private capital. “A significant portion of these companies’ value appreciation occurs prior to entry into the public markets, at mid or large cap size. We believe that late-stage, private growth companies can present an attractive balance of risk and return for investors, compared to early-stage venture investments and public equities”, he concluded.
China’s roar has changed entering the year of the tiger. China will now emphasize quality over speed, not GDP growth at all costs.
2020 feels more like a decade ago than a year ago. The strong results provided by Chinese equities and bonds, the strong appreciation of the Renminbi, and the belief that a more balanced policy under President-elect Biden would occur; fueled their optimism going into 2021.
While KraneShares expected monetary and policy tightening going into 2021, they underestimated the intensity and reach of the tightening cycle.
Rapid developments were harder to predict, especially during a year of regulatory reconfiguration for one of China’s most lucrative sectors. Chinese internet companies were the targets of a broad regulatory campaign in China addressing anticompetitive behavior, cybersecurity risks, consumer data protection, and the financial risks posed by previously unregulated fintech companies. Even though 2021 was a challenging year for China, it was just a single year in the context of a much bigger opportunity.
2022 is an important year politically for China. China’s behemoth economy indeed suffers from imbalances with internal and external regulatory risks that could cost investors, especially in the short term. KraneShares believes the government is committed to dealing with these imbalances through reform and regulations. President Xi is expected to secure a third term during the Chinese Communist Party Congress (CCPC) assembly in the fall of 2022 and KraneShares is of the opinion that the government will seek to strike a positive tone in politics and business as the country continues its transition to high-quality growth. The US-China relations may see a moderate improvement in 2022 after their, albeit limited, progress over the past year. In absence of willingness to seek catastrophic confrontation, KraneShares believes the impact of US-China relations on markets will be neutral in 2022. The political importance of 2022 is also why they think China adopted a rapid-fire approach concerning internet regulations in 2021.
China’s policy darlings, which include health care, clean technology, 5G, and semiconductors, will continue to see support based on the most recent statement from the latest Central Economic Work Conference, which sets the government’s economic and financial policy framework each year. The takeaways from the Central Economic Work Conference, which was attended by senior political leaders in China, emphasized the stability, speed, and quality of growth in 2022. The conference acknowledged that China’s economy faces three pressures: demand contraction, supply shock, and expected weakness. The panel recommended that policy support, whether fiscal or monetary, be frontloaded in 2022. The recommendation explains the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and loan prime rate (LPR) cuts in December, which KraneShares assumes will set the tone for a looser monetary policy in 2022.
In 2022, the country will continue to advance on many fronts, including climate, electric vehicles, health care, the internet, cloud, high-end manufacturing, and more. However, China’s leading industries, especially the internet sector, are undergoing an important shift from simply capturing ever more consumer spending to a focus on material innovations and the localization of import-reliant supply chains.
Consumer sentiment, the property sector, and China’s zero COVID policy are some of the risks facing China in 2022. The sporadic lockdowns in various Chinese cities and ports due to COVID-19 outbreaks hurt consumption and the feeling of security. Furthermore, real estate regulations aimed at setting a new normal in the property market hurt consumers’ sentiment. The recent earnings season in China confirmed consumers’ fatigue and household savings rates have surged since 2020.
Growth targets for 2022 will be more challenging to attain this year compared to last, especially as the favorable base effect recedes. Slowing GDP growth is to be expected, given the level of development that China has already achieved. KraneShares believes China will do whatever it takes to maintain the sentimental 5% level of GDP growth and we know skeptics will sound the alarm on the GDP level dipping below 5% for the first time, even though achieving 5% growth in a 16.8 trillion-dollar economy is like adding an economy the size of Germany every 3 to 4 years.
China’s roar may change its tone in 2022, but KraneShares thinks it will remain as loud as ever. As Joe Tsai, Alibaba’s co-founder and Executive Chairman put it during Alibaba’s investors day: “China is not going away.” The event’s tone was geared towards innovation and the future, without legacy industries hindering their progress. It represented what China is all about: innovation and progress.
KraneShares has always been constructive on China, especially in the long term. They encourage investors not to view China as a trade but rather as a long-term investment and encourage diversification across multiple industries to help reduce risks.
To find KraneShares’ in-depth outlook as well as investment opportunities for 2022 and beyond, please visit the following links:
