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OpinionMarkets

Scope Ratings Opinion Piece

European Commercial Real Estate Sector: Credit Outlook Improves

Issuers on the brink of investment grade, as well as high-yield issuers, continue to face significant challenges in securing financing. Debt markets are slowly reopening for European commercial real estate companies, but investor confidence has yet to recover to pre-2022 levels due to high leverage, significant capital investment, and concerns over the governance of some ...

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Trade and Foreign Policy

Donald Trump’s Trade Policy and Tariffs: A Stumbling Block Not Only for China

The electoral aftermath continues following Donald Trump's victory and the Republicans' success in the US elections last week. There is much to analyze regarding the impact of this new administration and which legislative initiatives from his entire electoral program will be implemented. One of the main focuses is what his proposed tariffs and aggressive trade ...

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Analysis by Payden & Rygel

What Is Behind the Enduring Reign of the U.S. Dollar?

The U.S. dollar has appreciated by more than 30% compared to other currencies of developed countries since 2022, defying forecasts from two years ago predicting a decline of 30-40%. Furthermore, since 2011, the currency has risen nearly 40% against a broad basket of currencies. In light of these figures, Jeffrey Cleveland, Chief Economist at Payden ...

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KKR Study

Four Reasons That Will Fall Short of Growth Forecasts for Alternatives: Sovereign Funds, Individual Investors, Insurers, and Asia

The growth of the alternative assets industry will be exceptional: it is estimated that the volume of private assets will increase to over $24 trillion, from a volume of $15 trillion in 2022, according to Preqin's calculations. For now, the current alternative assets market still represents less than 11% of global GDP and only 2.4% ...

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UBP Analysis

How Does the Fed’s Rate-Cutting Cycle Affect Private Credit?

After 15 months of aggressive tightening, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) shifted its stance and cut its benchmark rate by 50 basis points in its first move. The second step came a week ago, when it announced another cut, this time by 25 basis points. Although the market had anticipated both moves, the Fed has ...

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A Thoughtful Analysis

From 2016 to 2025: Decoding the Impact of the Trump 2.0 Administration

If you turn on the TV, don’t worry, we haven’t gone back to 2016. Although Donald Trump is once again in the White House, the global context and market trends are different, so, according to investment firms, his impact will also have different nuances. It’s true that, for now, as Banca March experts remind us, ...

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Analysis of Janus Henderson Investors

A ‘Co-Pilot’ for the Fed and Other Possible Future Applications of AI

Is the current enthusiasm for the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) justified? According to Alison Porter, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors, the question should not focus solely on how AI may influence the business model of technology companies but rather on a broader view that transcends the stock markets themselves: “Technology is not just ...

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New York Life Investments

Numbers More Terrifying Than Halloween Night

Today, when the sun sets, children will go out dressed in costumes to ask for candy. No matter how much effort they put into scaring, their mischief is charming. However, U.S. market and macroeconomic numbers could frighten more than Freddy Krueger himself, as reviewed by New York Life Investments. Rates Rise in the Markets’ Tower ...

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Initial Assessments

Trump Returns to the White House, and the Market Repeats the 2016 Script, With Increases in Equities and a Stronger Dollar

"This will be America's golden age, it's an incredible victory." With these words, Donald Trump, the Republican Party candidate, declared himself the winner of the U.S. presidential elections. Without the official count having ended, Trump reportedly garnered 267 electoral votes compared to the 224 of his Democratic opponent Kamala Harris. Additionally, the Republicans have taken ...

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With Information From Fynsa and ...

The Final Stretch of the Year in the U.S.: Elections and Markets on Separate Paths

With just days until the U.S. decides its president, the market is starting to anticipate a Trump victory without major hesitation. Despite the short-term market volatility around elections, U.S. equity performance tends to be fairly “indifferent” to which party takes the White House, especially if Congress remains divided. As a starting point, it seems somewhat ...

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