Occupy Wall Street in Qing Dynasty, China

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Occupy Wall Street en la dinastía china Qing
Photo: Dennis Jarvis. Occupy Wall Street in Qing Dynasty, China

What if a banker’s family could be taken as slaves to repay losses arising from the banker’s malfeasance? This is no fantasy from Occupy Wall Street. Such a system actually existed 200 years ago in the Shanxi banking system.

The possible enslavement of a bank employee’s relatives is the most severe instance of policies and operating methods that aligned employee and shareholder interests. Because the principal/agent wedge lies at the heart of corporate governance, Shanxi bank governance has much to recommend to modern banking (well, except for the slavery part).

Bordering Mongolia, Shanxi is a desolate region in central China best known today for coal mining. It is a surprising birthplace for a banking system that served elite citizens and the treasury of the Qing dynasty. Shanxi banks thrived amid wars and pervasive corruption in the merchant economy. They started by providing bank drafts to traveling merchants, but soon established regional branches that took deposits, provided loans, exchanged currencies and recorded peer-to-peer loans, for which certificates were issued.

They had a peculiar class share structure that distinguished between asset ownership, operational control and cash flow rights. “Capital” shares conferred a pro rata ownership stake in the assets of the bank. However, they did not come with a say in how the bank conducted daily operations. Most fascinating of all, a Shanxi bank capital shareholder had unlimited liability, in the same way as a Lloyds name.

Therefore, Capital shareholders had to hire carefully and structure thoughtful compensation policies. On “assessment days,” Capital shareholders conducted a performance review of bank employees and allocated “Expertise” shares, which came with the right to receive dividends. Expertise shareholders (i.e. employees) had a pro-rata vote in bank operations. The general manager functioned as a one-man board of directors and could ratify or reject recommendations. The general manager was himself periodically re-appointed or replaced, based on a vote of Capital shareholders.

Expertise shareholders who retired or died on the job had their shares converted to “Dead shares,” which had cash flow rights, no management vote and a finite term. In this way, the problem of managerial entrenchment was mitigated.

Given the unlimited liability of Capital shareholders, they also relied on cultural and tribal enforcement to safeguard financial interests and mitigate their unlimited liability. Shanxi banks hired from only within the Shanxi province. Job candidate family histories going back three generations were scrutinized. Candidates needed affidavits of personal integrity and a guarantee letter from prominent citizens. No marriage was allowed during a branch tour of duty, and family members were not permitted to accompany the employee during branch postings. Family members of bank employees were a kind of “performance bond,” and Capital shareholders liked to keep this collateral nearby.

In return for enduring such conditions, Expertise shareholders, such as employees, enjoyed a stable job with pay for performance, and a handsome pension in retirement. Over the 100 years during which the banks were active, no case of significant employee misbehavior was documented.

By the beginning of the 20th century, the Shanxi bank empire had become the government’s banker. So what happened to it? First, political turmoil hurt both loan performance and loan growth. Some of the instability was homegrown and some was introduced by Western intrusion. Secondly, competition intensified among local and foreign banks using telegraphs to dramatically cut operating costs. As if this disruptive technology was not bad enough, the newcomers also operated with limited liability, which translated into bigger balance sheets and less risk aversion. Profitability for Shanxi banks disintegrated as a government banking franchise and its strong reputation were not able to offset a higher cost structure and operational inflexibility.

Chinese banking today is dominated by state-owned enterprises. While they serve an important public utility function of taking public deposits and allocating capital, their struggles with the biggest economic transition in history have been well-documented. The bank sector in countries growing much more slowly have not been immune from the same problems that Chinese banks face. Fast-growing economies present their own set of challenges and dangers for the highly levered bank sector. Compounding these difficulties in China is the sheer geographic, demographic and economic scope of bank operations.

We are certain to see more turmoil in the years ahead, but it is worth keeping in mind that banking discipline and robust corporate governance were once well-established in China, and may yet come again.

Opinion column by Gerald Hwan, Portfolio Manager at Matthews Asia.

The views and information discussed represent opinion and an assessment of market conditions at a specific point in time that are subject to change.  It should not be relied upon as a recommendation to buy and sell particular securities or markets in general. The subject matter contained herein has been derived from several sources believed to be reliable and accurate at the time of compilation. Matthews International Capital Management, LLC does not accept any liability for losses either direct or consequential caused by the use of this information. Investing in international and emerging markets may involve additional risks, such as social and political instability, market illiquid­ity, exchange-rate fluctuations, a high level of volatility and limited regulation. In addition, single-country funds may be subject to a higher degree of market risk than diversified funds because of concentration in a specific geographic location. Investing in small- and mid-size companies is more risky than investing in large companies, as they may be more volatile and less liquid than large companies. This document has not been reviewed or approved by any regulatory body.

MSCI Reports Record Surge in Demand from ETF Providers for Factor Indexes in 2014

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MSCI registró en 2014 un incremento récord en la demanda de proveedores de ETF por sus índices de factores
CC-BY-SA-2.0, FlickrPhoto: HSLO. MSCI Reports Record Surge in Demand from ETF Providers for Factor Indexes in 2014

MSCI Inc. a leading index provider to the ETF industry worldwide, is reporting a surge in demand from ETF providers for its factor indexes, with almost half of new MSCI index-based ETFs launched in 2014 linked to MSCI Factor Indexes.

Overall, 95 ETFs based on MSCI indexes were launched in 2014, almost twice as many as the next index provider, with 42 (45 percent) of these linked to Factor Indexes, compared to six in 2013. 12 new ETFs tracking MSCI Multi-Factor Indexes, which combine more than one factor, were launched in 2014.

“2014 was a year of strong growth in the number of ETFs based on our indexes, in particular our factor indexes,” said Baer Pettit, Managing Director and Global Head of MSCI’s Index Business. “These numbers are evidence that our innovative index offering, combined with the strength of our brand, continue to make MSCI indexes the first choice of ETF providers around the world.”

Certain factors have historically earned a long-term risk premium and represent exposure to systematic sources of risk and return. Factor investing is the investment process that aims to harvest these risk premia through exposure to factors. MSCI currently calculates indexes on six key equity risk premia factors: Value, Low Size, Low Volatility, High Yield, Quality and Momentum.

With over 675 ETFs2 tracking MSCI indexes globally, more ETFs track MSCI’s indexes than those of any other index provider.

BBVA Compass Names Hector Chacon CEO of Texas Border Region

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BBVA Compass Names Hector Chacon CEO of Texas Border Region
Hector Chacon, CEO of Texas Border Region, BBVA Compass. BBVA Compass Names Hector Chacon CEO of Texas Border Region

BBVA Compass announced today it has named Héctor Chacon the bank’s Texas border region CEO in a move aimed at fostering deeper ties to clients and communities in the region that stretches more than 800 miles from El Paso to Brownsville.

Chacon will lead the bank’s efforts to further tap into opportunities in the region, which has been important to BBVA since the global financial services firm entered the U.S. market with its acquisition of Laredo-based Laredo National Bancshares in 2004. BBVA Compass, BBVA’s U.S. franchise, now has a leading market share position in the upper and lower Rio Grande Valley, El Paso and Laredo.

Chacon’s new role is part of the bank’s broader reorganization, which was announced in November and combines BBVA Compass’ lines of business — Retail, Wealth Management and Commercial — into one unit. The new Consumer and Commercial Bank is designed to provide more comprehensive customer service while increasing productivity and revenues, and its emphasis on local market leadership builds greater accountability in meeting community needs.

Héctor knows the region and he knows Mexico and that makes him an excellent choice to lead our efforts in the border cities, which have different needs and demands than customers in larger metro cities,” said BBVA Compass Chief Operating Officer Rafael Bustillo, who leads the Consumer and Commercial Bank. “He has the expertise to help our clients in this growing region.”

Chacon joined Bancomer, BBVA’s subsidiary in Mexico, in 1986, and its U.S. operations in 1997. Most recently, he led BBVA Compass’ International Wealth Management unit.

WE Family Offices and MdF Family Partners Form Transatlantic Alliance for Global UHNW Families

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WE Family Offices aumenta su presencia global mediante una alianza con la europea MdF Family Partners
Photo: Kai Schreiber. WE Family Offices and MdF Family Partners Form Transatlantic Alliance for Global UHNW Families

As Ultra High Net Worth Families from the US, Europe and Latin America face accelerating change and globalization in all aspects of their wealth management, and as wealthy families continue to increase their demand for independent, conflict-free advice, two leading independent, family focused wealth advisors have established an alliance to collaborate in serving global wealthy families.

WE Family Offices, with offices in New York and Miami currently serves more than 65 families and advises in more than $3.4 billion. MdF Family Partners, based in Madrid and with offices in Barcelona, Geneva and Mexico City, currently serves more than 20 families and advises on more than €1 billion. The two firms have signed an alliance agreement, providing each firm and its clients access to the others resources, network and intellectual capital.

“As families themselves, as well as the investment opportunities and challenges they face, become increasingly global, we are forming the alliance to leverage the intellectual capital and expertise of each firm”, said Maria Elena Lagomasino, Managing Partner and CEO of WE Family Offices.

“MdF and WE were both founded on the same principles of independence and trust, and both have built successful businesses based on providing independent, conflict free, boutique advisory services to a select group of wealthy families”, said Daniel de Fernando, Managing Partner of MdF Family Partners.

Advisory clients of each firm will continue to be advised by that same firm but will benefit from access to a deeper global investment platform, and broader wealth planning services across multiple jurisdictions, including the United States, Latin America, The European Union, and Switzerland,” added Ms. Lagomasino.

“The Managing Partners of each firm –Ms. Lagomasino, Mr. de Fernando, Jose Maria Michavilla, Michael Zeuner– and I are confident that the values, culture and vision of each of our firms are highly compatible and aligned. Through the alliance, we can provide excellent service to international families from the US, Europe and Latin America”, said Santiago Ulloa, Managing Partner of WE Family Offices.

A Positive Outlook for Equities Despite EU’s Growth Gloom

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Cambiar renta fija por renta variable europea, la recomendación de AllianzGI
Photo: Lucy B.. A Positive Outlook for Equities Despite EU’s Growth Gloom

Yet while the macro backdrop remains pretty cloudy –with significant squalls forecast from the election in Greece, difficulties in Spain and the early summer UK election– not all is actually that bleak in Europe, explained Neil Dwane, CIO of Equity Europe at Alliance GI in his last “Perspective on Europe”.

Equities remain attractively valued and offer a significant yield pickup against the financially repressed bond and credit markets, said Dwane. “Corporates are now actively engaging in industry restructurings, where, in general, Europe is at least 10 years behind the US. A weakening euro will boost European earnings in 2015, turning a five-year headwind into a tailwind at last and allowing European earnings to grow faster than US earnings for the first time since the start of the global financial crisis”.

With little correlation between economic growth and corporate profits, European companies are busily restructuring and refocussing, which is underpinning returns to shareholders and creating a good base for future profitability, argued the expert of Allianz GI. “A weak oil price is also good for Europe, releasing approximately 1 per cent of GDP to be redeployed into consumption and investment. The EU infrastructure plan may also be the first of a series of fiscal plans to truly boost demand in the coming years”, he continued.

“In Europe, investors now truly have to take more risk to obtain a return, as nearly all sovereign bonds and over half of the investment-grade credit markets yield less than 1 per cent – yet this allocation to fixed income represents approximately 80 per cent for many investors! A regional rebalancing for European investors in search of a reasonable return should see a rotation from bonds into equities in 2015”, added Dwane.

Chinese Stars Shine Bright Through Macro Clouds

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Las estrellas chinas brillan entre nubarrones macro
Photo: Gabriel Jorby. Chinese Stars Shine Bright Through Macro Clouds

Investors who obsess and fret about China’s slower headline gross domestic product (GDP) growth may be missing valuable individual equity investments. China is growing at a more measured pace than in the past and in 2015, China will continue to balance the competing needs of growth, reform and deleveraging. As such, official GDP growth targets may need to be revised down. However, a myopic vision that correlates GDP growth to investment returns overlooks the bright prospects for many companies, particularly those that are genuinely innovative, globally competitive, and those companies experiencing multi-year improvements in demand dynamics driven by demographics.

Bright stars

Many Chinese companies have a proven track record of delivering profit and cash-flow growth irrespective of the Chinese economy. The technology sector, particularly internet and software, is one of the few industries in China where research and development (R&D) is a priority. R&D has already led to growing profits, as companies develop products that increase user loyalty, generate incremental revenue and create valuable user bases that attract online advertising expenditure.

Tencent and Alibaba are arguably more innovative than Amazon, Facebook and Twitter as a result of their onnovative applications, huge user communities and early development of payment facilities. Tencent was founded in 1998 and now has more than 815 million monthly active instant messaging accounts. In 2013 it spent CNY 5.1bn on R&D (£0.5bn), which was 8.4 per cent of sales.

Recent IPO Alibaba was founded in 1999 and is now the world’s largest ecommerce company by revenues, in the financial year ending March 2014.

Companies in China’s technology sector are experiencing significant growth. The market capitalisations of internet firms Tencent and Alibaba now rank alongside some of the largest companies in China.

Another bright technology star is Lenovo, a Chinese PC company that through stable and strong management, international acquisitions, and the development of a global manufacturing footprint has become a recognisable global brand. It has been the world’s largest PC vendor for over a year, with a current market share of 19 per cent.

Demographic drivers

The Communist Party controls China but one thing it cannot control is demographic change, where past decisions can lead to future trends. China has had a one child policy since 1979 and consequently China’s population is rapidly ageing just as it is getting richer. This is triggering a multi-year boom in demand for healthcare drugs, therapies and services. China has probably underspent on healthcare, and with greater life expectancy and insurance provision we expect supportive industry tailwinds to benefit domestic healthcare companies such as CSPC Pharma and China Medical Systems.

So do not be frozen in the headlights of China’s macroeconomic slowdown, instead appreciate how far some Chinese companies have come and how the outlook varies dramatically on the ground.

Opinion column by Charlie Awdry, Chinese Equities Portfolio Manager at Henderson Global Investors.

 

 

Funds Society Successfully Celebrates its Second Anniversary and the Launch of its Print Magazine

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Funds Society celebra su fiesta de verano con la participación de 300 profesionales de la industria
. Funds Society celebra su fiesta de verano con la participación de 300 profesionales de la industria

A few days ago, Funds Society held a party in Miami to celebrate its second anniversary and the launch of its new print magazine, a quarterly publication for offshore industry professionals in the United States.

Funds Society celebrated in style the closure of an excellent year 2014, in which the website received 300,000 visits and over 500,000 page views, which translates into a growth of 56% and 81% respectively compared to 2013. The number of unique visitors is also worth noting, as these have more than doubled in the past year, a clear indication of Funds Society’s strong growth during the last two years since its founding.

At the anniversary party, held at Perfecto Gastrobar on Brickell Avenue in the financial heart of Miami, Funds Society was well supported by over 130 professionals from the wealth and asset management industry. To the delight of those present, the evening was enlivened with performances by a group of actors from Angelica Torres’ Broadway Musical Theatre Company.

Not only were the achievements to date celebrated, but also all of Funds Society’s projects for this year 2015, which is just beginning and for which it already has the support of twenty top-level international firms.

The Funds Society 2nd Golf Tournament, which will be sponsored this time by Henderson, MFS, M&G and Carmignac, will be held in March. On this occasion, the tournament will be held in Miami Beach on March 13th.

The Golf championship will be followed in May by Funds Society’s First Fund Selector Summit, an event which Funds Society will hold in Miami in association with the British company Open Door Media Partners, and to which 48 key fund selectors will be invited, who will get to know, firsthand, the most relevant strategies of some of the main asset managers in the industry.

Finally, also point out that the new Funds Society print magazine, whose first issue has come to light this January, debuted during the web’s second anniversary. The publication, which was launched with major backing from sponsors, was created with the aim of becoming a showcase for wealth and asset management companies on both sides of the Atlantic, and with the firm intention of becoming a reference amongst industry professionals.

Santander Integrates the Private Banking, Asset Management and Insurance Division in its Retail and Commercial Banking Division

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Santander integra el área de Banca Privada, Gestión de Activos y Seguros en Banca Comercial y pone al frente a Luis Moreno
Luis Moreno, Senior Executive Vice-President, will be responsible for Private Banking . Santander Integrates the Private Banking, Asset Management and Insurance Division in its Retail and Commercial Banking Division

Banco Santander’s board of directors has approved changes that simplify its corporate structure, reducing the number of divisions from 15 to 11, while further enhancing risk management. These changes will contribute to improve the bank’s ability to respond to customers’ needs and to accomplish the ambitious financial and business targets it has set.

The Private Banking, Asset Management and Insurance Division will be integrated in the Retail and Commercial Banking Division headed by Javier San Félix, Senior Executive Vice-President. Luis Moreno, Senior Executive Vice-President, will be responsible for Private Banking reporting to the head of the division.

Once the restructure of the property assets in Spain is completed, the Recoveries division under Remigio Iglesias, Senior Executive Vice-President, will be integrated as a corporate area under the Risk division directed by José María Nus, Senior Executive Vice-President in charge of risk, who reports directly to Matías Rodriguez Inciarte, Group Vice-Chairman and Chairman of the Board’s Risks Committee.

Banco Santander’s CEO, José Antonio Álvarez, said: “The changes approved today complement the restructuring that started in September with the new Executive Chairman. They will enable us to capture further growth opportunities which require the more agile, flexible and decentralized organization we are now implementing. We want Santander to be the best place to work, the best bank for our customers, with growing and sustainable profitability for shareholders, while contributing to the progress of the societies where we work.”

The other appointments, which are subject to the pertinent regulatory authorizations, are:

Rodrigo Echenique, Vice-Chairman of the Board of Directors, will also be Executive Director, to whom following regulators’ recommendations regarding corporate governance, the Compliance function will report, alongside other duties delegated to him by the Group’s Executive Chairman.

José María Fuster, Senior Executive Vice-President and until now head of the Technology and Operations division, will become the corporate Director of Innovation reporting directly to the Group’s Executive Chairman. Mr. Fuster will lead new strategies to position the Bank as an international reference in innovation and technology applied to banking.

Andreu Plaza has been appointed Senior Executive Vice-President and head of Technology and Operations. Mr. Plaza, with extensive experience in banking technology, has contributed decisively to the technological transformation of Santander U.K. s Corporate and Commercial Banking. 
The new structure separates the functions for defining digital strategies (innovation) from implementation, execution and development (technology and operations).

Rami Aboukhair, until now Executive Vice-President, has been appointed Senior Executive Vice-President. Mr. Aboukhair, who has extensive knowledge of retail banking, will join Santander Spain as head of Retail, Commercial and Corporate Banking. He will report to Enrique García Candelas, the country head of Spain who also oversees Global Banking and Markets, risk, management and organization, costs and the rest of the support areas in Spain.

An Area of Supervisory and Regulatory Relations is created within the Finance Division. It will be in charge of global management and coordination with the bank’s supervisors and regulators, as well as the Group’s units and entities. In particular, the new area will manage, as a supervised institution, the relationship with the European Central Bank, the Group’s consolidated supervisor. José Manuel Campa, until now head of Investor Relations, will take up this responsibility, reporting to Jose García Cantera, Senior Executive Vice-President and head of the Financial Division.

With a goal to strengthen Santander’s positioning in universities, Santander Universities, which is a corporate area headed by José Antonio Villasante, Senior Executive Vice-President, will continue to report, as a corporate area, to the Group’s executive chairman and will also report functionally to the Retail and Commercial Banking Division for the commercial relationships with Universities and higher- education institutions.

Víctor Matarranz, Senior Executive Vice-President and Head of the Executive Chairman’s Office, will also take responsibility for Strategy. The new area will be called Chairman’s Office and Strategy.

José Luis de Mora, Executive Vice-President, has been appointed Senior Executive Vice-President and will continue to head the Financial Planning and Corporate Development area, reporting directly to the CEO and functionally to the Chairman’s Office and Strategy area. 


The Emerging Consumer: It’s all About the Rise of the Emerging Middle Class

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Clase media y consumo emergente: una relación en alza
Photo: Ahron de Leeuw. The Emerging Consumer: It’s all About the Rise of the Emerging Middle Class

The nineteenth century industrial revolution created a substantial Western European and American middle class. Today the same is happening in emerging markets. Over the next two decades, the global middle class is expected to expand by another three billion, from 1.8 billion to 4.9 billion, coming almost exclusively from the emerging world. In Asia alone, 575 million people can already count themselves among the middle class — more than the European Union’s total population, explain Jack Neele and Richard Speetjens, managers of the Robeco Global Consumer Trends Equities strategy.

This crossover from West to East in terms of size and spending of the middle class has large implications for expected consumption growth:

Adapt to shifting local demands

The aging population in China will need new financial services to help them save for retirement. In addition, the pressure from urbanization will lead to growing demand for green technologies. The transformation is most dramatic in China, but there will be shifts across many developing economies. What these households want may be very different from the consumer demands seen in previous periods of rapid economic development. Businesses will need to tailor the products they offer to shifting local demands.

More money to spend

Over the past decades, developed economies have dominated sales of durable consumer goods. Penetration is still relatively low in many rapid-growth economies. Once household incomes approach USD 10,000, however, demand for durable consumer goods picks up. As more households in these economies move into higher income bands, they will have more money to spend on discretionary items. Demand for services such as communications, culture and recreation will grow at almost twice the rate of food spending.

Strong local positions or strong Western brands

However, this higher growth in consumer spending in emerging markets has not been an easy win for consumer companies. Many local companies prioritized sales growth, but intense competition, value-focused consumers and rising costs are making it difficult to boost the bottom line. Amid rising volatility, companies must be more careful and strategic in how they approach these markets. This is the reason why within our emerging consumer trend we focus on companies with very strong local market positions or strong Western brands.

Oil: Pulled Apart or Pushed Ahead?

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Petróleo: ¿impulso hacia delante o hacia atrás?
Photo: Sten Dueland. Oil: Pulled Apart or Pushed Ahead?

At the beginning of 2015, the worry machines of the world are working full time. We hear that China is a bubble, Japan cannot be fixed, Europe is a mess again and the United States is showing signs of slowing.

There may be some truth in all this, but there are other truths that we should also consider.

The drop in oil prices is basically good for 70% of the world’s economies

The biggest economic regions, mentioned above, are all net importers of energy, and now that the price of crude oil has been roughly cut in half, their costs of doing business will also fall. Further, a drop in commodity prices tends to spur overall spending. Historically, going back over 50 years, a 20% decline in oil prices has signaled a 0.5% – 1% rise in the rate of real global GDP growth during the subsequent 12 months. The current drop in oil is about twice that.

The world’s currencies have been going through a dramatic readjustment

Many local-country currencies that were once the darlings of international investors have fallen, while the value of the US dollar has risen. For US consumers, the world’s biggest block of final demand, a stronger US dollar boosts buying power and creates demand for cheaper imported goods, from cars to smartphones. Exporting countries — such as Germany, Japan, China and others in Asia and South America — can sell more manufactured goods in the world market.

The US expansion has not been purchased at the expense of future growth

Though this business cycle — now in its sixth year — has been characterized by low interest rates, no one is rushing to borrow. During the three previous business cycles, US consumers and businesses took on more debt as the US Federal Reserve lowered rates to kick-start economic activity. This time, however, the increase in US private borrowing has been more than offset by even bigger increases in the value of the underlying assets — as well as gains in the income and cash flows that support the repayment of that debt. In other words, the risk to this cycle of higher rates coming from the Fed or the market is not as dramatic as in previous cycles.

The theme of the world consumer may be revived

Admittedly, global growth has been sluggish, but the world population has continued to expand. Household formation, along with its related spending, was deferred during the slowdown. I think the demand for goods driven by growing populations — especially in developing countries — is likely to re-emerge. Thanks to currency moves and lower energy prices, many goods are now cheaper, while world wages are generally rising. The emergence of the global consumer, a popular investing theme a few years ago, has been given an added boost.

On the whole, the mix of data does not suggest any kind of runaway boom in 2015, but at the same time, a global recession seems a long way off. Arguably, the world banking system has been largely repaired since the damage in 2009. For those investors scarred by the drops in global security markets six years ago who have been reluctant to return, it may be worthwhile to reconsider that the realignment of currencies and energy prices could be a long-term positive impulse to world growth.

So in 2015, let’s be grateful for organic, slow and steady growth, not leveraged boom-like growth. Let’s hear a cheer for lower, not higher, energy prices. And let’s bear in mind that when low interest rates rise someday, it will be a sign that normalcy is coming back, not that disaster is looming.

Opinion column by James Swanson, Chief Investment Strategist, MFS