After the Worst Half-Year in Half a Century, Only Improvements Can Be Expected

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Global markets closed out the most tumultuous first half of a year in decades driven by accelerating inflation, the war between Russia and Ukraine and a doubling of riskfree interest rates (including yields on riskier securities). However, the latter half of the year should be better, says BigSur Partners’ latest The Thinking Man publication.

The S&P 500 fell 21%, suffering its worst first half of a year since 1970. Investment-grade bonds, as measured by the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond exchange-traded fund, lost 11%— posting their worst start to a year in history (or at least since 1842). Non-investmentgrade or “junk” bonds, as measured by the iShares iBoxx High Yield Bond exchangetraded fund, fell 15.4%. Also, both stocks and bonds posted a negative first and second quarter, consecutively.

This has been the result of a global phenomenon, not just a US one. Stocks and bonds in Europe, markets in EAFE, and emerging markets all tumbled, hurt by slowing growth and stickier than expected inflation.

On the other hand, cryptocurrencies came crashing down, burdening institutional and individual investors alike with steep losses. Anecdotal evidence does show that younger generations have been hit the hardest, as sectors like Crypto, IPOs, SPACs, and super-high growth areas like EVs, AI, Robotics and Cloud Computing are down over 70% from their all-time highs back in 2021.

About the only thing that rose in the first half was commodity prices. Oil prices surged above $100 a barrel, and U.S. gas prices hit records after the Russia-Ukraine war disrupted imports from Russia, the world’s third-largest oil producer. However, investors have been underweighted commodities after years of underperformance and under-investment in the sector.

“Volatility has increased dramatically in all markets,” comment BigSur experts, adding that “we see no reason for volatility to decrease in the second half of the year.”

On the flip side, the Fed and central banks plan to continue raising interest rates to try to curb inflation. “The moves will likely slow down growth, potentially tipping economies into recession and generating further tumult across markets,” the experts reflect.

The good news for investors is that markets have not always underperformed after suffering large losses in the first half of the year. In fact, history shows that they have often done the opposite. There have only been five instances in history in which both stocks and bonds posted negative returns for two consecutive quarters.

Recessions have been associated with three of the previous four periods, and the jury is still out on this latest case.

However, no one is talking about a deep or prolonged recession. There is general agreement and consensus on a shallow and short recession. When the S&P 500 has fallen at least 15% the first six months of the year, as it did in 1932, 1939, 1940, 1962 and 1970, it has risen an average of 24% in the second half, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

Fund managers currently have above-average cash positions, below-average equity positions and a marked degree of pessimism about the economy.

To read the full BigSur Partners report, please click on the following link.

 

Magnifi Announces International Expansion Through Acquisition and Integration of SharingAlpha’s Professional Investor Community

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TIFIN, a fintech platform using artificial intelligence (AI) and investment-driven personalization to shape the future of investor experiences, announced its initial launch into international markets through the acquisition on SharingAlpha, a community of over 15,000 professional fund investors and analysts located throughout the world, but with a high concentration in the UK and Western Europe.

Following the acquisition, SharingAlpha will be fully integrated into TIFIN’s Magnifi platform. The integration will offer both retail and professional investors from all over the globe unique digital tools to enhance their personal investment experience leveraging the AI-powered investment intelligence on Magnifi’s existing platform now augmented with SharingAlpha’s proprietary community intelligence insights. 

SharingAlpha offers professionals the opportunity to build their own personal track record in terms of both their fund selection and asset allocation capabilities. Investors can gain the community’s intelligence on funds’ chances of generating alpha in the future from the collective knowledge gathered on the platform from members of the SharingAlpha community. Co-founded six years ago by two Israeli brothers, Oren and Yuval Kaplan, has become the world’s largest community of professional fund buyers.

Oren Kaplan will also join Magnifi as a partner and work closely with TIFIN’s recently announced Head of International Jason O’Shaughnessy on the integration of the platforms.

“Being able to now offer Magnifi’s investment intelligence and capabilities to non-US investors is definitely an important step in our evolution.” said Dr. Vinay Nair, Founder, and CEO of TIFIN. “We are also excited about adding the unique community features developed by SharingAlpha which will enhance our offering to professional investors internationally”.

“I am looking forward to working with Magnifi’s team in expanding its reach internationally and in growing the community of professional investors even further.” said Oren Kaplan, Co-Founder and CEO of SharingAlpha, “We will continue to be committed to building innovative and useful digital tools to global investors”.

Snowden Lane Partners Hires Tom Hakala in New York

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Snowden Lane Partners announced that veteran wealth advisor, Tom Hakala, has joined the firm as Partner and Managing Director in New York.

With 30 years of wealth management experience, Hakala serves high-net-worth families and individuals and oversees $180 million in client assets. 

“We are excited to welcome Tom to Snowden Lane, as he is a proven expert in the high-net-worth space and a world-class advisor,” said Lyle LaMothe, Chairman of Snowden Lane Partners. “I am continually humbled when high-quality advisors express interest in joining our team, and I know Tom will fit seamlessly into our firm’s culture.”

“I’ve been very fortunate to enjoy a 30-year career in financial services, and I’m looking forward to beginning the next phase of my professional journey at Snowden Lane,” said Tom Hakala. “I have the utmost confidence that the firm’s values and culture, coupled with its proven platform, will allow me to continue delivering top results for my clients.”

Prior to Snowden Lane, Hakala served as a Managing Director at Fieldpoint Private and Wilmington Trust. He is an attorney, CPA, and Personal Financial Specialist, with expertise in the design and implementation of sophisticated financial strategies for high-net-worth clientele. Over the course of his career, Hakala has also held positions with KPMG, UBS and PricewaterhouseCoopers.

“I know Tom will be a valuable addition to the Snowden Lane team, and I’m appreciative that our value proposition continues to resonate with advisors,” said Greg Franks, Snowden Lane’s Managing Partner, President & COO. “The interest we have received from the wealth management community is the ultimate testament to our culture and I’m proud of the momentum Snowden Lane has built this year amid the current recruiting landscape.”

Rob Mooney, Managing Partner & CEO of Snowden Lane Partners, added, “An advisor of Tom’s caliber is a natural fit at our firm and I’m excited to officially welcome him to the team. We have tremendous respect for Fieldpoint Private, and I was thrilled when Tom expressed interest in joining Snowden Lane for the next chapter of his career.”

Snowden Lane Partners Hires Tom Hakala in New York

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Snowden Lane Partners announced that veteran wealth advisor, Tom Hakala, has joined the firm as Partner and Managing Director in New York.

With 30 years of wealth management experience, Hakala serves high-net-worth families and individuals and oversees $180 million in client assets.

“We are excited to welcome Tom to Snowden Lane, as he is a proven expert in the high-net-worth space and a world-class advisor,” said Lyle LaMothe, Chairman of Snowden Lane Partners. “I am continually humbled when high-quality advisors express interest in joining our team, and I know Tom will fit seamlessly into our firm’s culture.”

“I’ve been very fortunate to enjoy a 30-year career in financial services, and I’m looking forward to beginning the next phase of my professional journey at Snowden Lane,” said Tom Hakala. “I have the utmost confidence that the firm’s values and culture, coupled with its proven platform, will allow me to continue delivering top results for my clients.”

Prior to Snowden Lane, Hakala served as a Managing Director at Fieldpoint Private and Wilmington Trust. He is an attorney, CPA, and Personal Financial Specialist, with expertise in the design and implementation of sophisticated financial strategies for high-net-worth clientele. Over the course of his career, Hakala has also held positions with KPMG, UBS and PricewaterhouseCoopers.

“I know Tom will be a valuable addition to the Snowden Lane team, and I’m appreciative that our value proposition continues to resonate with advisors,” said Greg Franks, Snowden Lane’s Managing Partner, President & COO. “The interest we have received from the wealth management community is the ultimate testament to our culture and I’m proud of the momentum Snowden Lane has built this year amid the current recruiting landscape.”

Rob Mooney, Managing Partner & CEO of Snowden Lane Partners, added, “An advisor of Tom’s caliber is a natural fit at our firm and I’m excited to officially welcome him to the team. We have tremendous respect for Fieldpoint Private, and I was thrilled when Tom expressed interest in joining Snowden Lane for the next chapter of his career.”

Robeco Launches Equities Strategy Focusing On Net-Zero Transition With Real-World Impact

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Robeco has launched RobecoSAM Net Zero 2050 Climate Equities, a high conviction climate transition strategy, classified as article 9 under SFDR and investing in global equities at the forefront of the transition to a low-carbon economy. The strategy aims to invest in the pathways to a net zero world alongside delivering attractive financial returns.

The new strategy will specifically look for companies that make an active contribution to mitigating climate change, following a decarbonization pathway of around 7% annually on average. Beyond clean tech, EV and battery storage solutions, the strategy also explores a broader set of opportunities such as mining equipment suppliers, nature-based assets or transition capital providers.

The strategy’s portfolio covers a mix of between 30 and 40 promising stocks from best-in-class leaders and companies with serious improvement potential to have real-world impact in transitioning to net zero, in a diversified approach encompassing all sectors. The strategy will also actively engage with those companies most affected by the transition to net zero, particularly addressing the social dimension in their climate change strategies to encourage a fair transition to net zero.

RobecoSAM Net Zero 2050 Climate Equities uses a dedicated climate transition benchmark, the MSCI World Climate Change Index, not only for assessing carbon footprint purposes, but also for performance measurement. This makes  it easier to judge the strategy’s success. The new strategy will be managed by an investment team of seasoned professionals who cover global fundamental equities, climate and SDG strategy and active ownership. Chris Berkouwer and Yanxin Liu are the strategy’s portfolio managers.

Chris Berkouwer, Portfolio Manager commented: “I’m very excited to be managing the RobecoSAM Net Zero 2050 Climate Equities strategy together with the team and allowing our clients to invest in a wide range of profitable companies that are leading the way in transitioning to net zero and that have the potential to make real-world impact.” 

On the other hand, Yanxin Liu, Portfolio Manager added: “I am thrilled about the launch of RobecoSAM Net Zero 2050 Climate Equities and I’m particularly looking forward to exploring opportunities that are not just buzzwords.”

 

‘Expert’ investors more empowered to prioritise their values and principles

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Investors globally are focused on allocating to funds that meet their personal needs and principles, Schroders Global Investor Study 2022 has found.

Schroders’ flagship study surveyed over 23,000 people who invest from 33 locations globally. The results show that investors who class themselves as being ‘expert’ are more focused on the role that their principles and values can play in their investment decisions.

Our research shows that more than half of these ‘expert’ investors stated that their personal principles are
‘very important’ to them – significantly higher than those who class themselves as having an intermediate
level of investment knowledge (16%) and those in the ‘rudimentary’ category (10%).

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Furthermore, the importance given to values and principles by investors increases with age, with more than three-quarters (76%) of people aged 71+ more likely to prioritise these aspects, perhaps indicating that older investors are more confident and set in their views.

In addition, the results show that people feel overwhelmingly that as shareholders they should have the power to influence the companies they are invested in. This applies across the investment knowledge spectrum; from those who class themselves as having a ‘beginner’ level of investment knowledge, through to the ‘experts’.

A formidable 95% of ‘expert/advanced’ investors believe they should be empowered to do so, as well as 69% of ‘beginners’.

Climate issues are seen as the most important engagement priorities in all but three countries – Mexico, South Korea, and Belgium – all of whom instead ranked issues of natural capital and biodiversity as the most crucial, demonstrating the significance of environment-related issues.

Knowledge is power

However, despite the positive intentions, a gap remains in terms of investors who feel genuinely empowered to make the right investment decisions for their future. Some 82% of ‘expert/advanced’ investors feel they have sufficient knowledge to feel confident in making investment decisions for their financial future, while only a quarter (26%) of ‘beginner/rudimentary’ investors’ feel knowledgeable enough to do so.

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This highlights the need for better financial education and the role financial providers have to play. Over half (51%) believe that investment companies should be responsible for ensuring that people have sufficient levels of knowledge on personal financial matters, and 39% think it should be the responsibility of financial advisers.​

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Significantly though, 44% believe that educational institutions have a role to play in educating people about financial matters, while a quarter (24%) view this as their personal responsibility.

Greater knowledge also driving private asset focus among retail investors

Furthermore, the Study indicates that people now feel more confident in accessing investments that might previously have been seen as off-limits. A particular example of this comes in private assets, with 47% of investors feeling empowered to access both private equity and digital assets.

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However, while most people feel empowered to invest in private assets, some asset classes are still perceived as complex, requiring additional support from financial providers and advisers in order to access them. This is particularly the case for infrastructure where investors were more likely to invest through a third-party product such as a mutual fund (41%) rather than directly (37%).

In short, the greater the level of perceived investment knowledge, the more likely people are to be interested in investing in private asset classes. For example, one third of ‘beginners’ feel infrastructure is beyond their grasp compared with 11% of ‘expert’ investors. This suggests the trend towards the democratization of private assets is likely to be linked to greater levels of financial literacy.

Stuart Podmore, Schroders’ Investment Propositions Director, commented: “This Study demonstrates that perhaps now more than ever before, investors of all levels of experience are increasingly wanting to express their views if companies are unable to justify their actions.

If the pandemic has taught us nothing else, it is that companies, as well as governments, are under closer scrutiny than ever to mitigate environmental, societal and governance risks in a sustainable way. What’s so interesting about our survey this year is that societal and governance risks are starting to rise up the list of priorities for investors.

“Increased investment knowledge appears to support people confidence in supporting corporate decision- making. As an active asset manager and guardian of our clients’ assets, we are committed to engaging in year-round dialogue on their behalf, to support better investment outcomes.

Sheila Nicoll, Schroders’ Head of Public Policy, commented: “This year’s results reinforce the increased need to support people in informing themselves about investment, and engaging in their finances. This needs to be from earliest schooldays, throughout the education system, and during the course of changing circumstances in life. At Schroders, it is our priority to support our clients in finding the best investment solutions which meet their needs while ensuring they have all the right tools to make their decisions.”

Georg Wunderlin, Global Head of Private Assets, Schroders Capital, commented: “Schroders Capital, our private assets business, is well placed to support the ‘democratization’ of private assets. We’re seeing increasing interest from individual investors to build a holistic portfolio comprising private and public investments, as evidenced by our Global Investor Study. Our teams are able to offer private investors access to this world through a range of specialist private asset vehicles and blended solutions which encompass both private and public assets. 

Funds Targeting the Agricultural Sector Provide Optimism Amid Deteriorating Market Conditions

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Agriculture- and natural resources- based funds in the commodities and equities segment have fared well in 2022, despite a challenging market and macroeconomic scenario in Europe and at the global level, according to the latest issue of The Cerulli Edge—European Monthly Product Trends.

Such funds have benefited from rising inflation and increased attention from investors seeking ways to protect their portfolios from the ill effects of current market conditions.

“The agriculture- and natural resources-based fund sector remains relatively small in terms of assets under management (AUM), but is growing, with different product providers targeting agriculture in various ways—for example, via direct exposure to commodity prices or by focusing on technology as an enabler of enhanced food production,” says Fabrizio Zumbo, director, European asset and wealth management research at Cerulli Associates.

The commodities space is one of the few areas of the market where investors and managers have been rewarded so far this year. Annual inflation in the euro area was 7.5% in April 2022, according to Eurostat, resulting in increased conversations between asset managers and clients seeking investment protection against rising consumer prices, for instance in food and energy, and their potentially negative effects on asset prices.

AUM in funds exposing investors to the price of commodities such as wheat, corn, and soybeans more than doubled in the first four months of the year, rising from $130.3 million to $283.77 million, according to Morningstar data.

The price and supply of wheat is a major talking point from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The two nations together account for more than a quarter of the world’s supply of wheat. International buyers have turned to other source countries, such as India. However, India’s recent move to restrict exports, amid severe heat waves in the country that are hurting crop growth, sent wheat prices noticeably higher.

Zumbo notes that some asset management firms have launched products at the intersection of agriculture and technology, with a focus on the latter’s ability to enable enhanced production. Other managers have wrapped their conviction for the agricultural industry within broader commodities products.

Many emerging market investors have suffered this year, with the fallout from the war in Europe and rising cases of coronavirus in China, shifting the outlook for several developing nations.

However, some countries—in Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East, for example—have been aided by rising energy and food prices. AUM in Brazilian equity funds rose 62.2% in the four months to the end of April, increasing from $1.48 billion to $2.43 billion. Brazil, a key commodity exporter of resources such as soybean and corn, has benefited from rising prices.

Banco Sabadell Miami Extends Partnership with Wealth Dynamix

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Banco Sabadell Miami and Wealth Dynamix have extended their working partnership for a further five years, heralding a decade-long commitment to the delivery of end-to-end client lifecycle management for HNW and UHNW individuals, the technology company said in a statement.

This extended partnership is a move that cements Wealth Dynamix as a core technology provider within Banco Sabadell, Miami Branch’s technology infrastructure

Banco Sabadell Miami centres its banking activity in two areas of specialization that encompass a wide offer of products and services: Private Banking and Corporate Banking and has used WDX1 from Wealth Dynamix already for five years to manage client lifecycle management for its HNW and UHNW clients in the US, the firm said.

“WDX1 is a secure, scalable, and fully digital Client Lifecycle Management (CLM) solution. It fully supports Banco Sabadell, Miami Branch’s goals by delivering a digital end to end experience for client engagement, client on-boarding and CRM that enhances the productivity of relationship managers as well as operations and compliance specialists,” according the statement.

Gary Linieres, CEO and Co-founder OF Wealth Dynamix said: “We are absolutely delighted that Banco Sabadell, Miami Branch have re-signed with Wealth Dynamix for a further five years after an original five-year contract with us. As such, we will be working for over a decade together. This underscores their commitment to Wealth Dynamix and further endorses the power of our WDX1 solution and its benefits within their business.”

Carlos Fernandez at Banco Sabadell, Miami Branch said: “We have been working with Wealth Dynamix for the last five years and they have proven to be an effective partner for the Bank. The integration of WDX1 facilitates our delivery of adaptable and personalised experiences for our clients reflecting their individual requirements and investment strategies. We look forward to our continued working relationship with Wealth Dynamix”. 

Janus Henderson Appoints Two Senior Members to North America Sales Team

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Janus Henderson announced the appointments of Aaron Kilberg as Head of North America Institutional Sales, and Patrick Caragher as Institutional Sales Director.

Kilberg is based in New York, and in his new role is responsible for leading the North America Sales team and also covering the East region with a focus on corporate plans and public pensions. Caragher is based in Chicago and is responsible for covering corporate and public pensions in the Midwest.

Both Kilberg and Caragher are part of the North America Institutional team, which is led by T.F. Meagher, Head of North America Institutional Distribution.

Kilberg joins Janus Henderson from abrdn, where he was a Senior Business Development Director responsible for developing new business relationships and solutions with institutional clients. Prior to this he most recently held positions at UBS Global Asset Management and Aviva Investors.

Caragher was most recently a Senior Director on Aegon Asset Management’s US institutional team. Prior to Aegon, he held positions at Henderson Global Investors and Aon Hewitt Investment Consulting.

“The North America institutional market is a major focus for Janus Henderson. Having new team members of the caliber of Aaron and Pat join the existing strong team will enable us to build upon the momentum and success seen across our institutional business globally.” said Nick Adams, Global Head of Institutional.

“Both Aaron and Pat have proven experience and successful track records in the US institutional market. They both bring a ‘solutions minded’ approach to partnering with institutional investors to solve their complex problems. We are thrilled to have both of them on our team.” said T.F. Meagher.

These strategic appointments build on the strength of Janus Henderson’s institutional team and reinforce Janus Henderson’s continued investment in hiring top talent across the organization.

Bit5ive Launches New Investment Fund for Bitcoin Mining

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Bit5ive announced the launch of its new bitcoin mining investment vehicle. The Fund provides both institutional and individual investors exposure to bitcoin mining activities via a regulated fund structure.

So what is Bitcoin mining? Mining is the process by which transactions on a blockchain network are verified and added to its public ledger. Miners, who are members of the network, confirm transactions by solving complex mathematical problems and are rewarded for this work with bitcoin.

Robert Collazo, CEO at Bit5ive, says: “We are excited to offer this product and opportunity to accredited and off-shore investors. Bitcoin mining has several advantages. First, it allows individuals to acquire bitcoin at the cost of production, which is significantly lower than the market price. It’s also less volatile than trading the cryptocurrency itself. By mining, investors can avoid the crypto market fluctuations and price manipulation that often plagues traders.”

“The rise of cryptocurrencies has been one of the most exciting developments since I started working in finance,” says Claudio Izquierdo, Bit5ive Fund’s Co-CEO. “We believe cryptocurrencies have a bright future and will continue to play an important role as a store of value, so we are excited to provide investors with new ways of gaining exposure.” 

By partnering with Bit5ive, all the technical know-how and learning curves are reduced, leaving investors with a financial instrument you can see on your brokerage statements. Their fund also allows financial advisors on and off-shore to keep custody of the investments using their custodies accounts in platforms like Allfunds, Pershing, Axos, and others, the firm said.

Established in 2015, Bit5ive is an American technology company and leader in cryptocurrency mining and infrastructure. Currently, the company has over 1,500 MWs of clean energy under contract, making it among the largest in the United States.