Photo courtesyTom May, Global CIO, Outcome and Derivative Strategies at WisdomTree.
Attendees at the second edition of the Funds Society Leaders Summit, in collaboration with CFA Society Spain, were able to learn a bit more about defined return investing through WisdomTree’s analysis, presented by Tom May, Global CIO, Outcome and Derivative Strategies at the firm.
In his presentation, May recalled that equity securities generate long-term returns, but these can vary considerably over time. Currently, for example, “European equities have a positive expected return, but exhibit severe drawdown events and fat tails.”
In this scenario, defined return investments—known as autocallables—increase the probability of achieving a specific return target. These types of products “harness the spread between equity forward and realized returns (ERP), as well as the persistent premium of implied volatility over realized volatility (VRP), to deliver higher and consistent yields,” May assures.
Ultimately, he poses the question of why settle for uncertainty when an investor can define their return and focus on achieving a defined yield in the most likely scenarios to maximize the investment.
WisdomTree’s defined return strategies feature a diversified portfolio of autocallable securities. But how does an autocallable security work? It is a structured investment product whose maturity and payouts depend on the performance of the underlying asset.
In short, autocallables allow for greater visibility regarding returns and a more probable path. Historically, forecasts and actual results have aligned, as seen when analyzing the real and projected performance of a portfolio of autocallable products historically managed by the WisdomTree team.
Why consider WisdomTree’s defined return autocallable strategies? May’s presentation highlights several reasons:
1.- Defined positive return in pre-established markets: Autocallables are designed to offer a positive return over their lifespan, unless the market suffers a significant drop and remains at those levels for an extended period.
2.- Higher probability of achieving expected outcomes: A diversified portfolio of autocallable securities can limit return variance within a target distribution range, increasing the probability of reaching that target.
3.- A more predictable investment process: A diversified portfolio of autocallable securities can capture long-term equity risk premiums while reducing the dispersion of returns that equity investors would otherwise face.
With its WisdomTree Defined Return Autocallable Strategies fund, the investor gains access to an equity-linked return, with defined outcomes and daily liquidity, through a product that actively manages a diversified portfolio of autocallable products and collateral, continuously optimizing maturities, thresholds, index pairs, and collateral. The product’s active approach adapts to market conditions, backed by 13 years of experience in these types of products.
In its latest positioning report, the investment bank described valuations as “reasonable,” given corporate earnings prospects and nominal GDP growth.
According to the firm, corporate earnings remain the primary driver of the equity rally, a variable they expect to continue trending upward.
Morgan Stanley holds a particularly bullish view on the U.S., which is the only equity market they currently recommend overweighting.
Despite a global economic environment marked by inflation, uncertainty, and geopolitical tension, global equity markets have been on a run. With varying results across geographies and sectors, global equity benchmarks have risen strongly, driven primarily by the excitement surrounding the artificial intelligence boom, which has had Wall Street, in particular, as one of its epicenters. And while this positive momentum has raised several questions—and anxieties—around equity valuation levels, prices are supported by fundamentals. That is Morgan Stanley’s stance on the matter.
According to the bank’s latest global positioning report, BEAT (an acronym for Bonds, Equities, Alternatives, and Transition) for the third quarter of the year, economic fundamentals support valuations.
“While headline valuations appear elevated, they remain reasonable relative to earnings growth prospects and a structurally stronger nominal economy,” the investment bank noted in its recent report.
Along those lines, they added that they expect “the market to broaden out as geopolitical tensions ease, with many sectors still trading at lower valuations, leaving room for a rebound.”
Regarding the recent upside in equity markets, Morgan Stanley emphasized that it has been driven by corporate results rather than higher multiples. Current multiples, they noted, “are not extreme when viewed relative to the last five to ten years.”
Tailwinds for Stock Markets
One of the drivers Morgan Stanley sees for equities is related to economic dynamics. “Stronger nominal GDP growth supports corporate revenue expansion, earnings growth, and cash flow generation, creating a favorable environment for equities,” they commented in their report.
Added to this is the public policy component, given that the investment bank anticipates that fiscal policies, deregulation, and tax-driven growth “are likely to reinforce this.”
For the firm, corporate earnings remain the primary driver of the equity rally. Looking ahead, they anticipate this variable will continue to trend upward, supported by “resilient demand, productivity gains, and expanding capex cycles.” This trajectory, they predicted, will run its course as long as the capital expenditure cycle continues to rise.
Currently, an expanding capex cycle is closely tied to the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence models across all levels of the economy, in what many describe as a new industrial revolution. This deployment of corporate muscle has helped keep investor optimism alive amid uncertainties.
An Interesting Dynamic in the U.S.
Stock markets overall have posted relatively solid performance. The MSCI All Country World Index, which tracks global equities broadly, has gained 18.2% over the last 12 months. The United States as a whole has performed on par with the rest of the world—with one-year gains of 16.6% for the MSCI USA Index and 16.7% for the MSCI World ex USA Index—but its technology sector has stood out in particular.
Reflecting this, while the S&P 500 has appreciated 16.7% over 12 months and the Dow Jones Industrial Average 11.8%, the Nasdaq Composite has surged 20.4%.
Echoing its positive view on the fundamentals behind equity valuations, Morgan Stanley sees room for Wall Street to run further. In fact, in its positioning recommendations, the U.S. stock market is the only one rated Overweight.
This recommendation is backed by a “constructively positive view on overall growth and earnings in 2026.” In that regard, they highlighted that fiscal stimulus from the country’s One Big Beautiful Bill, deregulation efforts, and ongoing AI adoption “continue to support growth.”
In contrast, the firm holds a Neutral view on Japanese and Emerging Market equities, and an Underweight recommendation on European equities.
Photo courtesyTed Stratigos, Global Head of Aladdin Wealth Tech.
As wealth management continues to evolve, institutions are seeking ways to combine the personalization and trust of traditional private banking with the scale, efficiency, and analytical capabilities demanded by today’s clients. In the experience of Ted Stratigos, Global Head of Aladdin Wealth Tech, this requires technology that empowers advisors through a comprehensive view of client needs, deeper portfolio analysis, and the ability to deliver consistent, tailored advice with greater confidence and efficiency. We discussed and reflected on these topics in this interview with him.
What specific needs do wealth management and private banking institutions have?
In addition to seeking technology that empowers advisors, many institutions are expanding their discretionary portfolio management capabilities. This creates demand for technology capable of delivering portfolio construction, execution, and monitoring in a scalable way for large client bases, while maintaining the appropriate levels of personalization and oversight.
What do these institutions value most when selecting a tech provider?
The most important consideration is whether a platform helps advisors deliver more informed and personalized advice, while reinforcing, rather than replacing, the relationship between advisor and client. In markets where private banking is heavily relationship-driven, institutions seek technology that supports more proactive advice, a clearer view of portfolios, and more personalized client interaction at scale. They also demand reliable analytics, risk supervision, and integrated workflows for both advisory and discretionary management, featuring technology that adapts to the systems advisors already use. Increasingly, institutions are also looking for flexibility, transparency, and applicability, including AI capabilities grounded in high-quality data and robust governance frameworks.
What does Aladdin Wealth offer, and why do you think it is one of the most widely used platforms in the market?
Aladdin Wealth is designed to help advisors move from insight to action within a single, connected platform. By integrating data, analytics, portfolio construction, risk supervision, and advisor workflows, it enables institutions to operate from a shared view of the client and their portfolio. The platform brings institutional-grade technology and risk analytics to the wealth management space, helping advisors and discretionary managers handle portfolio complexity more effectively.
What is its key aspect for advisory services?
A key aspect is that Aladdin Wealth supports both advisory and discretionary management business models. As wealth managers seek to scale their management capabilities while preserving a personalized client experience, institutions demand technology capable of connecting investment ideas, model portfolios, execution, and ongoing oversight across the entire value chain. Furthermore, it is important to note that the transformation of wealth management extends beyond traditional private banking. Institutions are seeking technology platforms that can support a broader range of client segments and business models.
Aladdin Wealth offers integrated workflows across various wealth management businesses, supporting private banking, asset managers, mass affluent, and retail banking segments. This helps institutions create a more connected, consistent, and scalable ecosystem for portfolio management, client interaction, and investment decision-making. Instead of devoting resources to maintaining fragmented tech environments, institutions can focus on what sets them apart most: delivering high-quality advice, superior client service, and a more personalized experience.
Where is technology heading in the wealth management and private banking sector?
The sector is moving toward a future where technology, data, and human expertise collaborate to deliver more personalized advice at scale. Technology will play a crucial role by allowing managers to execute their investment ideas, monitor risk, and maintain portfolio oversight, enabling personalization where appropriate. We anticipate that AI and intelligent automation will become increasingly integrated into the advisor’s workflow—from synthesizing portfolio insights and detecting opportunities to supporting client communication and generating investment proposals.
Wealth management firms are shifting from building and maintaining tech infrastructure to using technology as a strategic driver of growth, differentiation, and client service. The winning institutions will be those that combine reliable data, intelligent automation, and human judgment, allowing advisors to deepen client relationships, respond faster to changing market conditions, and deliver more relevant advice in an increasingly complex investment environment.
How is Aladdin Wealth responding to this evolution?
Aladdin Wealth already incorporates AI-based capabilities designed to help advisors work more efficiently and make more informed decisions. However, the effectiveness of these tools will ultimately depend on the quality of the underlying data, the strength of governance frameworks, and the ability to explain analytics in a way that advisors and clients can understand and trust. Importantly, we view AI as an enhancement to the advisor’s capabilities and workflows, never as a replacement. Wealth management is built on personal relationships and trust; AI represents an opportunity to free up advisor time so they can focus on what truly matters.
Sandro Pierri, Chief Executive Officer of BNP Paribas Asset Management.
BNP Paribas Asset Management has implemented its new organization, an important step in integrating its expanded businesses and executing its 2030 strategic plan. As explained, this new organization is designed to take advantage of the scale and complementary capabilities of its combined platform, driving growth among institutional, insurance, individual, and wealth management clients.
Its objective is to “accelerate the execution of the 2030 strategic plan while enabling BNP Paribas Asset Management (BNP Paribas AM) to fully take advantage of the capabilities of the broader BNP Paribas Group ecosystem.” Consequently, the Alternative Assets business line, led by Isabelle Scemama, Deputy CEO of BNP Paribas AM and Head of BNP Paribas AM Alts, with the support of Deborah Shire, Deputy Head of BNP Paribas AM Alts, maintains its integrated model, which combines investment expertise with dedicated support for each client.
With more than thirty years of experience across various alternative asset classes, including real estate, infrastructure, alternative credit, and private equity, the asset manager considers the business well-positioned to accelerate the ambitions set out in the asset manager’s 2030 strategic plan. Among these are expanding its offer, increasing third-party capital raising, and facilitating greater access to alternative investment solutions.
The Investments business line, led by Rob Gambi, Global Chief Investment Officer, brings together BNP Paribas Asset Management’s capabilities in fixed income, fundamental active equities, multi-asset, and systematic and quantitative investments. As explained, the platform is structured around specialized teams while leveraging greater scale, a broader range of capabilities, and increased research resources. Its objective is to foster the development of solutions that respond to evolving client needs and contribute to achieving the goals set out in the manager’s 2030 strategic plan: expanding the scale of active management and accelerating the development of the company’s ETF and index fund business.
For its part, the Global Client Group Liquid Strategies, led by Steven Billiet, Head of Liquid Strategies at Global Client Group, aims to broaden and deepen relationships with clients investing in BNP Paribas AM’s liquid investment strategy platform. “Leveraging the organization’s greater commercial reach and capabilities, it seeks to strengthen commercial coordination across markets and product lines and accelerate growth in institutional, insurance, retail, and wealth management client segments,” they state.
The business lines are supported by a series of cross-functional support areas, with a stronger focus on Strategic Alliances and Transformation, as well as an evolution of the sustainability model: the Global COO Office, led by Philippe Boulenguiez, Global Chief Operating Officer; the General Secretariat, led by Jean Christophe Ménioux, General Secretary; Human Resources, led by Marion Azuelos, Global Head of Human Resources; Strategic Alliances Office, led by Justyna Dajka, Global Head of Strategic Alliances; and a dedicated Transformation Office, led by Patrick Simion, Head of Transformation, and Communication and Brand, led by Marie Bogataj, Head of Communication and Brand. As noted, the Sustainability organization will evolve and include a cross-functional Sustainability Center, led by Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability. As part of this reorganization process, BNP Paribas Asset Management has to date formalized the appointment of 200 managers, and new appointments are expected over the coming months.
Executive Committee
Finally, and to “further enhance decision-making efficiency,” the manager is also creating an Executive Committee, responsible for driving strategic direction and priorities. Chaired by Sandro Pierri, it will consist of Isabelle Scemama, Rob Gambi, Steven Billiet, Jean Christophe Ménioux, Marion Azuelos, Philippe Boulenguiez, and Deborah Shire.
“Our strategic plan sets a clear ambition for BNP Paribas Asset Management and defines the areas in which we want to grow. Our new organizational model will allow us to go even further in bringing value to our clients and accelerating the execution of our strategic priorities. It provides us with the scale and capabilities needed to deepen our relationships, leverage the full strength of the BNP Paribas Group, and generate long-term value for our clients,” said Sandro Pierri, CEO of BNP Paribas Asset Management.
The advance August inflation figure delivered a negative surprise. Headline CPI came in as expected (+0.4% month-over-month) and remained flat year-over-year at +3.4%. However, core inflation breached the +0.2% mark to reach +0.3%, despite a modest slowdown in year-over-year growth (dropping from 2.5% to 2.4%).
This uptick—driven primarily by mobile phone and communication services, airfares, and lodging—could leak into the August core PCE readings due on the 30th, likely triggering a year-over-year increase of ~+0.3% (up from 0.2% in July).
The postponement of the expected summit between Iran and the Gulf nations—now pushed to Sunday to formulate an alternative transit route through the Strait of Hormuz—alongside new comments from Trump (“Iran is desperate to make a deal quickly”) convey urgency ahead of the upcoming November midterms and shift leverage to Tehran. Consequently, Brent crude rose to $109 per barrel, raising the odds of a prolonged monetary tightening cycle (markets are now pricing in nearly four Fed rate hikes between now and the summer of 2027).
Although the overall trajectory of inflation continues to move closer to the 2% target (as reflected by the average of trimmed-mean, supercore, and sticky inflation metrics), progress has not been as fast as the Federal Reserve’s FOMC would prefer. Adding to these concerns are the price and growth impacts of massive AI investments and strong nominal economic activity, with Atlanta Fed real final sales (which measure total output value adjusted for inflation excluding inventory shifts) holding at three-year highs.
Given this setup, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike (bringing rates to 4%) jumped toward ~90% over the weekend. This presented Kevin Warsh with an opportunity to build market credibility through an insurance hike—one unlikely to derail an economy expanding at nominal growth rates above 7%. Standing pat, by contrast, would have seemed contradictory following his hawkish tone at Jackson Hole.
Warsh entered the decision balancing two forces: accommodating a vocal president or delivering what the bond market was demanding to secure its confidence. While Trump holds immense executive authority, the bond market exerts its own formidable influence on policy.
Warsh opted to raise rates by 25 basis points in a unanimous decision—the first increase since 2023—aiming to guide inflation back toward the 2% target over a reasonable horizon. Statements and the updated dot plot (one additional hike in 2026 priced in for December, a pause through 2027, and cuts starting in 2028) frame this as a mini-cycle of preemptive hikes. The Fed’s upward revision to the terminal rate is supported both by AI-driven productivity gains—a view Warsh strongly champions—and by the continuation of pro-cyclical, expansionary fiscal policies dating back to Trump’s first administration.
Fixed Income Positioning and Key Drivers
Within fixed income, if current inflation forecasts hold, positive surprises are more likely moving forward. With the market having largely priced in the Fed’s stance, a neutral duration posture appears prudent. Close attention should be paid to labor market indicators that could shift the Fed’s path if momentum accelerates, including wage gains among job switchers, shifts in marginally attached workers, hiring demand within AI infrastructure, and jobless claims trends.
The Bank of Japan’s dovish 25-basis-point increase—taking its policy rate to a 30-year high—is another focal point. Higher Japanese yields and increased yen volatility could impact the carry trade, which historically provided funding flows into U.S. fixed income markets.
Energy price relief could offer another upside surprise, following news that the Saudi East-West pipeline can resume operation at half capacity immediately, with full repairs slated within six weeks. Meanwhile, central bank activity tracking indicates a clear inflection point away from global monetary easing, suggesting softer industrial momentum entering 2027.
Equities: Impact of the Hike Mini-Cycle on AI
For equity markets, elevated borrowing costs tied to this rate-hike mini-cycle may disproportionately pressure AI companies carrying leveraged balance sheets. Early-stage startups lacking credit ratings—such as specialized neocloud providers—may encounter higher hurdles securing funding for data center builds.
Compounding this are growing public objections to data center construction (Morgan Stanley research indicates 75% of Americans and 83% of Democrats oppose hosting such facilities locally; as a result, $156 billion in projects were delayed or canceled in 2025, followed by another $130 billion in Q1 2026). These constraints could limit total compute supply, benefiting early-moving hyperscalers.
Hyperscalers have secured significant long-term, fixed-rate financing at borrowing costs well below current 10-year Treasury yields, leveraging their investment-grade credit profiles.
Slower deployment of AI capital expenditures—which contributed ~0.6% and ~0.4% to GDP in Q1 and Q2, respectively—could also exert downward pressure on overall inflation readings.
From a historical perspective, analysis of the past six U.S. rate-tightening cycles indicates that while equities often experience short-term volatility following an initial rate hike, broad indexes generally post positive total returns 12 months later. The primary exception remains 2022, when the Fed fell significantly behind the curve.
The legendary Warren Buffett recently turned 96 and, in accordance with the succession roadmap designed many years prior, has fully relinquished the reins of Berkshire Hathaway by assuming the duties of Chairman Emeritus. However, he did not miss the opportunity to leave one more lesson as part of his intangible—yet equally valuable—legacy.
Without a trace of defeat, Warren Buffett acknowledged the only opponent no investor can defeat. “Father Time always wins,” he wrote to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders as he explained his decision to become Chairman Emeritus. But in his case, he added something more: “he has been generous to me.”
The phrase summarizes far more than just a change in corporate title. In the letter accompanying Berkshire Hathaway’s announcement, Buffett does not write as someone abandoning a company after six decades, but as someone observing the passage from one generation to another, evaluating which part of his work should survive when he is no longer at the helm.
Since 1965, Buffett has been the central figure of Berkshire. Now he leaves the chairmanship of the Board, and Howard G. Buffett, his son, will assume that responsibility, while Greg Abel will continue at the operational helm as Chief Executive Officer. Warren Buffett will remain as a member of the Board.
The transition, therefore, does not represent a rupture. In fact, Buffett himself presents it as the logical conclusion of a process that had been in preparation for years. The novelty of his message lies elsewhere: in how he explains what he considers truly important to preserve at Berkshire.
And his answer is surprising because it is not a stock, an acquisition, a cash reserve, or any other financial asset—it is something he considers far more valuable: culture.
The True Asset Is Off the Balance Sheet
Buffett writes that Greg Abel manages the company, while Howard Buffett will bear the responsibility of protecting its culture and values. He immediately establishes an unusual hierarchy in business parlance: both elements possess, he says, a value superior to that of any asset recorded on Berkshire’s balance sheet.
The statement is especially meaningful coming from the man who built Berkshire into one of the largest business conglomerates in the world and who for decades was considered one of the primary benchmarks of long-term investing.
At the moment of handing over control, Buffett does not speak of maintaining a specific level of profitability, keeping a particular portfolio, or reaching a certain market capitalization; he speaks of preserving a way of doing business.
It is precisely there that one of the keys to his legacy emerges: Berkshire was not built solely around the investments that Buffett and Charlie Munger selected. It was also built around a philosophy—thinking in terms of decades, avoiding impulsive decisions, maintaining a unique relationship with shareholders, and granting managers of acquired companies a considerable degree of autonomy.
That is why succession does not simply consist of finding someone who can sit in Buffett’s chair; it consists of proving whether an organization can maintain its principles when the person who embodied them for more than six decades is no longer in command.
An Insurance Policy for Shareholders
Buffett leaves in his letter one of his customary metaphors to explain his son’s role: Howard Buffett, he says, should be viewed as “an insurance policy” owned by the shareholders—one that everyone hopes never to have to use. Coming from Buffett, this is telling.
Furthermore, Greg Abel is at the operational helm. Howard does not step in to manage Berkshire’s day-to-day operations, but rather to act as a custodian of what does not appear on the financial statements: culture and values. This division of responsibilities demonstrates the extent to which the succession was designed as an institutional process rather than merely replacing an individual.
Buffett points out that Howard has served as a director of Berkshire for 33 years—a period even longer than the time he himself had to learn before taking control of the company at age 34. In this sense, the message is clear: succession does not begin the day Buffett steps down from a role; in reality, it began decades earlier.
Time as an Enemy and as an Ally
There is an irony in all of this that says much about Warren Buffett: for decades, the investor turned time into one of Berkshire’s primary advantages. While much of the financial market moves to the rhythm of quarterly earnings, Buffett and Munger built their reputation on patience and the ability to think long term.
In his letter, Buffett recalls precisely that from the beginning they sought shareholders who thought “in terms of decades rather than quarters.” Now, however, time appears from a different perspective. Buffett has just turned 96, and after more than 60 years leading Berkshire, he acknowledges that the time has come to complete the transition.
Yet he does not present it as a tragedy or a crisis—quite the contrary. He says he still has “the best job in the world” and has never felt better about what lies ahead. This is likely one of the most interesting aspects of the letter: Buffett does not describe his departure as the end of an era to be mourned, but as a natural consequence of the very same principle he recommended to his shareholders for decades: thinking long term.
Time ultimately wins, but preparation can determine what happens next. Buffett is not leaving Berkshire; rather, Berkshire no longer needs him to run it. There is another important distinction: Buffett is not departing Berkshire entirely, as he continues as a director and shareholder. In his letter, he expresses his desire to remain a shareholder alongside the rest of the owners.
That changes the meaning of the transition. The man who for decades made the fundamental decisions will no longer occupy the position from which they are made, but he will continue to observe the company’s evolution from within and participate in it as an owner.
This aligns seamlessly with the relationship he always sought to build with shareholders: sitting on the same side of the table. That is why, rather than a farewell, the letter carries the tone of passing the baton. Buffett seems to be saying that Berkshire no longer needs him to serve as its operational core because key decisions can be made by others and because, at least in his view, the principles he considers essential are deeply rooted.
Greg Abel is proof of that trust. Buffett asserts that his expectations for him were very high from the start, and that Abel has exceeded them. He also states that Abel has been making the truly important decisions for some time, and that he has never had reason to doubt any of them.
The statement carries special weight: succession does not begin now simply because Abel has officially received power; it formalizes a dynamic that was already largely in place.
From Charlie Munger to Howard Buffett
The letter also has a generational dimension: throughout much of Berkshire’s modern history, Buffett and Charlie Munger were inseparable from the company’s identity. Munger passed away in November 2023, just days shy of his 100th birthday. Now Buffett steps back further, doing so by leaving behind an organization where continuity no longer depends on two historic figures at the helm.
That may represent one of Berkshire’s greatest challenges in the coming years: demonstrating that what worked extraordinarily well under Buffett and Munger can continue to work when both belong to the company’s history. Buffett appears confident that it will, not because he believes a replacement for himself exists, but because he believes the organization he built can prove more enduring than the man who built it.
Perhaps that is why the final section of his letter is more significant than the corporate announcement itself. Buffett thanks the shareholders for the trust they placed in him and calls serving as their chairman “the privilege of a lifetime.” He then returns to the concept of time: “Father Time always wins,” he writes.
Immediately, however, he refrains from framing the phrase as a tragedy, writing instead that time was generous to him because it allowed him to see Berkshire reach a point where he feels more confident than ever about its future. That is perhaps the true message and final lesson of his last letter as Chairman.
A company’s success consists not merely of how much capital it can accumulate while its founder is at the helm, but whether it can preserve what made it unique once the founder is no longer there. Buffett appears to have reached that conclusion after more than six decades.
The man who turned patience into an investment strategy ultimately faces his own ultimate long-term test: handing over control and trusting that time—which inevitably ends all individual leadership—will not also bring an end to the philosophy he built.
T. Rowe Price, a global investment management firm, has announced the addition of the T. Rowe Price Securitized Income ETF to its product suite. The new fully transparent, actively managed fixed income exchange-traded fund (ETF) has begun trading on the NYSE Arca.
The T. Rowe Price Securitized Income ETF is designed for investors seeking to enhance periodic portfolio returns while diversifying fixed income exposure beyond traditional corporate and government bonds. Actively managed and backed by the firm’s fundamental research capabilities, TSCZ seeks to generate high current income through a portfolio diversified across U.S. securitized credit sectors, such as asset-backed securities (ABS), commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), collateralized loan obligations (CLO), and non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). TSCZ carries a total expense ratio of 0.20%.
TSCZ is actively co-managed by Jean-Marc Breaux, CFA®, and Ramón de Castro. Breaux is Head of Securitized Products in the Fixed Income division and brings 20 years of investment experience, eight of them at T. Rowe Price. De Castro is a sector portfolio manager in the Fixed Income division with over 30 years of experience, 14 at the firm. He also serves as portfolio manager for the T. Rowe Price GNMA Fund (Ticker: PRGMX) and oversees residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) allocations across several multisector fixed income portfolios.
With this addition, T. Rowe Price’s ETF lineup expands to 35 total funds, spanning fixed income, equity, multi-asset, digital assets, and thematic strategies. Each ETF solution brings key advantages such as tax efficiency, competitive expense ratios, and the flexibility to buy and sell shares throughout the trading day. All funds leverage the rigorous fundamental research of T. Rowe Price’s analysts and portfolio managers, focused on asking better questions to deliver better client outcomes.
Separately, T. Rowe Price recently announced an agreement to acquire F/m Investments LLC, a specialized fixed income and ETF asset manager. Expected to close in early 2027, the transaction will increase its fixed income assets under management by nearly 9%, more than double its volume in fixed income ETFs, and expand its separately managed accounts (SMA) business. Alongside today’s launch, this transaction reflects the firm’s ongoing commitment to expanding its fixed income ETF capabilities and diversifying the suite of solutions available to its clients.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has become a recurring topic of discussion with investment firms. When asked whether we have reached the peak of investment in this theme—from both fixed income and equity perspectives—they insist we have not. They argue that there is still room and investment opportunities left within the AI universe, even following warnings from key industry figures—such as Dario Amodei (CEO of Anthropic), Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI), and Elon Musk (xAI)—regarding the need to slow down development due to safety risks.
The impact of the current wave of investment in artificial intelligence could exceed $20 trillion. According to Capital Group, tech megacap capital expenditure is accelerating at a rate that could eclipse China’s industrialization process, referencing a benchmark of reaching $30 trillion by 2032.
“There is no doubt that artificial intelligence is becoming one of the primary drivers of economic activity. However, it should not be understood solely as a technology theme, but as an investment cycle with broad implications for the economy as a whole. The artificial intelligence ecosystem spans multiple levels, from semiconductor design and software development to power supply, infrastructure construction, and sectors integrating the new technology into their operations, such as media and financial services,” they note.
Debate or Marketing?
This massive investment opportunity has coincided in recent days with suggestions to moderate the pace of technological development, which had a slight impact on semiconductor companies while favoring software firms. “Leading model developers have little incentive to voluntarily slow down a technology they view as strategic, especially when Chinese competitors are just six to eight months behind,” according to Banca March.
This debate, combined with a higher interest rate outlook, could, according to Banca March’s latest analysis, “become the perfect backdrop for a temporary pullback in equity markets.” However, the firm’s experts downplay the concern, noting that “the narrative surrounding a potential slowdown in AI development seems to reflect an institutional marketing strategy ahead of two of the largest IPOs in history rather than an operational reality.”
“Competition in this space is extraordinarily intense, global, and decentralized, making any coordination attempt among primary players extremely difficult. Even more so when the Trump administration has been openly opposed, ruling out government interventions in the sector,” they add.
In the view of Flavien del Pino, Head of BDL Capital Management for Spain, the recent correction in tech companies most exposed to AI is not merely a cyclical market movement, but reflects a fundamental doubt regarding the actual profitability of this technology.
“Hyperscaler spending is accelerating to unprecedented levels and is destroying free cash flow generation, accumulating debt that will approach $2 trillion. To justify the $7 trillion that will be invested in data centers through 2030 with a return on capital employed (ROCE) of just 10%, the sector would need to generate $3.6 trillion annually in new revenues—a figure higher than the entire current global market for software and IT services,” he explains regarding the resulting capital return uncertainty.
Brakes on Investment
So, is there any factor that could genuinely stall AI investment? According to experts, a key issue will be national regulations—specifically, the outlook for AI regulation in the United States and potential restrictions on data center development. In the view of Libby Cantrill, Head of Public Policy at PIMCO, while the U.S. Congress may begin to focus more intensely on AI safety and federal government involvement appears inevitable at some point, “we are unlikely to see a comprehensive federal regulatory framework enacted into law in the near term.” Looking ahead to the next Congress, she notes there will likely be greater scrutiny on the issue, though “for now, AI regulation does not appear imminent.”
In the absence of federal progress, Cantrill believes “states are likely to continue moving forward with AI safety legislation” and taking the lead on data center restrictions. In this domain, municipalities in 32 states have already moved forward with moratoria, and up to 26 states are currently considering statewide moratoria.
Against this backdrop, Cantrill anticipates that “in 2027, given the political landscape, we could see greater friction in AI infrastructure development, with a likely widespread increase in data center construction costs” and, in some cases, states opting to halt them entirely. This would imply, she concludes, “a more complex patchworks for both companies and investors.”
Implications for Investors
From an investor’s perspective, Andrew Heiskell, Equity Strategist at Wellington Management, and Brian Barbetta, Global Industry Analyst at Wellington Management, consider that the debate is no longer centered on whether AI is relevant, but on a more complex question: which links in the ecosystem will capture the value generated?
“In such a dynamic environment, long-term technological progress and short-term public market expectations are unlikely to move at the same pace. Instead, we should expect continued moments where investor sentiment overvalues or undervalues shifting business and technological realities,” hold both Wellington Management experts.
Their position is that investing in the constantly evolving AI universe requires not only stock selection, robust analytical capabilities, and top-tier active management, but also a comprehensive understanding of its ecosystem, which can offer investors greater composure amid market volatility and ambiguity. “Simply diversifying across a basket of AI-exposed stocks is unlikely to capture the full potential of this unique and transformative technology. Conversely, active managers with strong analytical capabilities who recognize that leadership will rotate as technology evolves and market conditions change will be better positioned to generate returns and manage risk in this new AI era,” they argue.
Furthermore, for investors, it is becoming increasingly difficult to avoid tech megacaps altogether, given their weight in global equity benchmarks and their critical role in driving productivity, innovation, and economic growth. However, “investors do not need to concentrate their exposure in a handful of U.S. large-cap companies to participate in long-term digitization and artificial intelligence trends,” warns Yan Taw Boon, Head of Thematic Strategies for Asia at Neuberger.
In his view, one of the most important current developments is that the AI infrastructure boom is broadening beyond technology itself. “Capital is increasingly flowing into sectors such as energy, construction, industrial automation, and the manufacturing of specialized components required to build and operate AI data centers. This creates a broader set of opportunities for investors seeking exposure to AI-driven growth while reducing reliance on a small group of dominant tech stocks,” the Neuberger expert explains.
For Taw, diversifying exposure across geographies, sectors, and market capitalizations will be essential so that “investors can participate in the structural growth of the tech sector while mitigating concentration risk.”
Goldman Sachs Alternatives has announced the final close of West Street Capital Partners IX and its related vehicles. The fund closed with $9.6 billion in total capital to invest in leading companies worldwide to create value. Combined with the more than $1.6 billion raised to date for West Street Asia Equity Partners I, the dedicated private equity strategy for Asia-Pacific, and $500 million allocated to related co-investment vehicles, total capital raised globally reaches $11.7 billion.
According to the asset manager, this represents the ninth generation of Goldman Sachs Alternatives’ flagship buyout platform. Since 1986, the team has invested over $89 billion globally, partnering with companies and management teams to drive growth. The fund’s capital comes from a diverse group of institutional and high-net-worth investors across North America, Europe, and the Middle East, along with significant commitments from Goldman Sachs and its employees. In addition to the capital raised for this fund and its related vehicles, Goldman Sachs Alternatives is independently raising capital for West Street Asia Equity Partners I, its dedicated pan-Asian private equity strategy focused on mid-market control investments and select growth investments across the region. Following its initial aggregate close, WSAEP I has raised over $1.6 billion to date.
The fund will maintain its strategy, predominantly focused on upper-middle-market control investments. Leveraging the team’s deep sector expertise, the fund is expected to target investments in the business services, financial services, technology, healthcare, consumer, and energy transition sectors. In a dynamic investment environment, the team is strategically positioned to identify new opportunities across these sectors, utilizing operating models that have proven resilient across different market cycles.
Brad Gross, Global Co-Head of Private Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives, noted: “This capital raise builds on our long-standing track record as a leading private equity platform, leveraging Goldman Sachs’ global scale, network, and expertise to identify differentiated investments and drive value for our portfolio companies. The enthusiasm of our global investor base reflects strong confidence in the strength of our franchise and our ability to deliver attractive returns across market cycles.”
Meanwhile, Michael Bruun, Global Co-Head of Private Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives, added: “Against a backdrop of macroeconomic and geopolitical shifts, public market volatility, and rapid technological transformation, our experienced team is well-positioned to identify areas of opportunity and execute resilient investment strategies. Our extensive team of experts and advisors also possesses the tools and resources needed to help portfolio companies navigate the ongoing artificial intelligence transformation and scale their businesses.”
WSCP IX has already invested in several companies across various geographies and sectors, including Schellman, a leading U.S.-based provider of cybersecurity audit and compliance services; Numantec, a leading European developer, manufacturer, and distributor of medical devices and vascular access/infusion consumables; Excel Sports, a premier independent U.S.-based sports agency and representation firm; and Mace, a global program and project management company serving infrastructure and built environment clients, based in Europe.
In Asia, WSAEP I builds on Goldman Sachs Alternatives’ long history as one of the earliest private equity investors in the region, with approximately $17 billion deployed. With over 30 years of investment experience in Asia, the team seeks to collaborate with management teams to drive growth, operational transformation, and long-term value creation.
Portfolio companies of the funds benefit from GS Value Accelerator, a proprietary platform that helps build enduring businesses and generate incremental value. Value Accelerator offers a premier global network of operating advisors and sector experts who can support companies in their technology, data, and artificial intelligence transformation, revenue growth, talent and organizational strategy, operational excellence, finance and strategy, and sustainability optimization. The Private Equity division at Goldman Sachs Alternatives is led by its Global Co-Heads, Brad Gross and Michael Bruun. Stephanie Hui is Head of Private and Growth Equity in Asia-Pacific and Head of Private Investing in Asia-Pacific at Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
Photo courtesyDrew T. Matus, Chief Market Strategist at MetLife Investment Management.
The second edition of the Funds Society Leaders Summit, held in collaboration with CFA Society Spain, featured an analysis by MetLife Investment Management, in which Drew T. Matus, Chief Market Strategist at the firm, focused on how he views the world right now and how he believes it will evolve; its risks and, above all, the impact of artificial intelligence.
Matus stated that growth is being driven primarily by AI: the United States and Korea are experiencing accelerated growth, but the rest of the world is facing some difficulties in recovering from last year’s weakness. All of this occurs within a context of inflation and high yields, “which is not necessarily a bad thing.”
The expert observes that, despite geopolitical volatility and inflation, recession expectations in any of these regions remain quite low. “People feel very comfortable that the status quo will hold indefinitely, which is somewhat strange given that yields are normalizing and there is significant geopolitical risk,” he comments, pointing out that the only country behaving remotely abnormally compared to the recent period is Japan.
Matus explains that artificial intelligence, as it spreads across the globe and is used more frequently in different regions, “could narrow the gap between the United States and the rest of the world in terms of productivity growth, which would imply reducing the differential in potential GDP growth.” This circumstance could provide a solution to issues such as government deficits, because according to the expert, “if you manage to grow out of the deficit, you will be in a fairly favorable position.”
However, according to Matus, the future could bring either a narrowing or a widening of this gap. Ultimately, “it will depend on policymakers, in this case in Europe, although the same applies to parts of Asia,” meaning “it is up to policymakers to determine whether they want to close this gap or not, and how to regulate the emerging technologies that could enable it.”
Risks
One of the main risks Matus sees regarding AI does not lie in the promise of the technology itself. CEOs believe it is enough to simply implement this technology in their companies and that giving everyone access to the tool will solve everything on its own. “But the reality is that you need a company designed to use the new technology,” he notes. From an operational standpoint, leveraging it is far more difficult than at any previous time, and now “CEOs have begun to realize that they have made many promises they cannot keep.”
Matus highlights the lack of evidence suggesting that AI is leaving young people out of work. In fact, in the United States, hiring is happening, but for experienced workers, “which is precisely the opposite of what is intended with AI, because experienced workers are the ones who can be replaced and are usually more expensive.” Ultimately, he observes neither an increase in unemployment or underemployment, nor high productivity levels in the United States. Specifically, the latest quarterly figures align with the average of the last 10 years, and even the last 50 years. “If we look for AI in the data, we haven’t found it yet,” he states. Therefore, he sees an opportunity for the markets, “as we have not yet seen the positive impact of AI on the broader economy, neither in the United States nor, frankly, anywhere else.”
Another aspect Matus finds concerning is that a sector that should benefit from artificial intelligence and all the productivity gains it brings—the financial sector—is not experiencing a strong market run on par with the tech sector or the broader market. “The market has bought into the idea that AI will be a revolutionary technology, but conclusive proof is still lacking,” Matus notes.
Ultimately, the expert concludes that the market is betting on short-term optimism around AI. But the reality is that AI will take time to integrate into the economy. For this reason, he anticipates that as AI spreads throughout the economy, “it will have all the effects that are promised in the short term, but we won’t see them anytime soon.”
The Long Term
How do we expect this to play out in the long term? To understand productivity gains in the United States, Matus points to technology and its optimal utilization. The methodology the country used to achieve this—through employee training—was “the right one, whether due to lower regulation or any other reason.”
Matus puts figures on potential U.S. growth through the application of AI: between 4% and 4.5% over the next 10 years, “something we have never seen before in a developed market economy.” It would only be comparable to what was seen following China’s entry into the WTO. Matus highlights at this point that this is one of the reasons why, when analyzing the U.S. deficit or perceiving that Americans do not care about it, “it is because we really don’t care; we believe we can outgrow it.”
There will also be shifts in the economy, as has happened in other technological revolutions. In fact, Matus does not rule out that some of the largest companies in 2025 will no longer hold those positions in the future, just as occurred with the giants of the 1990s. What became clear then—and what Matus considers a risk when weighing artificial intelligence and all the changes occurring in the global economy—is that the companies that figured out how to use the new technology are precisely the ones that made it into that group.
“One or two of them are directly related to technology, but in general, they simply take a different approach to new technologies. So, when reflecting on what the world will look like in 2035, 2040, and 2050, the winners and losers will not necessarily be the names appearing today on the front pages of the Financial Times and The Wall Street Journal. It is really about companies that are figuring out how to use the technology being offered to them,” he concludes.